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KRKR

The Kroger Co.

$KR·$35B·Grocery Stores·Consumer Defensive
$57.72+1.4%YTD-7.3%1Y-14.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-20: 12 posts2026-08-21: 19 posts2026-08-22: 5 posts2026-08-23: 9 posts72-13%
Price updated 1d ago·X counts updated 6d ago
KRKR
$KRThe Kroger Co.
$57.72+1.39%72 posts-13%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $KR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

Grocery compounder at 9% FCF yield and 52-week lows — political-tailwind buys building.

Kroger operates the largest US supermarket chain by store count — grocery, drug, and multi-department stores across nearly 3,000 locations. The stock is at 52-week lows as post-Albertsons-merger normalization plus digestible mid-single-digit growth doesn't excite the market, but the cash generation is exceptional.

What's actually here:

  • Revenue is essentially flat — Q4 of $34.73B grew 1.2% YoY, following Q3's 0.7% and Q2's 0.1%; the top-line trajectory reflects mature grocery competition with modest inflation offsets.
  • The economics are respectable — Q4 operating margin 3.6%, 23% gross margin, and 9% FCF yield with $1.80B of Q4 free cash flow; the 39x P/E is misleading given Q3's -$2.02 EPS one-time impact, forward FY27 EPS of $5.20 puts forward P/E at ~11x.
  • EPS beats have been consistent — Q1 of $1.58 vs $1.59 (essentially in-line) and Q4 of $1.28 vs $1.20 (+7%); execution is steady, not exciting, matching the flat top line.
  • The tape is at absolute lows — position 15.9% of the 52-week range, essentially at the 50-day, 10% below the 200-day, on 0.65x volume; the political-tailwind buy from Rep. Taylor (House Agriculture) alongside MSFT/GOOGL/AVGO adds a specific signal at these levels.

The forward path is Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings on Sept 11 delivering continued mid-single-digit EPS with any capital-allocation update or Ocado partnership commentary supports the multi-quarter re-rate; consensus FY27 EPS at $5.20 has room to move on any meaningful margin expansion. The bear case is that grocery-margin compression continues from Walmart and Amazon competitive pressure, and the current low-single-digit growth trajectory persists.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X read on KR as an attractive dividend play under $57, buying-off-the-weekly-200MA setup, and Rep. Taylor's disclosed KR buy alongside Mag7 names is grounded on the value setup and the political signal.

What to watch: Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings on Sept 11 — specifically same-store sales trajectory, operating margin, and any capital allocation or Ocado partnership update.

On the calendar: 2026-09-11 — FQ2 2026 earnings

near 52w lowcheap fcf yieldpolitical signal

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment⚠8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-14 · top-engagement diverged

Kroger is bullish. Framed as an attractive dividend play under $57, buying-off-the-weekly-200MA setups noted, and Rep. Taylor (House Agriculture) disclosed a KR buy alongside MSFT/GOOGL/AVGO. Grocery-sector cheap-and-unloved framing. A Taylor Farms salmonella recall touching KR is a small negative but not driving sentiment.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $KR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates US supermarket chains with growing pharmacy, fuel center, and customer loyalty data monetization.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Grocery Stores sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $KR.

Grocery Stores · Consumer Defensive

No material change from last week — supermarket pharmacies distributing GLP-1 weight-loss drugs position KR at the grocery-healthcare intersection while persistent food price inflation sustains..

What this means for $KR

Partial — Operates US supermarket chains with growing pharmacy, fuel center, and customer loyalty data monetization; partial earnings exposure to grocery stores demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Top industry ETF

$XLPConsumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
+9.9%YTD
+6.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
39.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
1.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
9.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
13.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
23.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
4.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 18, 2026$1.58$1.59-0.6%
Q4 2025Mar 5, 2026$1.28$1.20+6.7%
Q3 2025Dec 4, 2025$1.05$1.03+1.9%
Q2 2025Sep 11, 2025$1.04$0.99+4.6%
Next earningsFri, Sep 11·consensus EPS $1.05

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY25$34.7B+1.2%23.4%3.6%$1.37$1.8B
Q3 FY25$33.9B+0.7%23.3%-4.6%$-2.02$8.0M
Q2 FY25$33.9B+0.1%23.0%2.5%$0.92$615.0M
Q1 FY25$45.1B-0.3%23.4%2.9%$1.30$1.1B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 17 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$151.2B$149.3B – $153.5B$5.20$5.11 – $5.2817
FY28$153.7B$152.6B – $155.6B$5.53$5.34 – $5.7115
FY29$156.8B$152.6B – $160.5B$5.89$4.37 – $6.6314
FY30$162.3B$159.6B – $164.9B$6.00$5.87 – $6.127
FY31$166.4B$163.6B – $169.0B$6.29$6.16 – $6.428

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.16%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+0.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-10.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 610.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.415-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 14Yael CossetPresident30.0K sh$1.8M
+ 47 other (26 awards · 21 inkinds) in window

See when $KR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 83
AI summary

Initial Form 3 ownership statement filed by Emilee DeMartino, a newly reportable officer or director at Kroger Co., disclosing initial beneficial ownership of company securities upon becoming a Section 16 reporting person. Routine Section 16(a) disclosure triggered by appointment or election to a qualifying role. No operational implications for the company.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 268-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Kroger Chairman Ronald Sargent transitions from employee to Non-Executive Chairman effective July 1, 2026, receiving standard non-employee director compensation. Routine executive-to-non-executive chairman transition.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 253
AI summary

Mitchell R. Butier filed an initial Form 3 as a newly appointed director of Kroger Co. as of June 25, 2026, reporting 0 shares of common stock directly owned and no derivative securities. Administrative filing — new board director joins Kroger with no initial ownership stake at inception.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 278-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

The Kroger Co. disclosed that Executive Vice President and Associate Experience Officer Timothy A. Massa provided notice on May 22, 2026 of his intention to retire in fall 2026. Massa will remain in his current role through September 2026 and continue as an employee through July 1, 2027 for transition purposes. No successor was named in the filing. This is an orderly senior leadership transition at one of the largest U.S. grocery retailers, with a multi-month runway for knowledge transfer.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationApr 21S-3ASR
AI summary

KR filed a S-3ASR (automatic shelf) shelf registration statement dated 2026-04-21. The shelf provides capacity to issue equity or debt as market conditions allow. No immediate capital raise is triggered; watch for prospectus supplements disclosing actual transactions.

+ 16 other (4 13Gs · 2 11-Ks · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Kroger Stock Remains Deeply Discountedseekingalpha.com·20h agoNational Release: Kroger Is Improving Wellness in Neighborhoods Across Americagurufocus.com·2d agoNational Release: Kroger Is Improving Wellness in Neighborhoods Across Americaprnewswire.com·2d agoKroger (KR) Stock Declines While Market Improves: Some Information for Investorszacks.com·2d agoMurray's Cheese Debuts Exclusive Cave Aged Collection at Harris Teeterprnewswire.com·3d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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