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MBMBLY

Mobileye Global Inc.

$MBLY·$6.5B·Auto - Parts·Consumer Cyclical
$7.94+0.5%YTD-24.8%1Y-44.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-25: 43 posts2026-07-26: 26 posts2026-07-27: 62 posts2026-07-28: 39 posts2026-07-29: 42 posts2026-07-30: 47 posts2026-07-31: 39 posts298-27%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 2d ago
MBMBLY
$MBLYMobileye Global Inc.
$7.94+0.51%298 posts-27%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $MBLY, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Hinges on a big eventEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-08-01

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Mobileye down 44% year-over-year, Piper upgrade + robotaxi self-execution pivot, next print Oct 22 — floor valuation debate

Mobileye Global is the leading ADAS chip and software company — EyeQ family, SuperVision, Mobileye Chauffeur, Mobileye Drive (L4 autonomy), plus emerging Mentee humanoid/robotics. Majority-owned by Intel. Trailing PE negative, PS 3.9x, gross margin 48%, operating margin -21%, D/E 0 (no debt), FCF yield 6.1%. Q1 2026 revenue $558M (+27% YoY).

The setup:

  • Down 44% trailing twelve months and 25% YTD, price at $7.94 sits in the 16th percentile of the 52-week range, 14% below the 50-day and 19% below the 200-day. Beta 1.16.
  • Q2 (reported Jul 23) EPS $0.19 vs $0.057 consensus (+236% surprise, R&D incentive-grant driven). Trailing four surprises: +236%, +42.6%, 0%, +4.9% — accelerating positive surprises.
  • Piper Sandler upgrade to Overweight with $12 PT (from Neutral, from $10) — thesis is MBLY nearing a floor valuation while seizing control of its own destiny via humanoid + robo-taxi self-deployment strategy. Needham reiterated Buy at $13.
  • Insider Amnon Shashua (CEO) received 1.62M-share stock award Jul 10, plus 1.06M to Shalev-Shwartz — sizeable executive compensation grants.
  • Jul 23 8-K disclosed a personnel change (Prof, name truncated in excerpt) alongside earnings.

Into the print:

  • Q3 prints Oct 22 with $0.10 consensus EPS. Bar: EyeQ shipments trajectory, SuperVision customer wins, and Mentee robotics traction detail.

Bottom line: deeply-discounted AV/ADAS play with Piper/Needham floor-valuation thesis intact — Oct 22 tests whether operational metrics confirm the price bottom.

Agrees with X sentimentX aligns with the Piper Sandler floor-valuation-plus-robotaxi thesis and the Needham $13 PT, framing MBLY as one of the most direct AV/robotics exposures — the direction matches; the counter-signal the crowd is not weighing is the large CEO/exec compensation grants against a still-depressed tape.

What to watch: Oct 22 Q3 print — EyeQ chip shipments trajectory, SuperVision production wins, Mentee humanoid/robotics traction detail; also any concrete Mobileye Chauffeur/Drive production commitments and whether Intel's ownership stance shifts.

On the calendar: 2026-10-22 — Q3 earnings

floor valuation thesislarge ceo compensationintel majority owned

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-01

Mobileye is bullish and analyst-supported. Piper Sandler upgraded MBLY to Overweight from Neutral and raised PT to $12 from $10 (~42% upside from $8.47), calling out MBLY near a valuation floor while proactively deploying capital. Needham reiterated Buy with an unchanged $13 PT. Retail flags the Mentee acquisition as an additional path to humanoid-robotics exposure and treats MBLY as a call option on optical AV alongside CXCI/AGLT.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $MBLY

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Automotive technology company developing ADAS and autonomous driving systems integrated into vehicles by OEMs worldwide.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Parts sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $MBLY.

Auto - Parts · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — solid-state batteries (QS) and advanced LiDAR (AEVA) are the enabling technology layer for next-generation EVs, while MOD's thermal management serves both AI..

What this means for $MBLY

Partial — Automotive technology company developing ADAS and autonomous driving systems integrated into vehicles by OEMs worldwide; partial earnings exposure to auto - parts demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Industry benchmark

8-name peer basket
+1.3%YTD
+18.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-1.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-5.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-21.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
6.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-37.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
48.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 23, 2026$0.19$0.06+235.7%
Q1 2026Apr 23, 2026$0.12$0.08+42.6%
Q4 2025Jan 22, 2026$0.06$0.060.0%
Q3 2025Oct 23, 2025$0.09$0.09+4.9%
Next earningsThu, Oct 22·consensus EPS $0.10

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$558.0M+27.4%49.3%-19.4%$-4.68$45.0M
Q4 FY25$446.0M-9.0%45.3%-31.4%$-0.16$95.2M
Q3 FY25$504.0M+3.7%48.2%-21.6%$-0.12$143.0M
Q2 FY25$506.0M+15.3%49.8%-14.6%$-0.08$199.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 23 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.0B$2.0B – $2.0B$0.46$0.41 – $0.5216
FY27$2.2B$2.1B – $2.3B$0.48$0.34 – $0.6420
FY28$2.7B$2.3B – $3.2B$0.67$0.63 – $0.7323
FY29$3.7B$3.5B – $3.9B$1.20$1.11 – $1.3011
FY30$4.7B$4.4B – $5.0B$1.65$1.54 – $1.7911

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.16%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-13.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-19.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 580.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.165-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 5 other (5 awards) in window

See when $MBLY insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 238-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

MBLY filed an 8-K under Item 5.02 disclosing a personnel change: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers On July 18, 2026, Prof. The filing also covers Item(s) 7.01, 9.01. Personnel changes at the executive or board level are typically administrative but can signal strategic shifts depending on context.

8-KShareholder voteJun 258-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
SC 13DActivist position (5%+)Feb 10SC 13D
8-KUnregistered equity saleFeb 58-K — Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale
+ 12 other (3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Top Stocks Set to Benefit From Rising EV and AV Adoptionzacks.com·3d agoMobileye Announces Participation in Upcoming Third Quarter 2026 Investor Conferencesbusinesswire.com·4d agoMobileye Global (NASDAQ:MBLY) versus SES AI (NYSE:SES) Head-To-Head Contrastdefenseworld.net·6d agoForget Tesla: These 2 Earnings Reports Reveal Where the Auto Market Is Headingmarketbeat.com·7d agoMobileye Q2 Earnings Surpass Expectations on R&D Incentive Grantzacks.com·10d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

EVs & Autonomous Vehicles

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Voices on X · top 7 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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