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TickerTalks›$META
MEMETA

Meta Platforms, Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 33% YoY at strong marginsCatalyst pendingConsistent chatter on X (19.1K/wk), no spike
$META·$1.6T·Internet Content & Information·Communication Services
$647.32+0.2%YTD+0.3%1Y-9.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-14: 6,059 posts2026-07-15: 3,946 posts2026-07-16: 2,753 posts2026-07-17: 3,004 posts2026-07-18: 571 posts2026-07-19: 750 posts2026-07-20: 1,216 posts19,119+2%
Price updated 13m ago·X counts updated 21h ago
MEMETA
$METAMeta Platforms, Inc.
$647.32+0.23%19k posts+2%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $META, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-20

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

The cheapest of the AI hyperscalers heads into earnings with a fresh $10B cloud deal in hand.

Meta is the ad-and-messaging empire behind Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp, and it's now positioning itself as the fourth hyperscaler — leasing out AI compute rather than only consuming it. Earnings on July 29 will be the first real referendum on that pivot.

What sets up the print:

  • Meta earns more from ads than the market grows: reported ad revenue expanded 21% YoY against a ~9% global ad market last quarter, which is what lets it fund the Reality Labs money-pit without cracking margins (operating margin still 41%, TTM PE ~21x).
  • The Anthropic deal is a structural change, not a headline: NYT reports Meta is in talks to lease up to $10B of AI compute to Anthropic over two years, plus the AWS-veteran Dave Brown hire — this pulls Meta into the AI infrastructure business alongside AWS/Azure/GCP, opening a new revenue line that trades at hyperscaler multiples.
  • The catch is Reality Labs and the AI capex bill: Goldman is publicly worried about the sector's debt load, and the Reality Labs $75–85B spend has been a steady drag with no consumer breakout in sight.

If the July 29 print pairs a Q2 ad beat with any concrete numbers around the cloud pivot, the 7-month base sets up a break toward $700; a miss on either side, or another jump in AI capex without a monetization story, and the drawdown from $600s resumes.

Agrees with X sentimentThe X read that Meta is the cheapest hyperscaler on next year's numbers holds up on the math — ad growth is doing the work, and the Anthropic lease reframes the AI story from cost to revenue.

What to watch: Q2 print on July 29: Reality Labs spend trajectory, any color on the Anthropic compute deal, and full-year capex guide. A guide cut on capex without matching revenue would invalidate the setup.

On the calendar: 2026-07-29 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment129 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-20

The dominant thread is Meta's reported talks to lease up to $10B in AI compute to Anthropic over two years, alongside the hire of longtime AWS compute chief Dave Brown as Zuckerberg says a Meta cloud is 'definitely on the table.' Bulls frame Meta as the fourth hyperscaler with a widening moat, cheapest forward P/E among mega-caps (~24x) and 40%+ growth, breaking out above its 200-day and setting up for the July 29 earnings print. Bears surface the federal lawsuit alleging AI-assisted layoffs, BMO's Market Perform note calling Meta the 'least visible AI ROI story,' and a Reality Labs unit that has spent ~$75-85B for under $2B in revenue.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $META

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Owns Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger for 3B+ users monetized via advertising, while investing in AR/VR through Reality Labs.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Internet Content & Information sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $META.

Internet Content & Information · Communication Services

No material change from last week — AI-enhanced ad targeting sustains META and GOOGL digital advertising pricing while LLM-based search agents remain a medium-term displacement risk to search revenue. Digital advertising continues to outperform traditional media as brand budgets follow eyeballs to social and search platforms.

What this means for $META

Partial — Owns Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger for 3B+ users monetized via advertising, while investing in AR/VR through Reality Labs; partial earnings exposure to internet content & information demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Top industry ETF

$FDNFirst Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund
-0.0%YTD
+0.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
21.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
20.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
41.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
7.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
33.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
81.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$10.44$6.70+55.8%
Q4 2025Jan 28, 2026$8.88$8.19+8.4%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$7.25$6.72+7.9%
Q2 2025Jul 30, 2025$7.14$5.88+21.4%
Next earningsWed, Jul 29·consensus EPS $7.20

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$56.3B+33.1%81.9%40.6%$10.57$13.2B
Q4 FY25$59.9B+23.8%81.8%41.3%$9.03$14.8B
Q3 FY25$51.2B+26.2%82.0%40.1%$1.08$11.2B
Q2 FY25$47.5B+21.6%82.1%43.0%$7.28$9.0B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 44 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$253.0B$249.1B – $257.8B$32.93$30.80 – $35.7244
FY27$302.1B$294.5B – $317.5B$34.97$31.88 – $38.1143
FY28$353.6B$352.7B – $354.5B$40.21$31.94 – $46.4037
FY29$407.5B$390.1B – $424.8B$48.31$45.64 – $50.9924
FY30$468.0B$448.0B – $487.9B$56.75$53.60 – $59.8934

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.46%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+6.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+0.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 2.2B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.255-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 13Javier OlivanCOO2.1K sh$1.4MSellJul 6Javier OlivanCOO5.0K sh$3.0MSellJul 1Robert M KimmittDirector500 sh$304KSellJun 15Javier OlivanCOO1.2K sh$740KSellJun 1Robert M KimmittDirector504 sh$317KSellJun 1Javier OlivanCOO1.4K sh$871KSellMay 27Curtis J. MahoneyChief Legal Officer2.1K sh$1.3MSellMay 26Javier OlivanCOO1.4K sh$843KSellMay 18Andrew BosworthCTO1.2K sh$726KSellMay 18Javier OlivanCOO408 sh$249K
1–10 of 18
+ 25 other (13 awards · 6 exempts · 5 inkinds · 1 gift) in window

See when $META insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteMay 298-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Meta Platforms held its 2026 Annual Meeting via audio webcast on May 27, 2026 with 92.19% of combined voting power represented (1.758B Class A + 342M Class B shares). Shareholders voted on twelve proposals including election of all 12 board nominees, ratification of Ernst & Young, and ten shareholder proposals covering AI data oversight, executive pay advisory vote, dual-class capital structure reform, and voting disclosure by share class, among others. Routine governance event; shareholder proposals on dual-class elimination and executive pay are recurring activist items with expected management opposition.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationApr 30S-3ASR
AI summary

META filed a S-3ASR (automatic shelf) shelf registration statement dated 2026-04-30. The shelf provides capacity to issue equity or debt as market conditions allow. No immediate capital raise is triggered; watch for prospectus supplements disclosing actual transactions.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 148-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

META disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-14). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

3New insider — initial holdingsJan 223
+ 18 other (6 PX14A6Gs · 2 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Should You Buy Meta Stock Before the Huge Investor Update?fool.com·22h agoAI Has Entered a Bear Marketinvestorplace.com·1d agoBroadcom Stock Has Jumped Just 7% in 2026. This Move by Meta Platforms Could Supercharge the Stock in the Second Halffool.com·1d agoMeta Platforms expected to top earnings estimates as ad growth remains healthy, says BofAproactiveinvestors.com·1d agoZuckerberg Is Quietly Turning Meta Into A Compute Provider Ahead Of Q2 Earningsseekingalpha.com·1d ago

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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