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PEPEP

PepsiCo, Inc.

$PEP·$191B·Beverages - Non-Alcoholic·Consumer Defensive
$140.34-0.5%YTD-2.9%1Y-6.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 54 posts2026-08-23: 45 posts492+2%
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 8d ago
PEPEP
$PEPPepsiCo, Inc.
$140.34-0.52%492 posts+2%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $PEP, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

The consumer-staples classic near a 52-week low — no growth, cheap-ish, and the market has stopped paying for defensiveness.

PepsiCo is the diversified snacks + beverages giant (Frito-Lay + Pepsi + Gatorade + Quaker) and one of the classic defensive holdings in a US portfolio. It sits at the 19th percentile of its 52-week range — the tape has been unkind to a name usually treated as a coupon.

What explains it:

  • Growth is soft: Q1 revenue grew 8.5% year-on-year but the prior four quarters averaged closer to 4%, and price/mix carried the whole print — volumes are barely growing, what a mature staples business looks like once the tape stops paying for defensiveness.
  • Valuation is only modestly cheap: 22x earnings, 15.7x EV/EBITDA, 4.6% FCF yield with a ~3.5% dividend — well below peak-multiple pricing (30x+ in 2022-23), but not screaming for a business growing mid-single-digits.
  • A small strategic wrinkle: PEP will stop covering GLP-1 weight-loss drugs through employee health plans from October — reads as cost-management culture, and the earlier 'GLP-1 will hurt snacking' fear is now being priced by the employer, not just the market.
  • Insider signal is minor: one officer awarded and moved shares (Krishnan, $1.16M net), nothing directional.

The October 8 print is what breaks the stall — a volume re-acceleration and reiterated dividend guidance combined with cost-out visibility keeps the yield-chasers engaged; another flat-volume quarter with no margin improvement, and the multiple stays compressed as the market rotates toward cyclicals.

What to watch: October 8 earnings — the specific numbers are Frito-Lay volume trend (currently flat) and gross margin trajectory; a volume re-acceleration + reiterated dividend guidance holds the yield-chasers, another flat-volume quarter keeps the multiple compressed.

On the calendar: 2026-10-08 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment49 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

PepsiCo's own thread is dominated by a Pepecoin crypto namesake, but the equity conversation is cautiously bearish on demand and constructive on income. Bloomberg reporting that Pepsi will drop Wegovy and other GLP-1 coverage for employees starting in October is framed as a canary in the coal mine, with PwC research cited that food demand runs 5.5% lower in GLP-1 households. Value investors flag the roughly 4.2% dividend yield near 52-week lows and a $155 chart target.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $PEP

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  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes and distributes Pepsi, Gatorade, Lay's, and Doritos brands globally through owned and licensed bottler networks.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Beverages - Non-Alcoholic sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $PEP.

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · Consumer Defensive

Volume normalization — post-COVID destocking largely complete — and pricing moderation are the key dynamics in beverages. GLP-1 drug adoption is a long-term emerging headwind for caloric beverage consumption.

What this means for $PEP

Partial — semiconductor exposure exists but product mix may not fully align with the AI capex driver; PepsiCo, Inc.

Top industry ETF

$XLPConsumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
+9.9%YTD
+5.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
22.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
13.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
14.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
43.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
54.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 9, 2026$2.20$2.19+0.5%
Q1 2026Apr 16, 2026$1.61$1.54+4.5%
Q4 2025Feb 3, 2026$2.26$2.24+0.9%
Q3 2025Oct 9, 2025$2.29$2.26+1.3%
Next earningsThu, Oct 8·consensus EPS $2.31

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$19.4B+8.5%55.2%16.5%$1.70$-406.0M
Q4 FY25$29.3B+5.6%53.2%12.1%$1.86$4.7B
Q3 FY25$23.9B+2.7%53.6%15.5%$1.90$3.5B
Q2 FY25$22.7B+1.0%54.7%16.1%$0.92$1.1B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 17 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$99.0B$98.1B – $99.3B$8.55$8.45 – $8.6617
FY27$101.9B$101.4B – $102.7B$8.97$8.62 – $9.1917
FY28$105.3B$103.4B – $107.7B$9.46$7.61 – $10.5116
FY29$106.2B$105.2B – $107.7B$9.58$9.45 – $9.7511
FY30$109.6B$108.5B – $111.1B$9.97$9.84 – $10.1411

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.19%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+0.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-5.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.4B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.365-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 27David FlavellEVP, Gen Counsel & Corp Sec2.9K sh$405K
+ 6 other (4 awards · 2 others) in window

See when $PEP insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 83
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for PEP on 2026-05-08, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

8-KShareholder voteMay 88-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

PEP held its Annual Meeting of stockholders around 2026-05-08 (8-K Item 5.07). Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

+ 17 other (4 PX14A6Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 13Gs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Amazon Ads Launches "First Day Ready," a Multi-Brand Campaign Connecting Brands to Gen Z at College's Biggest Momentgurufocus.com·6h agoEFG International AG Takes Position in PepsiCo, Inc. $PEPdefenseworld.net·19h ago5,286 Shares in PepsiCo, Inc. $PEP Bought by First Bancorp Inc MEdefenseworld.net·19h agoCouncilmark Asset Management LLC Takes $579,000 Position in PepsiCo, Inc. $PEPdefenseworld.net·19h agoAnalyzing Tsingtao Brewery (OTCMKTS:TSGTF) and PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP)defenseworld.net·23h ago

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