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NANAKA

Nakamoto Inc.

$NAKA·$87M·Financial - Capital Markets·Financial Services
$7.49+0.7%YTD-65.3%1Y-96.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 17 posts2026-08-23: 17 posts180+2%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 8d ago
NANAKA
$NAKANakamoto Inc.
$7.49+0.67%180 posts+2%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NAKA, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storyWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-31

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Formerly KindlyMD, rebranded Bitcoin-native holding company down 97% year-over-year — CEO David Bailey buying at the low, but the fundamentals are barely functional.

Nakamoto Inc. (formerly KindlyMD) is a small-cap holding company pitching itself as a Bitcoin-native investment vehicle — investing in and building commercial and financial infrastructure for the Bitcoin ecosystem. The equity is down 97% over the last twelve months and sits at 1% of the 52-week range with a specific insider setup.

  • The underlying business is nearly non-functional: Q1 revenue was $2.7M with a -183% gross margin and -4,711% operating margin, prior quarters ran a few hundred thousand dollars — this is a shell in Bitcoin clothing, not an operating company, and the FY26 EPS estimate of -$9.13 reflects an enormous loss against a $7 stock.
  • The Aug 21 CEO buying pattern is real: David Bailey purchased in three tranches ($30K, $180K, $25K) at $5.11-$6.27 across two days — roughly $235K of open-market conviction from the CEO at essentially the tape lows, which for a $87M market cap is a proportionally significant signal.
  • The Aug 4 leadership departure (Item 5.02) plus the CEO buying cluster suggests a corporate reshape — new-guard buying into their own transition is a pattern that can precede a genuine pivot execution or precede a further deterioration; the operating history doesn't yet distinguish.
  • The tape action is a classic coiled-at-low setup: 53% above the 50-day (recent rebound), 27% below the 200-day, at just 1% of the 52-week range — volatility compressed at the bottom with a specific catalyst (CEO buys, new leadership) forming.

The path if it works is a Nov 18 Q3 print showing revenue crossing $5M plus any specific Bitcoin-portfolio disclosure with dollar values — the tape breaks the coil upward and the David Bailey buying looks well-timed. What confirms the broken-story diagnosis is another quarter of tiny revenue and enormous losses; that's when the 97% one-year drop keeps extending and the CEO buys look like early-cycle averaging that never pays.

Differs from X sentimentThe bullish X take is dominated by memecoin-shill posts framing a 74% one-day pump and calling a 'gaming-coin revival' with $0.0468 chart targets — that's the Nakamoto Games crypto conversation, not this equity. The single dissent calling it 'still a shitcoin scam' and noting NAKA is down 99.5% is essentially the read that applies to the equity here as well; we disagree with the broader crypto community bullishness because it isn't about this security.

What to watch: The Nov 18 Q3 print — revenue crossing $5M plus a specific Bitcoin-portfolio disclosure with dollar values breaks the coil upward; another quarter of tiny revenue and enormous losses is what confirms the broken-story diagnosis and extends the drop.

On the calendar: 2026-11-18 — Q3 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment20 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Chatter is dominated by promotional Nakamoto Games crypto-token content — GM posts, a "Mobile App 2.0.0 is LIVE" launch, and "we keep #BUIDLing" refrains — rather than substantive equity discussion. Bulls call $NAKA "back above $0.04," cite "CEO at Nakamoto $NAKA has bought the stock twice in the last week," and lean on a "$0.028 bottom" thesis riding a "gaming coins season" call. The lone skeptic dismisses it as a "shitcoin scam." Low-signal, high-hype.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NAKA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Builds and invests in a portfolio of Bitcoin-native companies including mining infrastructure, treasury operations, and financial services.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Capital Markets sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NAKA.

Financial - Capital Markets · Financial Services

IPO and M&A activity — the primary revenue driver for capital markets firms — is recovering as equity market strength rebuilds corporate confidence and sponsor exit windows open. Retail trading volume (HOOD's record signups) confirms the infrastructure layer captures incremental activity.

What this means for $NAKA

Direct beneficiary — business directly tied to crypto market cap and adoption cycle; Builds and invests in a portfolio of Bitcoin-native companies including mining i.

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
+5.0%YTD
+13.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-0.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-55.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-82.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-1.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1055.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-84.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-376%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 13, 2026$-6.56$-0.60-984.3%
Q1 2026May 13, 2026$-15.20$-0.20-7500.0%
Q4 2025Mar 30, 2026$-2.80$-0.60-366.7%
Q3 2025Nov 19, 2025$-16.80$-0.40-4100.0%
Next earningsWed, Nov 18·consensus EPS $-0.45

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$2.7M+361.7%-183%-4711%$-15.20$-23.3M
Q4 FY25$445K-26.3%-2388%-41198%$2.80$-7.6M
Q3 FY25$388K-40.1%99.5%-2680%$-16.80$-13.2M
Q2 FY25$409K-36.1%98.2%-585%$-0.35$-2.0M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$28.2M$22.7M – $33.8M-$9.13-$12.19 – -$6.072
FY27$40.1M$28.0M – $52.1M-$1.72-$2.00 – -$1.442
FY28$48.0M$35.6M – $60.4M$1.20$0.80 – $1.601

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.1%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+52.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-26.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 10.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.535-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyAug 20David F BaileyCEO4.9K sh$30KBuyAug 19David F BaileyCEO32.1K sh$180KBuyAug 18David F BaileyCEO4.9K sh$25KBuyMay 28David F BaileyCEO55.1K sh$310KBuyMay 27David F BaileyCEO104.8K sh$507KBuyMay 26David F BaileyCEO31.5K sh$176K
+ 1 other (1 award) in window

See when $NAKA insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 48-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

NAKA announced a leadership Departure involving Certain Officers, who serves as Director. Item 5.02 mandates timely disclosure of executive and director transitions, which can significantly affect NAKA's strategic direction and investor confidence.

8-KMaterial eventJun 228-K — Item 4.01
AI summary

Delaware 001-42103 84-3829824 disclosed a change in auditor: dicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ *The registrant’s tradeable warrants trade over-the-counter on OTC Pink Market operated on the OTC Markets under the trading symbol “NAKAW”. Item 4.01 Changes in Registrant’s Certi.

8-KMaterial debt obligationJun 118-K — Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Nakamoto Inc. disclosed on June 5, 2026, via its subsidiary Nakamoto Holdings Inc., the execution of a Restructured Loan Term Sheet with Kraken (Payward Interactive) under an existing Master Loan Agreement. The restructured facility is a fixed-term loan of 210,000,000 USDT principal, secured by 4,405 Bitcoin held in a Control Account and a Bitcoin yield strategy collateral account, both for Kraken's benefit. The December 2025 prior loan term sheet was superseded and deemed repaid, with the outstanding balance transferred to the new structure without actual currency movement. This is a material debt restructuring for a Bitcoin-focused company, with the BTC collateral concentration creating significant crypto-price exposure for the lender and the borrower.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJun 1SC 13D/A
AI summary

David Bailey (CEO of Nakamoto Inc.) filed Amendment No. 1 to his Schedule 13D updating his beneficial ownership in Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA). Insider updating ownership; Bailey is both the filing party and the company's CEO.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 228-K — Item 3.03 · Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Nakamoto Inc. expanded its Board from six to seven members and appointed Tyler Evans (Chief Investment Officer) as a Class II director effective May 21, 2026; Evans will not serve on committees and will not receive additional board compensation. Items 3.03 and 5.03 suggest concurrent amendments to governing documents (shareholder rights and/or articles of incorporation) whose details are beyond the visible excerpt. This is a governance expansion at a bitcoin-focused company, with Evans' dual CIO and director roles creating a minor related-party governance consideration.

8-KShareholder voteMay 128-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Nakamoto Inc. held a Special Meeting on May 8, 2026 (502.3M of 690.0M shares represented). Stockholders approved a reverse stock split at a ratio between 1-for-20 and 1-for-50, with the exact ratio to be set by the Board at its sole discretion (488.5M for, 12.8M against, 918K abstain). This reverse split—reducing outstanding shares by at least 20x—is a significant capital structure event typically aimed at increasing per-share price to meet exchange listing requirements or improve institutional eligibility.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 78-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Nakamoto Inc. adopted a revised director and officer indemnification agreement on May 4, 2026, approved by the Board, and entered into it with all current directors and officers. The new form supersedes the prior agreement and provides indemnification to the fullest extent permitted by Delaware law against losses and legal expenses in civil, criminal, administrative, or other proceedings. This is a routine governance maintenance item with no financial impact.

S-3/AShelf registrationApr 17S-3/A
AI summary

Nakamoto Inc. filed Amendment No. 1 to its Form S-3 registration statement (Registration No. 333-294960) on April 17, 2026, updating its shelf registration for continuous or delayed securities offerings. The company is headquartered in Nashville, TN and led by CEO David Bailey. No specific offering amounts or security types are disclosed. This is one of two S-3 amendments filed by Nakamoto on the same day (the companion filing is Registration No. 333-294958).

+ 24 other (4 earnings 8-Ks · 4 POSASRs · 2 10-Qs · 2 EFFECTs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Nakamoto Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial and Operating Resultsgurufocus.com·19d agoNakamoto Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial and Operating Resultsbusinesswire.com·19d agoNakamoto Launches Intelligence 2027, a New Flagship Event for the AI Economybusinesswire.com·20d agoKindlyMD, Inc. (NASDAQ:NAKA) Receives $30.00 Consensus Target Price from Brokeragesdefenseworld.net·41d agoClear Street Executes First Bitcoin Depositary Receipt Trade Through Prime Brokerage Platformglobenewswire.com·70d ago

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