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NANAKA

Nakamoto Inc.

$NAKA·$149M·Financial - Capital Markets·Financial Services
$8.09+1.6%YTD-41.2%1Y-74.7%
Price updated 9h ago·X counts updated 4d ago
NANAKA
$NAKANakamoto Inc.
$8.09+1.63%140 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $NAKA on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

140X posts · last 7 days
Sep 28Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $NAKA's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Mixed sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-16

Nakamoto Games posters are split. Bulls point at a 4-5x run from the lows with the team "shipping every day" and call other bottomed GameFi names ripe for the same move. Bears fire back with a detailed SEC-filing walkthrough: a $1.12 insider PIPE in May 2025, put/call rights novated to the public entity while retail bought the $34 top, 363.6M new shares issued without a shareholder vote, a 1-for-40 reverse split, and 85.2% of BTC encumbered to Kraken. Two very different tapes on the same ticker.

Read what X is saying about $NAKA

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $NAKA — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Nakamoto Inc is a $174M GameFi vehicle with a messy dilution history — the bear PIPE walkthrough is the honest read.

Nakamoto Inc. is a public holding vehicle around GameFi (crypto gaming) assets. The equity has a complicated dilution and reverse-split history that the latest X debate pulls apart in detail.

  • The business is pre-revenue by any sensible measure: Q1 revenue +362% YoY off a near-zero base at a -4,711% operating margin and PS 1,056x — standard holding-company-plus-gaming profile where capital-structure and dilution dominate the thesis.
  • The bear case is specific and documentable: a $1.12 insider PIPE in May 2025, put/call rights novated to the public entity while retail bought the $34 top, 363.6M new shares issued without a shareholder vote, and a 1-for-4 reverse split — this is the capital-structure history that typically caps rallies.
  • 52-week range position is 13% with vol at 60% of average — the stock has drifted lower on quiet distribution with the 4-5x bounce from the lows being a technical artifact rather than a thesis change.

Nov 18 Q3 is the gate — any disclosed partnership that gives GameFi exposure a credible revenue path extends the stock. Another dilutive raise or any pre-registered share release and this breaks down further.

Differs from X sentimentThe thread is split, but the bear PIPE walkthrough (specific terms, dates, share counts, novated put/call rights) is the substantively correct read — the bull "shipping every day" framing doesn't address a cap-structure problem that keeps resetting the equity.

What to watch: Nov 18 Q3 — operating cash, GameFi revenue trajectory, any new partnership or Launchpad disclosures, and most importantly dilution-and-registration filings. Another dilutive raise is the hard invalidator.

On the calendar: 2026-11-18 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $NAKA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Builds and invests in a portfolio of Bitcoin-native companies including mining infrastructure, treasury operations, and financial services.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Capital Markets sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NAKA.

Financial - Capital Markets · Financial Services

No material change from last week — digital-asset platforms drive growth as retail crypto trading and stablecoin adoption (USDC via CRCL) expand.

What this means for $NAKA

Neutral — Builds and invests in a portfolio of Bitcoin-native companies including mining infrastructure, treasury operations, and financial services.

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
-1.4%YTD
+2.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-0.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-55.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-82.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-1.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1055.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-84.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-376%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 13, 2026$-6.56$-0.60-984.3%
Q1 2026May 13, 2026$-15.20$-0.20-7500.0%
Q4 2025Mar 30, 2026$-2.80$-0.60-366.7%
Q3 2025Nov 19, 2025$-16.80$-0.40-4100.0%
Next earningsWed, Nov 18·consensus EPS $-0.49

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$2.7M+361.7%-183%-4711%$-15.20$-23.3M
Q4 FY25$445K-26.3%-2388%-41198%$2.80$-7.6M
Q3 FY25$388K-40.1%99.5%-2680%$-16.80$-13.2M
Q2 FY25$409K-36.1%98.2%-585%$-0.35$-2.0M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$64.1M$58.2M – $70.0M-$7.91-$8.51 – -$7.312
FY27$75.7M$74.1M – $77.4M-$1.04-$1.14 – -$0.922
FY28$83.0M$78.2M – $87.8M-$0.56-$0.60 – -$0.511

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.12%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+4.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-5.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 10.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.535-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 15Evans Tyler MatthewChief Investment Officer982 sh$7KBuyAug 20David F BaileyCEO4.9K sh$30KBuyAug 19David F BaileyCEO32.1K sh$180KBuyAug 18David F BaileyCEO4.9K sh$25KBuyMay 28David F BaileyCEO55.1K sh$310KBuyMay 27David F BaileyCEO104.8K sh$507KBuyMay 26David F BaileyCEO31.5K sh$176K
+ 18 other (15 awards · 3 others) in window

See when $NAKA insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementOct 68-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 8.01: Other event
8-KOfficer or director changeAug 48-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

NAKA announced a leadership Departure involving Certain Officers, who serves as Director. Item 5.02 mandates timely disclosure of executive and director transitions, which can significantly affect NAKA's strategic direction and investor confidence.

8-KMaterial eventJun 228-K — Item 4.01
AI summary

Delaware 001-42103 84-3829824 disclosed a change in auditor: dicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ *The registrant’s tradeable warrants trade over-the-counter on OTC Pink Market operated on the OTC Markets under the trading symbol “NAKAW”. Item 4.01 Changes in Registrant’s Certi.

8-KMaterial debt obligationJun 118-K — Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Nakamoto Inc. disclosed on June 5, 2026, via its subsidiary Nakamoto Holdings Inc., the execution of a Restructured Loan Term Sheet with Kraken (Payward Interactive) under an existing Master Loan Agreement. The restructured facility is a fixed-term loan of 210,000,000 USDT principal, secured by 4,405 Bitcoin held in a Control Account and a Bitcoin yield strategy collateral account, both for Kraken's benefit. The December 2025 prior loan term sheet was superseded and deemed repaid, with the outstanding balance transferred to the new structure without actual currency movement. This is a material debt restructuring for a Bitcoin-focused company, with the BTC collateral concentration creating significant crypto-price exposure for the lender and the borrower.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJun 1SC 13D/A
AI summary

David Bailey (CEO of Nakamoto Inc.) filed Amendment No. 1 to his Schedule 13D updating his beneficial ownership in Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA). Insider updating ownership; Bailey is both the filing party and the company's CEO.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 228-K — Item 3.03 · Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Nakamoto Inc. expanded its Board from six to seven members and appointed Tyler Evans (Chief Investment Officer) as a Class II director effective May 21, 2026; Evans will not serve on committees and will not receive additional board compensation. Items 3.03 and 5.03 suggest concurrent amendments to governing documents (shareholder rights and/or articles of incorporation) whose details are beyond the visible excerpt. This is a governance expansion at a bitcoin-focused company, with Evans' dual CIO and director roles creating a minor related-party governance consideration.

8-KShareholder voteMay 128-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Nakamoto Inc. held a Special Meeting on May 8, 2026 (502.3M of 690.0M shares represented). Stockholders approved a reverse stock split at a ratio between 1-for-20 and 1-for-50, with the exact ratio to be set by the Board at its sole discretion (488.5M for, 12.8M against, 918K abstain). This reverse split—reducing outstanding shares by at least 20x—is a significant capital structure event typically aimed at increasing per-share price to meet exchange listing requirements or improve institutional eligibility.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 78-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Nakamoto Inc. adopted a revised director and officer indemnification agreement on May 4, 2026, approved by the Board, and entered into it with all current directors and officers. The new form supersedes the prior agreement and provides indemnification to the fullest extent permitted by Delaware law against losses and legal expenses in civil, criminal, administrative, or other proceedings. This is a routine governance maintenance item with no financial impact.

+ 12 other (2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 POSASRs · 2 EFFECTs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Contrasting KindlyMD (NASDAQ:NAKA) & 3i Group (OTCMKTS:TGOPY)defenseworld.net·43d agoNakamoto Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial and Operating Resultsgurufocus.com·64d agoNakamoto Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial and Operating Resultsbusinesswire.com·64d agoNakamoto Launches Intelligence 2027, a New Flagship Event for the AI Economybusinesswire.com·65d agoKindlyMD, Inc. (NASDAQ:NAKA) Receives $30.00 Consensus Target Price from Brokeragesdefenseworld.net·86d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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