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MOMOH

Molina Healthcare, Inc.

$MOH·$10B·Medical - Healthcare Plans·Healthcare
$200.80-1.0%YTD+10.0%1Y+17.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-28: 0 posts2026-08-29: 3 posts2026-08-30: 1 posts2026-08-31: 11 posts2026-09-01: 3 posts2026-09-02: 4 posts2026-09-03: 3 posts26+5%
Price updated 10h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
MOMOH
$MOHMolina Healthcare, Inc.
$200.80-1.04%26 posts+5%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $MOH, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-09-03

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Molina at 66% of range with revenue flat and mixed EPS but Michael Burry adding on the beaten-down setup.

Molina Healthcare is a scaled Medicare-and-Medicaid-focused managed-care operator whose earnings are volatile and whose equity is trading in the middle of its range as well-known investors position around a specific technical setup.

  • Market cap is about $10.3B with the stock at $202.62, up 10% year-to-date and 11% over the last twelve months, so the equity has outperformed some managed-care peers on this window.
  • Price-to-earnings is around 60.4 with operating margin near 1.2%, gross margin near 13% and free cash flow yield about 2.1%, typical thin-margin economics for a Medicaid-heavy plan.
  • Recent quarterly revenue was $10.8B down about 3% year-over-year and the last four earnings prints ranged from a 739% miss to a 24% beat, so surprises are highly variable and driven by medical-cost-trend dynamics.
  • The stock sits at 66% of its 52-week range, roughly 4% below the 50-day but 15% above the 200-day moving averages on below-average volume with a low beta of 0.75, a cooling profile at defensive volatility.

Michael Burry adding to his MOH position through the earnings selloff plus continued institutional accumulation frame the constructive side, and into Q3 earnings on 2026-10-28 the important question is whether medical cost trend stabilizes and Medicaid rate updates support a return to consistent beats or the volatile surprise pattern extends further.

Agrees with X sentimentX captures Michael Burry's added position and the Elliott Wave-style bullish structure framing accurately; the numbers and the tape support a two-sided read given the volatile beat/miss cadence.

What to watch: Q3 earnings on 2026-10-28 for medical cost ratio by segment, Medicaid rate update commentary, Medicare Advantage membership trend, and any capital-return activity.

On the calendar: 2026-10-28 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-17

Molina Healthcare chatter is bullish - Michael Burry added to his MOH position (held through a horrific earnings selloff since December and is up nicely). Chartists describe MOH as approaching a buy zone at $164-142 with support at the 0.786 fib and gap fill confluence, framing MOH as a textbook Elliott Wave setup with a Wave 3 target of +117%. As long as $114 holds, the long-term bullish structure remains intact. MOH is repeatedly described as a defensive-portfolio-required position.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $MOH

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Managed care organization focused exclusively on Medicaid, Medicare, and government marketplace health plans across 18 states.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Medical - Healthcare Plans sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $MOH.

Medical - Healthcare Plans · Healthcare

Medical loss ratio trends are the central earnings variable; Medicaid redeterminations and ACA enrollment shifts are rebalancing member mix. Prior authorization practices face regulatory pressure that could weigh on cost control levers.

What this means for $MOH

Partial — insurance earnings follow combined ratio and investment income dynamics, partially correlated to industry macro; Molina Healthcare, Inc.

Top industry ETF

$IHFiShares U.S. Healthcare Providers ETF
+17.6%YTD
+21.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
60.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
5.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
1.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
4.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
12.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 22, 2026$1.51$1.39+8.6%
Q1 2026Apr 22, 2026$2.35$1.90+23.7%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$-2.75$0.43-739.5%
Q3 2025Oct 22, 2025$1.84$3.97-53.7%
Next earningsWed, Oct 21·consensus EPS $0.82

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$10.8B-3.1%9.5%1.6%$0.27$1.1B
Q4 FY25$11.4B+8.3%22.5%-1.4%$-2.81$-297.0M
Q3 FY25$11.5B+11.0%8.1%1.2%$1.51$-163.0M
Q2 FY25$11.4B+15.7%10.2%3.3%$4.76$-344.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 12 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$44.5B$44.2B – $45.1B$5.23$4.99 – $5.5212
FY27$48.2B$45.9B – $53.4B$9.76$8.46 – $12.4111
FY28$51.1B$45.8B – $55.7B$13.55$11.08 – $15.2212
FY29$56.2B$53.4B – $58.6B$21.41$20.02 – $22.5511
FY30$56.9B$54.1B – $59.3B$24.55$22.96 – $25.876

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.64%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-4.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+13.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

β0.755-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 14Maurice HebertChief Accounting Officer600 sh$115KSellMay 11Jeff D. BarlowChief Legal Officer17.8K sh$3.3MSellMar 12Ronna RomneyDirector506 sh$74K
+ 22 other (21 awards · 1 inkind) in window

See when $MOH insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 108-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Molina Healthcare announced that the Illinois Department of Healthcare and Family Services intends to award a HealthChoice Illinois Medicaid Managed Care program contract to Molina's Illinois subsidiary. This significant contract win will add managed care members and premium revenue to Molina's portfolio in one of the country's larger state Medicaid programs.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 118-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 88-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
3New insider — initial holdingsMay 63
+ 18 other (9 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Here's Why Investors Should Retain Molina Healthcare Stock for Nowzacks.com·9d agoZacks Industry Outlook UnitedHealth, The Cigna, Humana, Centene and Molinazacks.com·11d ago5 HMO Stocks to Watch Amid Steady Premium Flow, Increased Digitizationzacks.com·12d agoMolina Healthcare of Michigan Donates $85,000 to Support Two Organizations Addressing Hunger and Housing in Bay and Saginaw Countiesbusinesswire.com·15d agoMolina (MOH) Down 1.7% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?zacks.com·15d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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