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NWNWE

Northwestern Energy Group Inc

$NWE·$4.5B·Diversified Utilities·Utilities
$73.27+2.2%YTD+13.5%1Y+41.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 2 posts2026-07-10: 2 posts2026-07-11: 1 posts2026-07-12: 0 posts2026-07-13: 0 posts2026-07-14: 0 posts2026-07-15: 2 posts70%
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
NWNWE
$NWENorthwestern Energy Group Inc
$73.27+2.16%7 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NWE, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Montana-focused electric-and-gas utility catching the AI-driven power-demand wave with dividend-champion positioning.

NorthWestern Energy is a diversified electric and natural-gas utility operating primarily in Montana, South Dakota, Nebraska, and Yellowstone County — a regulated utility whose base earnings track rate-base growth, and whose current outsized narrative comes from the AI-driven data-centre power-demand build-out putting equipment supply and generation capacity in short supply.

  • Q1 revenue grew 6.6% year-on-year following Q4's 10.9% — a cadence that is unusually strong for a regulated utility of this shape.
  • The last two EPS surprises came in near-in-line: 1.6% beat and 1.7% miss — the operating pattern is stable rather than surprise-driven.
  • Consensus models $1.73B of calendar-26 revenue at $3.73 EPS across five analysts, rising to $1.82B and $3.97 in 2027 — mid-single-digit EPS growth in line with typical utility ranges.
  • Shares are up 39% over twelve months and 11% year-to-date, sitting at the 86th percentile of the 52-week range and 6% above the 200-day — the tape reflects the AI-power-demand rerate.

The 29 July Q2 print will refresh regulated-rate progress and any AI-data-centre power-capacity commentary; the setup is a name where the operating profile is defensive-plus-growth-optionality, and the near-term levers are rate-case outcomes and any specific data-centre-load MOU disclosure.

What to watch: The 29 July Q2 print — rate-base growth, capex trajectory, any AI-data-centre load-commitment MOUs, and equipment-supply commentary given the current industry-wide transformer and turbine shortage. Any rate-case decision in Montana or South Dakota would materially affect the modelled earnings.

On the calendar: Q2 earnings 29 July 2026

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Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NWE

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Regulated electric and gas utility serving Montana, South Dakota, and Nebraska communities.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Diversified Utilities sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NWE.

Diversified Utilities · Utilities

No material change from last week — the 127-gigawatt power demand problem makes regulated utility rate base expansion politically visible and M&A optionality more credible.

What this means for $NWE

Neutral — Regulated electric and gas utility serving Montana, South Dakota, and Nebraska communities; limited exposure means the 127-gigawatt AI power demand problem driving regulated rate base expansion is not a near-term catalyst or headwind.

Top industry ETF

$XLUUtilities Select Sector SPDR
+6.0%YTD
+10.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
25.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
19.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-3.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
5.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
61.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$1.31$1.29+1.6%
Q4 2025Feb 11, 2026$1.17$1.19-1.7%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$0.79$0.75+5.3%
Q2 2025Jul 30, 2025$0.40$0.38+5.3%
Next earningsWed, Jul 29·consensus EPS $0.51

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$497.6M+6.6%57.3%22.9%$1.03$43.3M
Q4 FY25$414.3M+10.9%49.0%14.5%$0.73$-93.7M
Q3 FY25$387.0M+12.1%83.4%20.7%$0.62$-26.9M
Q2 FY25$342.7M+7.1%59.8%17.7%$0.35$-70.6M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.7B$1.7B – $1.8B$3.73$3.69 – $3.762
FY27$1.8B$1.8B – $1.9B$3.97$3.92 – $4.014
FY28$1.9B$1.9B – $1.9B$4.24$4.21 – $4.285
FY29$1.9B$1.9B – $2.0B$4.46$4.38 – $4.622
FY30$2.0B$2.0B – $2.1B$4.66$4.58 – $4.822

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.92%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+3.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+8.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 61.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.365-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 57 other (33 awards · 24 inkinds) in window

See when $NWE insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementJun 228-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Delaware 000-56598 93-2020320 entered into a material indenture on 2026-06-22 for $150, $150. Narrative: On June 15, 2026, NorthWestern Energy Public Service Corporation (" NWE Public Service "), a wholly owned subsidiary of NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc., d/b/a NorthWestern Energy (Nasdaq: NWE) (“ NWE Group ”), issued and sold $150 million principal amount of NWE Public Service's South Dakota First M...

8-KMaterial agreementJun 28-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

NorthWestern Corporation (NWE subsidiary) entered a $225M secured term loan with Bank of America on May 27, 2026; the full amount was drawn to repay a portion of the existing $425M unsecured revolving credit facility; secured by a first mortgage bond. Material shift from revolving to term debt; reduces revolver availability.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 28-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

NorthWestern Energy CFO Crystal Lail and IR team are attending a BMO non-deal roadshow in Boston (June 2) and the Mizuho Mid-Cap Utilities Conference in NYC (June 4), affirming 2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance of $3.68–$3.83 per diluted share. Routine investor relations disclosure with guidance reaffirmation.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 278-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

NorthWestern Energy Group disclosed under Regulation FD that CFO Crystal Lail and Investor Relations Director Travis Meyer attended the Bank of America Power, Utilities & Cleantech Conference in New York on May 27, 2026, and will conduct investor meetings in Boston on June 2, 2026, joined by Treasurer Emilie Ng. Presentation materials used at these events are filed as exhibits. This is a routine investor relations conference disclosure with no new material financial information — standard practice for regulated utilities maintaining investor communications.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 188-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. (NWE) disclosed via Reg FD on May 18, 2026 that management (including CEO Brian Bird and CFO Crystal Lail) would attend the 2026 AGA Financial Conference in Scottsdale, AZ (May 17-19), hosting one-on-one investor meetings and reaffirming 2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance of $3.68 to $3.83 per diluted share. A slide presentation is furnished as Exhibit 99.1. The guidance reaffirmation is mildly positive confirmation of no change from prior projections for this South Dakota-based regulated utility.

8-KShareholder voteMay 58-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

NWE held its Annual Meeting of stockholders around 2026-05-05 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 11 directors to the board. A non-binding say-on-pay vote on executive compensation was conducted. Independent auditor ratification was approved. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 308-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

NWE reported period ending 2026-04-30 financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

8-KShareholder voteApr 38-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

NWE held its Special Meeting of stockholders around 2026-04-03 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 2 directors to the board. A non-binding say-on-pay vote on executive compensation was conducted. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

+ 14 other (3 13Gs · 3 proxys · 3 425s · 2 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Small-cap outperformance is persisting — and these 15 quality stocks pay rich dividendsmarketwatch.com·2d agoThe AI-Driven Rise in Power Bills Are Causing a $25 Billion Problem for Utility Stocksfool.com·3d agoUS power companies scramble to secure equipment as surging data center demand strains suppliesreuters.com·8d agoNorthWestern Energy to Host Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results Webinarbusinesswire.com·15d agoDividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week Of June 7seekingalpha.com·41d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

The Power Grid

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Voices on X · last 7 days

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