TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$NESRF
NENESRF

Northern Star Resources Limited

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 52% YoY at strong marginsQuiet on X (0 mentions/wk)
$NESRF·$24B·Gold·Basic Materials
$16.68+0.6%1Y+25.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-23: 0 posts2026-08-24: 0 posts0
Price updated 1h ago·X counts updated 9d ago
NENESRF
$NESRFNorthern Star Resources Limited
$16.68+0.57%0 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NESRF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-21

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Northern Star Q4 revenue up 52%, Elliott took a $1B stake sending it 14% higher, CEO exit sets up a turnaround — Australian gold major with catalysts stacked.

Northern Star Resources is a large-cap Australian gold miner with operations across Western Australia, the Northern Territory, and Alaska (Pogo, Kalgoorlie, KCGM, Jundee, Thunderbox, Carosue Dam, Bronzewing). The setup is a scale gold producer with an activist catalyst (Elliott), management change, and gold-price tailwind.

  • Q4 fiscal-2026 revenue was $3.41B AUD, up 52% year-on-year with 33% operating margin — the specific tell that both realized gold prices and volumes are compounding at scale.
  • Elliott Investment Management took an A$1B stake in early June, sending the equity 14% higher on the news (June 2 gurufocus) — the activist involvement suggests operational improvements and capital-allocation changes are on the table.
  • A CEO exit disclosed in late May reframed the setup as a high-potential turnaround opportunity (Seeking Alpha, May 28) — the leadership transition creates space for the activist agenda to translate into value creation.
  • Sits at the 47th percentile of the 52-week range on volume 119% above the 30-day average — the tape is engaged and mid-range, which is what a stock with multiple concurrent catalysts looks like.

What extends the move is Feb 2027 fiscal-H1 confirming continued gold-price realization and a specific management-transition announcement. What breaks it is a gold-price mean reversion below $2,200/oz or an Elliott-led change that misses market expectations; the setup is unusual — activist plus turnaround plus cycle tailwind — and the risk-reward looks favorable.

What to watch: Feb 16 2027 fiscal-H1 2027 results — consensus $0.3215 EPS. Watch all-in sustaining costs per ounce, permanent CEO appointment, and any activist-driven strategic-review announcement.

On the calendar: 2027-02-16 — Fiscal H1 2027 results

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NESRF

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Northern Star Resources is a top-tier Australian gold producer, operating the KCGM Kalgoorlie superpit and Pogo mine in Alaska.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Gold sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NESRF.

Gold · Basic Materials

Gold ETF outflows reflect tactical profit-taking after a run to multi-year highs; the structural bid — central bank accumulation and dollar diversification — persists beneath the surface. Miners' operating leverage amplifies metal-price moves in both directions.

What this means for $NESRF

Partial — upstream oil & gas exposure ties to commodity price cycle; Northern Star Resources Limited, founded in 2000 and headqua.

Top industry ETF

$GDXVanEck Gold Miners ETF
-10.6%YTD
+46.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
20.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
34.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
4.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
10.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
37.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 19, 2026$0.48$0.50-4.4%
Q4 2025Feb 11, 2026$0.35$0.33+7.9%
Q2 2025Aug 20, 2025$0.44$0.44+1.5%
Q4 2024Feb 12, 2025$0.27$0.28-2.0%
Next earningsTue, Feb 16·consensus EPS $0.28

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$3.4B+51.8%35.4%32.7%$0.49$-160.3M
Q4 FY25$3.5B+62.5%39.0%37.2%$0.68$606.5M
Q2 FY25$2.9B+47.2%30.4%27.6%$0.44$192.1M
Q4 FY24$2.7B+38.6%30.1%27.4%$0.38$463.1M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 14 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$9.4B$8.7B – $10.4B$1.51$1.35 – $1.721
FY28$11.5B$9.4B – $14.2B$2.36$2.11 – $2.6814
FY29$13.3B$12.2B – $14.7B$2.85$2.55 – $3.249
FY30$12.4B$11.4B – $13.7B$2.01$1.80 – $2.2813
FY31$13.8B$12.7B – $15.2B$2.70$2.41 – $3.076

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.45%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+10.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+1.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.4B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.375-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Northern Star Resources Limited (NESRF) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·14d agoNorthern Star Resources: The Capex Peak Is Becoming A Processing Moatseekingalpha.com·24d agoNorthern Star Resources Limited (NESRF) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·36d agoElliott's A$1 Billion Stake Sends Northern Star Up 13.6%gurufocus.com·92d ago

More in Gold

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$AGI$TRX$MAKO$B$NEM$CDE$AU$AEM
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $NESRF on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport