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NVNVX

Novonix Limited

$NVX·$63M·Electrical Equipment & Parts·Industrials
$2.74-0.7%YTD+170.6%1Y-78.1%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 5h ago
NVNVX
$NVXNovonix Limited
$2.74-0.72%18 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $NVX on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

18X posts · last 7 days
Aug 27Sep 9
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $NVX's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $NVX — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Too early to tellWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-09

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

$63M pre-revenue Australian battery-materials play up 170% YTD but still -78% over twelve months on Panasonic sampling and Korea-US infra selection.

Novonix is a $63M pre-commercial synthetic-graphite anode materials company running a large operating loss against essentially no revenue, with a parabolic 156% move above its 50-day moving average that reflects sentiment rebound rather than commercial traction.

  • Q4 2025 revenue $2.8M declined -35% YoY, gross margin -345%, operating margin -921%, EPS $-0.44, free cash flow $-46.2M in one quarter — the company is still burning at multiples of its trailing revenue; analyst consensus is a $3.3M topline for FY26, jumping to $277M in FY27 and $714M in FY28 on the strength of a single covering analyst.
  • Recent catalysts: selection for the South Korea-U.S. infrastructure initiative and delivery of a mass-production automotive-anode-material sample to Panasonic are the milestones underneath the +170% YTD. These are qualifying steps toward a US anode supply chain, not yet a signed offtake at commercial scale.

Coverage is thin (one analyst on the ADR), no filings in the fetch window, no insider transactions on file. Next earnings not until 2027-03-04.

What to watch: Whether the Panasonic sample progresses to a commercial offtake and whether the Korea-US infra selection converts into DOE/DOD-backed capacity funding, both of which are needed to justify the +170% YTD move.

On the calendar: 2027-03-04 — H1 FY2027 earnings, consensus EPS $-1.90.

thin analyst coverageno x sentiment datapre commercial

Read the AI verdict on $NVX

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Manufactures synthetic graphite anode materials for lithium-ion batteries and supplies battery testing equipment to cell manufacturers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Electrical Equipment & Parts sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NVX.

Electrical Equipment & Parts · Industrials

Power-infrastructure equipment demand is structurally elevated — AI data-centre build-out and grid modernisation are converging into a once-in-a-decade capex cycle. Backlog visibility is high for switchgear, transformers, and UPS; lead times remain extended and pricing power is sustained.

What this means for $NVX

Neutral — Novonix graphite anodes; battery materials, not electrical equipment for data centres.

Industry benchmark

28-name peer basket
+33.5%YTD
+50.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-1.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-19.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-8.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-54.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
24.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-62.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-437%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 31, 2026$-0.86$-2.50+65.6%
Q4 2025Mar 2, 2026$-4.40$-1.12-293.6%
Q2 2025Aug 21, 2025$-0.78$-1.65+52.9%
Q4 2024Feb 28, 2025$-1.24$-1.240.0%
Next earningsThu, Mar 4·consensus EPS $-1.90

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY25$2.8M-35.0%-345%-921%$-0.44$-46.2M
Q2 FY25$2.8M-27.9%-521%-939%$-0.13$-56.3M
Q4 FY24$3.1M+68.0%-362%-732%$-0.37$-38.4M
Q2 FY24$2.7M-14.4%63.3%-1009%$-0.36$-31.6M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 1 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.3M$3.3M – $3.3M-$0.27-$0.27 – -$0.271
FY27$276.9M$276.7M – $277.1M-$0.80-$0.80 – -$0.801
FY28$714.3M$714.3M – $714.3M$0.80$0.80 – $0.801

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.55%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+143.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+194.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 12.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.855-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 4 other (4 others) in window

See when $NVX insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
+ 40 other (34 6-Ks · 3 3s · 2 S-8s · 1 6-K/A) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Lead Customer Feedback Marks Progress in Qualificationglobenewswire.com·9h agoNOVONIX Selected for South Korea-U.S. Infrastructure Initiativeglobenewswire.com·9d agoNOVONIX Delivers Mass Production AAM Sample to Panasonicglobenewswire.com·91d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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