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NVNVX

Novonix Limited

$NVX·$70M·Electrical Equipment & Parts·Industrials
$0.45-4.1%YTD-55.6%1Y-59.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-07: 0 posts2026-07-08: 1 posts2026-07-09: 1 posts2026-07-10: 1 posts2026-07-11: 1 posts2026-07-12: 1 posts2026-07-13: 2 posts7+33%
Price updated 15h ago·X counts updated 14h ago
NVNVX
$NVXNovonix Limited
$0.45-4.11%7 posts+33%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NVX, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-13

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Novonix at 1.4th percentile — the battery-materials nano-cap with revenue collapsing 35%.

Novonix Limited is a nano-cap ($70M market cap) Australian battery-materials company. The stock is down 54% YTD and 57% over 12 months and now at literally 1.4th-percentile 52-week range — the tape has essentially left the name.

Where the setup is:

  • The business is contracting and deeply unprofitable: Q1 revenue was $2.8M, down 35% year over year, with operating margin at -921% — that's not a business struggling to grow, it's a business losing revenue with no operating leverage.
  • The valuation is disconnected: at 24x sales and negative PE, the equity is priced on optionality that hasn't materialized — the 24x-sales multiple would be reasonable for a growth-stage supplier at 3x growth; instead, revenue is declining.
  • The tape is in genuine distribution: 1.4th-percentile 52-week range, 22% below the 50-day moving average, 53% below the 200-day — that alignment reflects sustained active distribution.

August 20 earnings needs revenue trajectory reversal AND commentary on specific customer-contract wins to reset the trajectory; another quarter of revenue decline is what would confirm the breakdown extends. Battery materials is a real category; Novonix specifically needs a strategic transaction or an operational inflection that isn't visible.

What to watch: August 20 earnings — revenue trajectory reversal, specific customer-contract wins, and cash-runway. Continued -35% revenue decline is what confirms the breakdown extends.

On the calendar: 2026-08-20 — H2 FY26 earnings

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NVX

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Manufactures synthetic graphite anode materials for lithium-ion batteries and supplies battery testing equipment to cell manufacturers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Electrical Equipment & Parts sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NVX.

Electrical Equipment & Parts · Industrials

No material change from last week — VRT and NVT confirmed at fresh highs that hyperscaler rack power acceleration is a multi-year capex cycle for electrical infrastructure.

What this means for $NVX

Partial — Manufactures synthetic graphite anode materials for lithium-ion batteries and supplies battery testing equipment to cell manufacturers; this segment overlaps with the hyperscaler rack power acceleration and grid electrification capex but is not the dominant revenue driver.

Industry benchmark

31-name peer basket
+22.0%YTD
+85.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-1.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-19.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-8.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-54.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
24.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-62.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-437%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q4 2025Feb 26, 2026$-0.44$-0.11-287.5%
Q2 2025Aug 21, 2025$-0.13$-0.26+49.7%
Q4 2024Feb 28, 2025$-0.06$-0.12+54.4%
Q3 2024Oct 29, 2024$-0.04$-0.18+77.8%
Next earningsThu, Aug 20·consensus EPS $-0.24

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY25$2.8M-35.0%-345%-921%$-0.44$-46.2M
Q2 FY25$2.8M-27.9%-521%-939%$-0.13$-56.3M
Q4 FY24$3.1M+68.0%-362%-732%$-0.37$-38.4M
Q2 FY24$2.7M-14.4%63.3%-1009%$-0.36$-31.6M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 1 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.3M$3.3M – $3.3M-$0.24-$0.24 – -$0.241
FY27$276.9M$276.7M – $277.1M-$0.08-$0.08 – -$0.081
FY28$714.3M$714.3M – $714.3M$0.08$0.08 – $0.081

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.1%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-24.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-55.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 123.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.935-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 3 other (3 others) in window

See when $NVX insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
+ 52 other (45 6-Ks · 3 3s · 2 S-8s · 1 6-K/A) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

NOVONIX Delivers Mass Production AAM Sample to Panasonicglobenewswire.com·33d agoNOVONIX Divests Non-Core Business to Focus on Synthetic Graphiteglobenewswire.com·75d agoHead-To-Head Review: NOVONIX (NASDAQ:NVX) and Universal Electronics (NASDAQ:UEIC)defenseworld.net·81d agoNOVONIX Limited (NVX) Shareholder/Analyst Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·91d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $NVX on X in the last 7 days.

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