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PSPSNL

Personalis, Inc.

$PSNL·$1.5B·Medical - Diagnostics & Research·Healthcare
$14.04-2.6%YTD+66.5%1Y+201.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-07: 22 posts2026-08-08: 3 posts2026-08-09: 6 posts2026-08-10: 24 posts2026-08-11: 13 posts2026-08-12: 4 posts2026-08-13: 5 posts78-9%
Price updated 1d ago·X counts updated 2d ago
PSPSNL
$PSNLPersonalis, Inc.
$14.04-2.64%78 posts-9%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $PSNL, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Hinges on a big eventEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-08-14

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Personalis has a signed Tempus AI merger — the ~10% spread to takeout math is real, and the deal-close is the whole trade.

Personalis is a molecular-diagnostics company that signed a definitive merger agreement with Tempus AI on July 20 — the equity is now entirely a takeout-arbitrage trade rather than a standalone-business valuation.

  • The Tempus AI merger structure is the entire trade: two-step merger structured as a transaction where PSNL becomes a Tempus subsidiary — with Tempus (TEM) at $56 and PSNL at $14.7, the mix of cash and TEM stock implies ~$16.25 takeout math with a ~10% spread, which is a standard merger-arb setup for a specific deal-close timeline.
  • The Natera Q2 validation adds strategic-rationale confidence: Natera's Q2 blowout (see NTRA verdict in an earlier batch — $752.8M revenue, 37.7% growth, $20B MRD TAM) validates the specific molecular-diagnostics category Tempus is buying Personalis to strengthen — that's the specific structural signal that supports the deal actually closing rather than being renegotiated.
  • The valuation-and-competitive framing supports the bull case beyond takeout: TEM+PSNL forming an oncology behemoth with fair value >$100 per share post-dilution and the $1.5B TEM acquisition being called "cheap" reflects the underlying business logic — plus fairness investigations (Wohl & Fruchter, Julie & Holleman) add small optionality for a repriced deal.

What resolves the trade upward is a specific fairness-suit driven upward reprice or a competing-bid disclosure (unlikely but possible); what limits the upside is a clean close at the current ~$16.25 implied takeout math, which caps the trade near current levels absent additional catalysts.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X read has the specific math right — TEM at $56 vs PSNL at $14.7 implying ~$16.25 takeout with ~10% spread, Natera Q2 blowout validating the $20B MRD TAM, TEM+PSNL forming an oncology behemoth with fair value >$100 per share post-dilution, and calling the $1.5B TEM acquisition cheap — all directionally consistent with the merger-arb setup.

What to watch: Definitive deal-close timeline, any fairness-suit outcome driving a repricing, and Tempus AI (TEM) stock movement (which affects the mixed-cash-and-stock consideration math). A competing bid or fairness-suit-driven reprice is the upside catalyst; a clean close at current implied math caps the trade.

On the calendar: 2026-11-03 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment11 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-14

Personalis is bullish tied to the $TEM $1.5B acquisition. Posters flag the spread at ~10% ($14.7 vs an equivalent $16.25 mix of cash and TEM), the deal is called cheap vs a $20B growing MRD TAM validated by NTRA. Long-term framing is TEM+PSNL as an oncology-behemoth 10-bagger with post-dilution fair value >$100.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $PSNL

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Cancer genomics company providing tumor sequencing and immune microenvironment analysis via its NeXT Platform for drug development.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Medical - Diagnostics & Research sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $PSNL.

Medical - Diagnostics & Research · Healthcare

No material change from last week — pharma R&D spending is recovering and CDMO demand is growing as drug pipelines advance toward clinical trials.

What this means for $PSNL

Partial — Cancer genomics company providing tumor sequencing and immune microenvironment analysis via its NeXT Platform for drug development; partial earnings exposure to medical - diagnostics & research demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Industry benchmark

21-name peer basket
+34.1%YTD
+73.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-12.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-34.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-159%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-7.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
17.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-43.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
13.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 4, 2026$-0.30$-0.26-13.9%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$-0.29$-0.23-26.1%
Q4 2025Feb 26, 2026$-0.26$-0.31+16.1%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$-0.24$-0.28+14.3%
Next earningsTue, Nov 3·consensus EPS $-0.26

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$15.5M-24.9%1.8%-208%$-0.29$-25.7M
Q4 FY25$17.3M+3.2%11.0%-146%$-0.26$-22.3M
Q3 FY25$14.5M-43.6%13.2%-161%$-0.24$-23.4M
Q2 FY25$17.2M-23.8%27.6%-127%$-0.23$-13.2M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$78.9M$78.8M – $78.9M-$1.03-$1.10 – -$0.965
FY27$110.3M$106.7M – $114.0M-$0.89-$0.94 – -$0.835
FY28$151.7M$141.7M – $165.5M-$0.68-$0.74 – -$0.573
FY29$184.1M$174.9M – $193.3M-$0.58-$0.62 – -$0.542
FY30$227.4M$216.1M – $238.7M-$0.47-$0.50 – -$0.441

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.80%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+10.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+51.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 65.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.295-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 15Richard ChenPresident100.0K sh$1.5MSellJul 9Christopher M HallCEO100.0K sh$1.5MSellJun 29Aaron TachibanaCFO5.0K sh$70KSellJun 26Aaron TachibanaCFO51.3K sh$675KSellJun 26Christopher M HallCEO100.0K sh$1.3MSellJun 4Aaron TachibanaCFO40.0K sh$480KSellMay 29Christopher M HallCEO80.1K sh$883KSellMay 29Aaron TachibanaCFO38.8K sh$449K
+ 24 other (15 awards · 9 exempts) in window

See when $PSNL insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJul 21SC 13D/A
AI summary

Tempus AI, Inc. and founder Eric Lefkofsky filed Amendment No. 3 to their Schedule 13D on Personalis, Inc. (PSNL), triggered July 19, 2026. Between November 18 and December 22, 2025, Tempus purchased 320,267 additional Personalis shares in open-market transactions for approximately $2.74 million using working capital, bringing Tempus's stake to 13,039,067 shares (12.5%) and Lefkofsky's aggregate beneficial ownership to 13,189,067 shares (12.6%). The amendment discloses entry into a definitive merger agreement for Tempus to acquire Personalis in a tax-free stock-for-stock reorganization. This filing confirms Tempus's strategic intent to absorb Personalis's genomic profiling platform, having steadily accumulated shares since 2024.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 208-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

Personalis, Inc. (PSNL) entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger with Tempus AI, Inc. on July 20, 2026, under which Tempus will acquire Personalis through a two-step merger (Merger Sub I into PSNL, then PSNL into Merger Sub II), structured as a tax-free reorganization under Section 368(a). Per-share consideration for PSNL stockholders is not disclosed in the excerpt (the body cuts off before the deal terms). Both boards have approved; closing requires PSNL stockholder vote and customary regulatory conditions. This is a transformative deal — an oncology genomics company being absorbed by an AI health data platform.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 208-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Personalis, Inc. (PSNL) and Tempus AI, Inc. jointly issued a press release on July 20, 2026, announcing both the proposed acquisition of Personalis by Tempus under a signed Agreement and Plan of Merger and preliminary Personalis Q2 2026 financial results (both in Exhibit 99.1). The merger involves Tempus acquiring all PSNL shares through a two-step, tax-free reorganization. This is the companion Reg FD/Item 2.02 disclosure to the Item 1.01 merger agreement 8-K filed simultaneously — furnishing Q2 results alongside the deal announcement.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJun 10SC 13D/A
AI summary

Lightspeed Venture Partners Select IV, L.P. and affiliated entities (Cayman Islands) filed Amendment No. 3 to their Schedule 13D on Personalis, Inc. (PSNL) as of June 8, 2026, reporting aggregate beneficial ownership of 2,084,240 shares — approximately 2.0% of outstanding common stock — with shared voting and dispositive power across affiliated general partner entities. Filing a 13D at only 2% ownership is unusual (the 5%+ threshold normally triggers 13D), likely reflecting a prior larger position now reduced through sales. This amendment updates the public record of a declining Lightspeed stake in Personalis.

8-KShareholder voteMay 138-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Personalis, Inc. virtually held its 2026 Annual Meeting on May 12, 2026, with 91,869,300 shares (87.76% of 104,677,900 outstanding as of March 17, 2026 record date) represented by proxy or virtually. Stockholders voted on three proposals — director elections, advisory say-on-pay, and at least one additional item — as described in the April 2, 2026 proxy statement; specific vote tallies are not fully captured in the excerpt. Routine annual meeting disclosure; no contested items are apparent in the excerpt.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationMay 7S-3ASR
AI summary

Personalis, Inc. filed an automatic shelf registration statement (S-3ASR) on May 7, 2026, effective immediately upon filing, covering the offer and sale of securities on a delayed or continuous basis under Rule 415. Personalis is classified as a large accelerated filer based on the registration statement (S-3ASR eligibility requires it); total dollar amounts to be registered are not specified in the body excerpt. This shelf registration establishes a future capital-raising runway for Personalis — enabling equity, debt, or other securities issuances without a separate registration process each time, though no immediate offering is being priced.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 178-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 24 other (6 13Gs · 6 425s · 3 earnings 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Personalis (PSNL) Reports Q2 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimateszacks.com·11d agoPersonalis Reports Second Quarter Results and Recent Highlightsbusinesswire.com·11d agoPSNL Alert: Monsey Firm of Wohl & Fruchter Investigating Fairness of the Proposed Sale of Personalis to Tempus AIglobenewswire.com·11d agoAre BOW, UTZ, PSNL Obtaining Fair Deals for their Shareholders?prnewswire.com·12d agoPERSONALIS SHAREHOLDER ALERT: PSNL Shareholders Interested in Pursuing Potential Claims Should Contact Julie & Holleman Regarding Proposed Sale to Tempusglobenewswire.com·13d ago

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