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ORORCL

Oracle Corporation

$ORCL·$423B·Software - Infrastructure·Technology
$149.07-1.2%YTD-26.2%1Y-33.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 134 posts1,691+8%
Price updated 11h ago·X counts updated 9d ago
ORORCL
$ORCLOracle Corporation
$149.07-1.18%1.7k posts+8%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ORCL, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-09-01

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

$638B RPO up 363% versus a chart 26% off highs; Sept 8 earnings is a genuine binary here.

Oracle is the enterprise database and cloud-infrastructure franchise, and its OCI business became the surprise second-line hyperscaler on the back of OpenAI's compute demand. The 2026 tape is a standoff between a fundamental story that keeps improving and a chart that keeps breaking.

Why Sept 8 matters more than usual:

  • The RPO number is the whole bull case — $638B in remaining performance obligations up 363% YoY would be extraordinary even relative to Microsoft or Google Cloud, and it's why Citi is on a 90-day catalyst-watch with a $330 target.
  • The core P&L is healthy — last quarter revenue grew 22% YoY to $17.2B at a 66% gross margin and 31% operating margin; consensus is $67.3B with $7.49 EPS. At $149 that's ~20x forward, cheap for the growth if you believe the RPO converts.
  • The bear counter is credible — Burry added to his short at $152, Oracle's five-year CDS trades above 200bp, and there are open questions about SPV debt that would inflate hyperscaler leverage; the tape has been listening.
  • Structural setup is coiled at the wrong end — 15% of the 52-week range, 12% below the 200-day, and volume 43% below average.

Sept 8 is genuinely binary: a beat with meaningful CAPEX-and-conversion guidance on the RPO plus explicit OpenAI-scale disclosure is a re-rate trigger; a beat-and-hedge print with softness in the OCI margin arc hands Burry the next chapter.

Agrees with X sentimentX captures the standoff correctly — the RPO and Citi target are real bullish inputs and the Burry short + CDS spread are real bearish inputs; agree in the framing while noting that the tape has been trading with the bears for most of 2026.

What to watch: Sept 8 earnings — OCI margin trend, explicit RPO-to-revenue conversion guidance, and any CAPEX disclosure that clarifies the SPV-debt question; a beat-and-hedge print keeps the breakdown running.

On the calendar: 2026-09-08 — FQ1 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment109 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

Oracle is the market's cleanest bull-bear standoff right now. Bulls flag a $638B RPO backlog up 363% year over year, Citi's 90-day upside catalyst watch with a $330 target, a stock at 18x forward, and OpenAI compute demand. Bears counter with Michael Burry adding to his short at $152, Oracle's five-year CDS above 200bp, an OpenAI data-center-head departure, and claims of hidden SPV debt inflating true hyperscaler leverage.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ORCL

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Provides enterprise database software, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, and cloud ERP and HCM applications to large organizations.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Infrastructure sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ORCL.

Software - Infrastructure · Technology

SaaS multiples remain compressed as rate-sensitive valuations weigh on pure-play software; customers are lengthening deal cycles outside of AI-native workloads. AI co-pilot upsell is the only clear near-term catalyst — companies without it are treading water.

What this means for $ORCL

Partial — cloud infrastructure exposure benefits indirectly from hyperscaler capex; core business is Oracle Corporation, a global technology giant, provides a comprehensive suite of.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-4.2%YTD
+2.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
37.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
30.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-4.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
9.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
57.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
66.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
4.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 10, 2026$2.11$1.96+7.7%
Q4 2025Mar 10, 2026$1.79$1.70+5.3%
Q3 2025Dec 10, 2025$2.26$1.64+37.8%
Q2 2025Sep 9, 2025$1.47$1.48-0.7%
Next earningsTue, Sep 8·consensus EPS $1.73

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$17.2B+21.7%62.2%32.8%$1.28$-11.5B
Q2 FY26$16.1B+14.2%66.5%29.5%$2.15$-10.0B
Q1 FY26$14.9B+12.2%67.3%28.7%$1.04$-362.0M
Q4 FY25$15.9B+11.3%70.2%32.1%$1.22$-2.9B

Forward consensus

6-year forecast · up to 32 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$67.3B$67.0B – $67.4B$7.49$7.03 – $7.5830
FY27$89.6B$88.6B – $90.4B$8.05$7.82 – $8.1532
FY28$130.4B$119.3B – $138.6B$10.91$8.45 – $12.2230
FY29$180.1B$146.6B – $200.5B$15.37$10.51 – $18.1822
FY30$218.5B$189.9B – $231.6B$19.77$16.41 – $21.3111
FY31$257.1B$223.5B – $272.5B$23.95$19.88 – $25.8120

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.15%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+5.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-12.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.7B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.725-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 24Jeffrey HenleyChair400.0K sh$63.7MSellApr 16Stuart LeveyEVP, Chief Legal Officer15.0K sh$2.6M
+ 23 other (11 awards · 7 exempts · 2 inkinds · 2 others · 1 gift) in window

See when $ORCL insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 23424B5
AI summary

ORCL filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement on 2026-06-23. This represents dilution happening now.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 143
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for ORCL on 2026-05-14, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 128-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

ORCL disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-05-12). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 143
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for ORCL on 2026-04-14, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 68-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

ORCL disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-06). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. President and Group Chief Financial Officer of Schneider Electric. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

+ 7 other (2 8-Ks · 1 10-K · 1 SD · 1 11-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

DELL, ORCL, ZS & This Week's Tech Earnings to Gauge Lasting AI Strengthyoutube.com·12h agoHere's Why Oracle (ORCL) Fell More Than Broader Marketzacks.com·13h agoOracle May Remain A Chronic Underperformerseekingalpha.com·14h agoTrump Warns Against Killing the Data Center 'Golden Goose': 5 Stocks to Watchbenzinga.com·19h agoMachine learning algorithm sets Oracle stock price for September 30, 2026finbold.com·1d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureAgentic AI & Enterprise Software

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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