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NINI

NiSource Inc

$NI·$20B·Regulated Gas·Utilities
$42.50+1.0%1Y-0.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-07: 2 posts2026-08-08: 2 posts2026-08-09: 2 posts2026-08-10: 12 posts2026-08-11: 11 posts2026-08-12: 9 posts2026-08-13: 10 posts48-28%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
NINI
$NINiSource Inc
$42.50+1.00%48 posts-28%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NI, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-08-13

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

NiSource utility compounder — Q2 EPS in-line, tape at 33% of range, defensive utility bid intact.

NiSource is a regulated natural gas and electric utility serving primarily Indiana, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. The story is the classic defensive-utility model with modest but stable growth.

Where it stands:

  • The operating story is stable: Q2 revenue $1.34B grew 4.6% year-over-year at a 50% gross margin and 17% operating margin — clean regulated-utility economics.
  • Recent EPS: Q2 $0.16 vs $0.158 consensus (essentially in-line, 1.4% surprise) and Q1 $1.06 vs $1.05 (1% beat) — the classic small-beat pattern.
  • The forward earnings arc supports the multiple: consensus 2026 EPS $2.06 stepping to $2.25 in 2027 and $2.48 in 2028 — high-single-digit annualized growth.
  • The valuation is reasonable: 22x trailing PE and 2.9x sales — utilities-average, with FCF yield negative due to capex reinvestment.
  • The tape is stalled: shares at the 33rd percentile of the 52-week range, -9% below the 50-day and -7% below the 200-day, essentially flat YTD.
  • Quarterly cash dividend declared — routine income signal.
  • Debt-to-equity of 1.83 is elevated but typical for a regulated utility.
  • Beta 0.55 — defensive profile.

Stalled here means NiSource is doing its job (compounding returns) but the market has priced enough of it. What restarts a real move is either a Q3 print (November 4) with stronger EPS or a specific rate-case approval. What extends the drift is either a rate-case ruling that goes against NiSource, or a broader utility-sector sell-off on rates.

What to watch: Q3 earnings November 4 — specifically EPS growth, capex program updates, and any rate-case commentary. Watch also for interest-rate trends and dividend growth trajectory.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Regulated US utility operating natural gas distribution and electric generation networks across seven states in the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Regulated Gas sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NI.

Regulated Gas · Utilities

Rate-case timing and authorized ROE resets are the primary earnings catalyst for regulated gas utilities; capex recovery cycles keep earnings stable but growth modest, with AI data-center gas load providing a nascent demand offset to residential conservation headwinds.

Top industry ETF

$XLUUtilities Select Sector SPDR
+2.8%YTD
+3.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
22.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
27.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-5.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
9.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
50.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$0.16$0.16+1.4%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$1.06$1.05+1.0%
Q4 2025Feb 11, 2026$0.51$0.50+2.9%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$0.19$0.20-5.0%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $0.21

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$1.3B+4.6%50.2%17.0%$0.10$-417.0M
Q1 FY26$2.4B+8.2%51.0%34.7%$1.06$-362.9M
Q4 FY25$1.9B+19.8%49.2%27.1%$0.54$-133.7M
Q3 FY25$1.3B+18.3%53.3%23.4%$0.20$-172.6M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$7.1B$6.8B – $7.2B$2.06$2.01 – $2.244
FY27$7.5B$7.1B – $7.8B$2.25$2.17 – $2.414
FY28$8.0B$7.8B – $8.1B$2.48$2.44 – $2.535
FY29$8.8B$8.5B – $9.1B$2.75$2.66 – $2.862
FY30$9.4B$9.1B – $9.7B$3.02$2.91 – $3.142

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.38%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-7.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-5.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 477.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.555-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 22Melanie B. BermanEVP Administration & CHRO15.0K sh$715KSellMay 21Lloyd M YatesCEO19.9K sh$950KSellMay 20Melody BirminghamPresident2.5K sh$119KSellMay 14Melody BirminghamPresident10.0K sh$472KSellFeb 18Gunnar GodeSVP Chief Accting&Tax Officer2.2K sh$100K
+ 28 other (19 awards · 8 inkinds · 1 other) in window

See when $NI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Aug 13424B5
8-KShareholder voteMay 128-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)May 11424B5
+ 13 other (4 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

E.On (OTCMKTS:ENAKF) vs. NiSource (NYSE:NI) Financial Comparisondefenseworld.net·2d agoNiSource Declares Common Stock Dividendbusinesswire.com·3d agoEmpowered Funds LLC Sells 17,447 Shares of NiSource, Inc $NIdefenseworld.net·6d agoNiSource Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·6d agoNiSource Inc (NI) Stock Down 3.6% -- Now Undervalued? GF Score: 76/100gurufocus.com·9d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $NI on X in the last 7 days.

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