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OSOSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 53% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (2.5K/wk), no spike
$OSCR·$7.7B·Medical - Healthcare Plans·Healthcare
$28.43-3.5%YTD+103.8%1Y+37.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-06-22: 354 posts2026-06-23: 213 posts2026-06-24: 323 posts2026-06-25: 132 posts2026-06-26: 450 posts2026-06-27: 920 posts2026-06-28: 84 posts2,487+42%
Price updated 4m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
OSOSCR
$OSCROscar Health, Inc.
$28.43-3.46%2.5k posts+42%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $OSCR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-06-27

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

ACA insurer hit profitability with a 70.5% MLR and is at 52-week highs — but the founder just unloaded $30M into the move.

Oscar Health is the ACA-marketplace-focused health insurer that everyone left for dead in 2023 — it has now doubled this year on a turn to profitability and is at 52-week highs. The Q1 print was the line in the sand: revenue up 53% YoY with the medical loss ratio dropping into the high-60s/low-70s, which is the level where a small insurer actually keeps money.

What's driving it:

  • Q1 was a real profitability print: $4.65B revenue with $679M of net income at a 70.5% MLR — that ratio is the entire game for a marketplace insurer, and Oscar has been trying to get there since IPO; it has finally arrived and analysts haven't fully repriced it.
  • Cigna's exit from the ACA marketplace after 2026 is a structural tailwind: every member Cigna sheds is a member up for grabs, and Oscar's tech-first member acquisition model is positioned to capture more share than peers using mostly brokers.
  • The trajectory is supported by the calendar: ~3.17M members already (+56% YoY) and revenue guidance pacing toward ~$18.5B for FY26 — even at 1x sales that math gets the stock toward $50.
  • The honest counterweight is on the insider side: co-founder/director Mario Schlosser sold $30M of stock at $29.37 the day before this print, and four other officers sold smaller blocks at $21.94 in early June — not a thesis-killer, but the people closest to the numbers took meaningful chips off as the run extended.

The Aug 5 Q2 print is the next test. A medical loss ratio holding below 75% and a re-up of FY26 guidance keep the breakout intact; a soft MLR or any sign that special enrollment costs are creeping back gets the recent insider selling repriced as smart, not routine.

Agrees with X sentimentX has the bull frame right: 1x P/S, 30x P/E to $75-$115 is reasonable math if profitability holds, and Bertolini's prior $11.9M buy at $11.92 is now up ~140%, which is real conviction. The Schlosser $30M sale at $29.37 is the underweighted counterpoint — that's the kind of liquidity event that often marks a near-term ceiling.

What to watch: Aug 5 Q2 earnings: MLR holding below 75% and FY26 revenue guide ≥ $18.5B keeps the trajectory intact. A softer MLR or evidence that risk-adjusted enrollment economics are deteriorating is what would seal the recent insider supply as informed.

On the calendar: 2026-08-05 — Q2 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment109 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-29

Oscar Health pushed through $30 for the first time in years and is up roughly 100% YTD, with the conversation framing it as the standout non-AI breakout. Barclays set a $35 price target, CEO publicly calls it a $40+ stock, and management is expected to beat EPS estimates by 200%+. The monthly chart shows a textbook cup-and-handle and posters note all-time-high institutional ownership building. The bear case anchors to ACA enrollment risk and Marketplace headwinds, but the dominant tone is that the breakout is mid-cycle, not late.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $OSCR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Tech-enabled individual, small group, and Medicare Advantage health insurance with a member-facing digital platform.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Medical - Healthcare Plans sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $OSCR.

Medical - Healthcare Plans · Healthcare

Tech-enabled Medicare Advantage growth is bifurcating managed care — Oscar Health's AI-driven clinical platform is gaining member growth while the UNH Medicaid fraud litigation adds regulatory risk to legacy insurers. The healthcare plan up 90% this year signals the market is pricing AI-enhanced clinical cost management as a structural advantage.

What this means for $OSCR

Direct beneficiary — Oscar Health's AI-driven Medicare Advantage platform that helps physicians manage chronic disease and reduce medical costs is the structural growth thesis; the stock's decline despite market improvement reflects short-term margin concerns, not the long-term AI clinical cost management thesis.

Top industry ETF

$IHFiShares U.S. Healthcare Providers ETF
+15.2%YTD
+13.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-185.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
0.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
0.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
44.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-3.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
17.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$2.07$1.21+71.1%
Q4 2025Feb 10, 2026$-1.24$-0.92-34.6%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$-0.53$-0.55+3.6%
Q2 2025Aug 6, 2025$-0.89$-0.90+1.1%
Next earningsWed, Aug 5·consensus EPS $0.34

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$4.6B+52.6%30.5%15.2%$2.28$2.6B
Q4 FY25$2.8B+17.3%6.6%-11.9%$-1.24$662.8M
Q3 FY25$3.0B+23.2%13.4%-4.3%$-0.53$-973.7M
Q2 FY25$2.9B+29.0%10.9%-8.0%$-0.89$499.8M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$18.5B$18.3B – $18.7B$1.04-$0.80 – $2.537
FY27$19.9B$19.6B – $20.2B$1.45$0.05 – $2.637
FY28$22.2B$22.1B – $22.3B$2.14$1.93 – $2.366
FY29$25.3B$23.2B – $26.2B$2.62$2.34 – $2.745
FY30$28.2B$25.9B – $29.2B$2.82$2.52 – $2.953

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.94%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+27.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+66.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 246.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.395-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 26Mark T BertoliniCEO591.2K sh$17.3MSellJun 25Mark T BertoliniCEO615.1K sh$17.6MSellJun 23Mario SchlosserDirector993.7K sh$29.2MSellJun 2Mario SchlosserDirector34.1K sh$749KSellJun 2Victoria BaltrusChief Accounting Officer1.5K sh$33KSellJun 2Janet LiangPresident12.5K sh$274KSellJun 2Blackley Richard ScottCFO31.7K sh$695KSellJun 2Adam McananeyChief Legal Officer9.9K sh$216KSellMay 18Blackley Richard ScottCFO110.0K sh$2.8MSellMay 14Blackley Richard ScottCFO100.0K sh$2.3M
1–10 of 20
+ 27 other (18 awards · 5 conversions · 2 exempts · 1 inkind · 1 gift) in window

See when $OSCR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 98-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Oscar Health (OSCR) held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 4, 2026, with all eight director nominees elected by wide margins and both advisory proposals (executive compensation and auditor ratification) approved. Nominees included Mark Bertolini, Joshua Kushner, Mario Schlosser, and five others; PricewaterhouseCoopers was ratified as auditor with 819.5M votes for vs. 710K against. The dual-class structure (Class A = 1 vote, Class B = 20 votes; 265.5M Class A and 35.6M Class B shares outstanding) means insider control remains dominant. This is a routine governance event with no immediate financial impact.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 88-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Oscar Health (OSCR) disclosed on June 8, 2026 (Item 7.01, Reg FD) that it participated in a fireside chat at the Goldman Sachs 47th Annual Global Healthcare Conference at approximately 11:20 AM ET. The company provided a business update and reaffirmed its full year 2026 guidance as previously issued in the February 10, 2026 earnings press release. A webcast replay was made available at ir.hioscar.com. This is a routine investor relations disclosure; the guidance reaffirmation is the key signal, suggesting no material changes to OSCR's financial outlook.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

OSCR (OSCR) filed an 8-K under Item 5.02 disclosing a change in its executive leadership or board composition. The filing reports both a departure and an appointment in CEO. Individuals named in the filing include Oscar Health, Exact Name. Leadership changes at the C-suite and board level are material events requiring 8-K disclosure within four business days, as they can affect company strategy, investor confidence, and operational continuity.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 218-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

OSCR filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-04-21. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 28-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KMaterial agreementFeb 108-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
+ 9 other (2 proxys · 2 13Gs · 1 10-Q · 1 earnings 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Oscar Health, Inc. (OSCR) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investorszacks.com·6d agoOscar Health Inc (OSCR) Stock Up 4.9% but GF Value Says Overvalued -- GF Score: 79/100gurufocus.com·7d agoA Look at Oscar Health Inc (OSCR) After 3.1% Gain -- GF Value $20.91 vs Price $29.14gurufocus.com·15d agoThis Little-Known Healthcare Stock Is Up 90% This Year, and the Party Might Just Be Getting Startedfool.com·16d agoOscar Health, Inc. (OSCR) Stock Declines While Market Improves: Some Information for Investorszacks.com·18d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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