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OTOTTR

Otter Tail Corporation

$OTTR·$3.7B·Conglomerates·Industrials
$90.13+0.5%YTD+9.5%1Y+17.4%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
OTOTTR
$OTTROtter Tail Corporation
$90.13+0.52%8 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $OTTR on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

8X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $OTTR — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Otter Tail is a diversified Minnesota utility and plastics name at 13x PE — Nov 2 earnings tests the plastics mix.

Otter Tail Corporation is a diversified holding — a Minnesota regulated utility plus a plastics manufacturing business. The combination has driven consistent earnings over cycles.

  • The business is stable: Q1 revenue +2.9% YoY at a 26.4% operating margin and ROIC of 7.7% — strong profitability from both the regulated-utility and plastics segments.
  • At 13.0x PE and 2.8x sales the valuation is reasonable for the quality — plastics cyclicality is the swing factor, but the utility segment anchors the downside.
  • 52-week range position is 68% with volume at 72% of average — upper-mid range on quiet volume, consolidating ahead of Nov 2 earnings.

Nov 2 Q3 is the gate — any confirmed plastics-segment stabilization plus utility rate-case progress extends the stock. A plastics-cycle softening or regulatory setback and the stock gives back some gain.

What to watch: Nov 2 Q3 — plastics-segment revenue and margin, utility rate-case progression, operating-margin trajectory, and FY27 guide. A plastics-cycle softening is the clear invalidator.

On the calendar: 2026-11-02 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $OTTR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates a regulated electric utility in Minnesota and Dakotas alongside plastics, packaging, and metal manufacturing businesses.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Conglomerates sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $OTTR.

Conglomerates · Industrials

Conglomerate discount is narrowing as activist pressure drives portfolio simplification (GE three-way split, Honeywell separation) and capital allocation clarity improves. Remaining diversified industrials benefit from cross-cycle revenue smoothing, but the structural trend toward focused pure-plays continues to limit re-rating potential for complex holding structures.

What this means for $OTTR

Neutral — Operates a regulated electric utility in Minnesota and Dakotas alongside plastics, packaging, and metal manufacturing businesses.

Industry benchmark

6-name peer basket
+35.5%YTD
-0.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
13.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
7.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
26.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
15.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
34.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 3, 2026$1.66$1.51+9.9%
Q1 2026May 4, 2026$1.73$1.42+21.8%
Q4 2025Feb 16, 2026$1.23$1.16+6.0%
Q3 2025Nov 3, 2025$1.86$1.80+3.3%
Next earningsMon, Nov 2·consensus EPS $1.55

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$347.0M+2.9%25.8%24.6%$1.73$-114.7M
Q4 FY25$308.1M+1.6%23.3%21.9%$1.24$22.3M
Q3 FY25$325.6M-3.7%45.5%29.7%$1.87$40.5M
Q2 FY25$333.0M-2.7%44.6%29.3%$1.86$53.7M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 3 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.3B$1.3B – $1.3B$6.08$5.92 – $6.212
FY27$1.4B$1.3B – $1.4B$5.22$5.08 – $5.333
FY28$1.4B$1.4B – $1.5B$4.02$3.47 – $4.423
FY29$1.4B$1.4B – $1.5B$4.44$4.32 – $4.541
FY30$1.5B$1.5B – $1.5B$4.96$4.83 – $5.072

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.76%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+0.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+1.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 41.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.455-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 11Paul L KnutsonVP, Human Resources475 sh$45KSellAug 10Paul L KnutsonVP, Human Resources250 sh$23KSellAug 7Paul L KnutsonVP, Human Resources3.5K sh$326K
+ 1 other (1 gift) in window

See when $OTTR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeSep 18-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Otter Tail Corporation disclosed that Director Thomas J. Webb has decided not to stand for re-election to the Board of Directors when his current term expires at the 2027 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, reflecting his planned retirement from the board. The filing states Webb's decision is not due to any disagreement with the company's management, operations, or policies. This represents a planned board transition through the normal annual meeting process.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 188-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

Otter Tail Corporation subsidiaries Northern Pipe Products, Inc. and Vinyltech Corporation agreed on June 17, 2026 to pay $30 million into a settlement fund to resolve all End-User Class (EUP) claims in the consolidated PVC Pipe Antitrust Litigation (N.D. Illinois, Case No. 1:24-cv-07639), subject to preliminary and final court approval. The $30M is inclusive of class member recovery, attorneys' fees, and administration costs, with payment due approximately 21 days after preliminary court approval. Material legal resolution — this settles one of three plaintiff classes (alongside Direct Purchaser and Non-Converter Seller classes) in a multi-defendant antitrust case spanning the PVC pipe industry.

8-KMaterial debt obligationJun 58-K — Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

OTTR (OTTR) disclosed the creation of a direct financial obligation under 8-K Item 2.03, reporting a new notes. The obligation totals approximately $5 at 5.33%. Item 2.03 is triggered when a company creates or assumes a material direct financial obligation, including borrowings under credit agreements, issuance of debt securities, or similar instruments. This disclosure ensures investors are promptly informed about new claims on company cash flows and changes to the capital structure.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 298-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

Otter Tail Corporation entered into two antitrust settlement agreements on May 28, 2026, resolving most claims in the consolidated In re: PVC Pipe Antitrust Litigation (N.D. Illinois). The company's subsidiaries Northern Pipe Products and Vinyltech agreed to pay $39.5 million to the Direct Purchaser Class and $34.0 million to the Non-Converter Seller Purchaser Class, for a combined $73.5 million, subject to court preliminary and final approval. Payments are expected approximately 21 days after preliminary approval. Claims from the End-User Class remain pending, so full resolution is not yet achieved, making this a significant but partial settlement of the antitrust exposure.

+ 9 other (3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Otter Tail Corporation Will Host Conference Call on Third Quarter 2026 Financial Resultsbusinesswire.com·4d agoOtter Tail Corporation $OTTR Shares Purchased by Engineers Gate Manager LPdefenseworld.net·30d agoContrasting Otter Tail (NASDAQ:OTTR) and Emera (OTCMKTS:EMRAF)defenseworld.net·44d agoOtter Tail: Still Worth Buying After Q2seekingalpha.com·72d agoOtter Tail Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsdefenseworld.net·72d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

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