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MOMOH

Molina Healthcare, Inc.

$MOH·$11B·Medical - Healthcare Plans·Healthcare
$210.20+1.4%YTD+20.4%1Y+6.4%
Price updated 8h ago·X counts updated 8d ago
MOMOH
$MOHMolina Healthcare, Inc.
$210.20+1.37%51 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $MOH on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

51X posts · last 7 days
Oct 2Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $MOH's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 50% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-17

Molina Healthcare chatter is bullish - Michael Burry added to his MOH position (held through a horrific earnings selloff since December and is up nicely). Chartists describe MOH as approaching a buy zone at $164-142 with support at the 0.786 fib and gap fill confluence, framing MOH as a textbook Elliott Wave setup with a Wave 3 target of +117%. As long as $114 holds, the long-term bullish structure remains intact. MOH is repeatedly described as a defensive-portfolio-required position.

Read what X is saying about $MOH

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $MOH — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Michael Burry added to Molina Healthcare — a managed-care name with a very specific Elliott Wave setup into Oct 21.

Molina Healthcare is a Medicaid-and-Medicare managed-care insurer whose 2026 drawdown reflected a specific disappointing earnings print, now meeting a specific institutional-plus-technical setup.

  • The P&L is modestly compressed: Q2 revenue was down 3.1% YoY to $10.8B at a thin 1.6% operating margin and $0.27 EPS, with trailing EPS beats of 8.6% and 23.7% — the earnings surprises are consistent even as the top line compresses, which is unusual and bullish.
  • The specific institutional signal is Michael Burry adding — a disciplined-value capital allocator with a long track record positioning around a specific drawdown name, combined with Elliott Wave technicals (Wave 3 target +117%, as long as $114 holds) and the 'textbook setup' community commentary.

At 55% of its 52-week range going into Oct 21 earnings, the setup is coiled on validation. Another 20%+ EPS surprise plus any disclosed Medicaid-rate-cycle commentary is the trigger; a soft MLR print or any Medicaid-funding-cut signal is the invalidation.

Agrees with X sentimentThe Michael Burry adding framing and the Elliott Wave technical setup are both grounded datapoints. The 'as long as $114 holds' discipline matches the honest sizing approach.

What to watch: Oct 21 Q3 earnings — Medicaid medical-loss ratio, member growth, operating margin direction, and FY27 guide. Clean MLR plus member growth is the trigger; MLR deterioration is the invalidation.

On the calendar: 2026-10-21 — Q3 earnings

event ahead 30dburry positioning

Read the AI verdict on $MOH

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Managed care organization focused exclusively on Medicaid, Medicare, and government marketplace health plans across 18 states.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Medical - Healthcare Plans sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $MOH.

Medical - Healthcare Plans · Healthcare

Medicaid redeterminations (post-COVID eligibility reviews) have reduced Medicaid enrollment ~15M from peak, improving commercial insurance mix at managed care organizations; Medicare Advantage star ratings and benchmark rate adjustments are the primary 2026 earnings variable. MLR creep from utilization recovery and GLP-1 pharmacy costs are the key margin headwinds.

What this means for $MOH

Partial — Managed care organization focused exclusively on Medicaid, Medicare, and government marketplace health plans across 18 states.

Top industry ETF

$IHFiShares U.S. Healthcare Providers ETF
+19.1%YTD
+14.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
60.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
5.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
1.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
4.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
12.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 22, 2026$1.51$1.39+8.6%
Q1 2026Apr 22, 2026$2.35$1.90+23.7%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$-2.75$0.43-739.5%
Q3 2025Oct 22, 2025$1.84$3.97-53.7%
Next earningsWed, Oct 21·consensus EPS $0.79

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$10.8B-3.1%9.5%1.6%$0.27$1.1B
Q4 FY25$11.4B+8.3%22.5%-1.4%$-2.81$-297.0M
Q3 FY25$11.5B+11.0%8.1%1.2%$1.51$-163.0M
Q2 FY25$11.4B+15.7%10.2%3.3%$4.76$-344.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 14 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$44.5B$43.9B – $45.1B$5.24$5.16 – $5.3812
FY27$48.0B$44.6B – $49.4B$9.72$8.97 – $10.9612
FY28$50.9B$45.7B – $55.6B$13.52$11.13 – $15.2814
FY29$55.5B$52.5B – $57.1B$21.28$19.80 – $22.128
FY30$55.4B$52.4B – $57.1B$23.86$22.20 – $24.8012

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.72%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+5.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+14.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 47.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.785-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 14Maurice HebertChief Accounting Officer600 sh$115KSellMay 11Jeff D. BarlowChief Legal Officer17.8K sh$3.3M
+ 23 other (22 awards · 1 inkind) in window

See when $MOH insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 108-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Molina Healthcare announced that the Illinois Department of Healthcare and Family Services intends to award a HealthChoice Illinois Medicaid Managed Care program contract to Molina's Illinois subsidiary. This significant contract win will add managed care members and premium revenue to Molina's portfolio in one of the country's larger state Medicaid programs.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 118-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 88-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
3New insider — initial holdingsMay 63
+ 11 other (7 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 1 earnings 8-K · 1 S-8) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Can Molina Healthcare Overcome Lower Premiums and Higher MCR in Q3?zacks.com·4d agoOscar Health vs. Molina: Which Healthcare Stock Is a Better Buy?zacks.com·4d agoAnalysts Estimate Molina (MOH) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out forzacks.com·6d agoCentene vs. Molina: Which Managed Care Stock Has More Upside?zacks.com·8d agoMolina Healthcare of Nebraska Donates $30,000 to Support Lead Testing in Over 20 Rural Countiesbusinesswire.com·19d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $MOH on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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