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NWNWE

Northwestern Energy Group Inc

$NWE·$4.4B·Regulated Electric·Utilities
$69.16-1.6%YTD+8.2%1Y+20.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 0 posts10%
Price updated 8h ago·X counts updated 9d ago
NWNWE
$NWENorthwestern Energy Group Inc
$69.16-1.65%1 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NWE, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-21

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Montana utility with a Q2 EPS beat by 18% and a Cramer 'winning' plug — regulated-utility income story with a data-center growth wrinkle.

NorthWestern Energy is a regulated electric and natural-gas utility serving Montana, South Dakota, and Nebraska. The setup is a defensive dividend name where the incremental catalyst is data-center load-growth requests in Montana that could accelerate the rate-base build.

  • Q2 EPS came in at $0.50 versus $0.42 consensus (18% beat) and the pattern of the last four surprises (+18%, +2%, -2%, +5%) is net-positive with the most recent beat outsized.
  • Trades at 25.8x trailing earnings, 2.6x sales, and 13.2x EV/EBITDA with a debt-to-equity of 1.1 — the utility profile is standard, and the multiple reflects both defensive-income demand and rate-base growth expectations.
  • Sits at the 78th percentile of the 52-week range, up 23% year-on-year on modest volume — the tape has re-rated on the earnings beat plus the Aug 5 Cramer plug, and the low volume says the move is quiet accumulation rather than a squeeze.
  • Issued $150M of NWE Public Service secured senior notes on June 15 — the specific tell that the rate-base capex program is proceeding, funded through the standard utility playbook of subsidiary debt.

What extends the move is Nov 4 Q3 confirming continued residential-and-commercial load growth alongside a specific data-center customer disclosure. What breaks it is a specific Montana Public Service Commission rate-case outcome unfavorable to the utility or a rise in the 10-year treasury pressuring the utility-yield trade; income-oriented buyers set the marginal price here.

What to watch: Nov 4 Q3 earnings — consensus $0.821 EPS. Watch load growth in Montana, data-center customer disclosures, and any Montana Public Service Commission rate-case filings.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 earnings

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Regulated electric and gas utility serving Montana, South Dakota, and Nebraska communities.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Regulated Electric sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NWE.

Regulated Electric · Utilities

Rate base growth — driven by grid modernization and data center load additions — is the earnings engine for regulated utilities. Regulatory lag (rate cases vs actual capex) is the near-term cash flow timing risk.

What this means for $NWE

Partial — upstream oil & gas exposure ties to commodity price cycle; NorthWestern Corporation, which conducts business under the .

Industry benchmark

23-name peer basket
+5.6%YTD
-1.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
25.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
19.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-3.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
5.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
61.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$0.50$0.42+18.2%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$1.31$1.29+1.6%
Q4 2025Feb 11, 2026$1.17$1.19-1.7%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$0.79$0.75+5.3%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $0.82

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$497.6M+6.6%57.3%22.9%$1.03$43.3M
Q4 FY25$414.3M+10.9%49.0%14.5%$0.73$-93.7M
Q3 FY25$387.0M+12.1%83.4%20.7%$0.62$-26.9M
Q2 FY25$342.7M+7.1%59.8%17.7%$0.35$-70.6M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.7B$1.7B – $1.8B$3.76$3.72 – $3.783
FY27$1.8B$1.8B – $1.9B$3.96$3.91 – $4.004
FY28$1.9B$1.8B – $1.9B$4.24$4.23 – $4.264
FY29$1.9B$1.9B – $2.0B$4.44$4.30 – $4.673
FY30$2.0B$2.0B – $2.1B$4.68$4.53 – $4.923

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.69%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-2.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+0.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 61.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.365-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 17 other (17 awards) in window

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  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 308-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

NWE (NWE) filed an 8-K under Item 2.02 on 2026-07-30 announcing earnings results for the 2026. The filing furnishes a press release with the company's financial results and operational highlights. No detailed headline figures are available in the excerpt — the full earnings press release is attached as an exhibit. This is a routine earnings disclosure; materiality depends on whether results beat or missed consensus expectations.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 228-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Delaware 000-56598 93-2020320 entered into a material indenture on 2026-06-22 for $150, $150. Narrative: On June 15, 2026, NorthWestern Energy Public Service Corporation (" NWE Public Service "), a wholly owned subsidiary of NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc., d/b/a NorthWestern Energy (Nasdaq: NWE) (“ NWE Group ”), issued and sold $150 million principal amount of NWE Public Service's South Dakota First M...

8-KMaterial agreementJun 28-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

NorthWestern Corporation (NWE subsidiary) entered a $225M secured term loan with Bank of America on May 27, 2026; the full amount was drawn to repay a portion of the existing $425M unsecured revolving credit facility; secured by a first mortgage bond. Material shift from revolving to term debt; reduces revolver availability.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 28-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

NorthWestern Energy CFO Crystal Lail and IR team are attending a BMO non-deal roadshow in Boston (June 2) and the Mizuho Mid-Cap Utilities Conference in NYC (June 4), affirming 2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance of $3.68–$3.83 per diluted share. Routine investor relations disclosure with guidance reaffirmation.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 278-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

NorthWestern Energy Group disclosed under Regulation FD that CFO Crystal Lail and Investor Relations Director Travis Meyer attended the Bank of America Power, Utilities & Cleantech Conference in New York on May 27, 2026, and will conduct investor meetings in Boston on June 2, 2026, joined by Treasurer Emilie Ng. Presentation materials used at these events are filed as exhibits. This is a routine investor relations conference disclosure with no new material financial information — standard practice for regulated utilities maintaining investor communications.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 188-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. (NWE) disclosed via Reg FD on May 18, 2026 that management (including CEO Brian Bird and CFO Crystal Lail) would attend the 2026 AGA Financial Conference in Scottsdale, AZ (May 17-19), hosting one-on-one investor meetings and reaffirming 2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance of $3.68 to $3.83 per diluted share. A slide presentation is furnished as Exhibit 99.1. The guidance reaffirmation is mildly positive confirmation of no change from prior projections for this South Dakota-based regulated utility.

8-KShareholder voteMay 58-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

NWE held its Annual Meeting of stockholders around 2026-05-05 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 11 directors to the board. A non-binding say-on-pay vote on executive compensation was conducted. Independent auditor ratification was approved. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 308-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

NWE reported period ending 2026-04-30 financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

+ 9 other (3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys · 1 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Contrasting Black Hills (NYSE:BKH) and NorthWestern (NASDAQ:NWE)defenseworld.net·9d agoContrasting Black Hills (NYSE:BKH) and NorthWestern (NASDAQ:NWE)defenseworld.net·9d agoHow to Build $8,500 a Month in Dividend Income Without Selling a Single Share247wallst.com·26d agoThis $2.4 Million Portfolio Pays $16,000 a Month From Four Income Buckets247wallst.com·26d agoThe Dividend Income Illusion: Why Your 8% Yield Is Really Paying You 5%247wallst.com·26d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $NWE on X in the last 7 days.

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