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KRKR

The Kroger Co.

$KR·$37B·Grocery Stores·Consumer Defensive
$58.82+0.4%YTD-5.7%1Y-18.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 171 posts2026-07-11: 60 posts2026-07-12: 122 posts2026-07-13: 159 posts2026-07-14: 54 posts2026-07-15: 106 posts2026-07-16: 73 posts763+6%
Price updated 4h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
KRKR
$KRThe Kroger Co.
$58.82+0.36%763 posts+6%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $KR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Kroger's Giant Eagle deal quietly reshapes the grocery landscape — deep-value with a hedge-fund magnet flavor.

Kroger is the largest US grocery chain by store count — mainstream supermarkets with a growing private-label footprint and now a fresh $1.65B agreement to buy Giant Eagle, adding a strong Pennsylvania/Ohio regional network. The stock is down 21% over the past year on soft comps and merger-integration overhang.

  • Revenue grew 1% YoY to $46B last quarter — barely growing, but Kroger's operating leverage on fuel, private label, and pharmacy is what actually drives EPS growth in a low-single-digit-comp environment.
  • Trades at 39x TTM earnings (skewed by non-recurring charges) but a more useful 14x FY26 EPS estimate — reasonable for a defensive compounder, and the 9% free cash flow yield is one of the best in staples.
  • The Giant Eagle acquisition ($1.65B, ~$1.25B cash + ~$400M assumed liabilities) closing in 2027 pending HSR — a real strategic move to consolidate regional share, and the deal fits the post-Albertsons pivot narrative.
  • Chief Digital Officer Yael Cosset sold $1.76M on July 15 (today) — meaningful officer distribution timed with the recent Giant Eagle news, and the timing at the higher levels is worth naming.
  • 52-week position 11th percentile — the tape has been badly beaten up despite the Buffett-favorite framing; either the market is pricing structural risk from Aldi's $9B expansion, or the entry here is asymmetric.

September 10 Q2 earnings is where the setup either bases or extends the drawdown: same-store sales stabilizing plus Q3 guide reflecting Giant Eagle deal-close timing is what turns cooling into a base; another comp reset or a delayed HSR clearance is where -21% T12M extends further. Real cash generator with a strategic M&A layer and a real Aldi threat — the setup is asymmetric on the value side.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X take on Kroger at 0.24x price-to-sales versus peers is analytically fair on the value case — the discount to Walmart/Costco is real. Cramer's 'hedge fund favorite as gas prices rise' framing captures the defensive-discount thesis at the current setup.

What to watch: Sept 10 Q2 earnings — need same-store sales stabilizing and Q3 guide reflecting Giant Eagle deal-close timing. Another comp reset or a delayed HSR clearance is where -21% T12M extends further.

On the calendar: 2026-09-10 — Q2 earnings

float missingbeta missing

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-09

Kroger discussion centers on a gap-fill call play with contributors highlighting 47 percent options gains and a 0.24x price-to-sales multiple representing an alleged 72 percent discount to peers like Walmart, Costco, Sprouts, and Casey's. Options traders emphasize a price-upgrade sentiment shift alongside sentiment-analysis-driven entries. Tone is short-term momentum-focused and uniformly constructive.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $KR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates US supermarket chains with growing pharmacy, fuel center, and customer loyalty data monetization.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Grocery Stores sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $KR.

Grocery Stores · Consumer Defensive

No material change from last week — supermarket pharmacies distributing GLP-1 weight-loss drugs position KR at the grocery-healthcare intersection while persistent food price inflation sustains..

What this means for $KR

Direct beneficiary — Operates US supermarket chains with growing pharmacy, fuel center, and customer loyalty data monetization; the business model is a direct conduit for the supermarket GLP-1 drug distribution and health services margin expansion.

Top industry ETF

$XLPConsumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
+9.6%YTD
+5.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
39.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
1.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
9.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
13.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
23.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
4.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 18, 2026$1.58$1.59-0.6%
Q4 2025Mar 5, 2026$1.28$1.20+6.7%
Q3 2025Dec 4, 2025$1.05$1.03+1.9%
Q2 2025Sep 11, 2025$1.04$0.99+4.6%
Next earningsThu, Sep 10·consensus EPS $1.05

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY25$34.7B+1.2%23.4%3.6%$1.37$1.8B
Q3 FY25$33.9B+0.7%23.3%-4.6%$-2.02$8.0M
Q2 FY25$33.9B+0.1%23.0%2.5%$0.92$615.0M
Q1 FY25$45.1B-0.3%23.4%2.9%$1.30$1.1B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 17 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$151.2B$149.4B – $153.6B$5.20$5.11 – $5.2817
FY28$153.7B$152.6B – $155.5B$5.53$5.33 – $5.6915
FY29$156.8B$156.7B – $156.9B$5.89$4.43 – $6.6214
FY30$162.3B$160.2B – $164.7B$6.00$5.90 – $6.117
FY31$166.4B$164.2B – $168.8B$6.29$6.18 – $6.418

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.21%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-5.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-10.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 610.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.435-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 14Yael CossetPresident30.0K sh$1.8M
+ 47 other (26 awards · 21 inkinds) in window

See when $KR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 83
AI summary

Initial Form 3 ownership statement filed by Emilee DeMartino, a newly reportable officer or director at Kroger Co., disclosing initial beneficial ownership of company securities upon becoming a Section 16 reporting person. Routine Section 16(a) disclosure triggered by appointment or election to a qualifying role. No operational implications for the company.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 268-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Kroger Chairman Ronald Sargent transitions from employee to Non-Executive Chairman effective July 1, 2026, receiving standard non-employee director compensation. Routine executive-to-non-executive chairman transition.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 253
AI summary

Mitchell R. Butier filed an initial Form 3 as a newly appointed director of Kroger Co. as of June 25, 2026, reporting 0 shares of common stock directly owned and no derivative securities. Administrative filing — new board director joins Kroger with no initial ownership stake at inception.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 278-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

The Kroger Co. disclosed that Executive Vice President and Associate Experience Officer Timothy A. Massa provided notice on May 22, 2026 of his intention to retire in fall 2026. Massa will remain in his current role through September 2026 and continue as an employee through July 1, 2027 for transition purposes. No successor was named in the filing. This is an orderly senior leadership transition at one of the largest U.S. grocery retailers, with a multi-month runway for knowledge transfer.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationApr 21S-3ASR
AI summary

KR filed a S-3ASR (automatic shelf) shelf registration statement dated 2026-04-21. The shelf provides capacity to issue equity or debt as market conditions allow. No immediate capital raise is triggered; watch for prospectus supplements disclosing actual transactions.

3New insider — initial holdingsFeb 193
3New insider — initial holdingsFeb 193
8-KOfficer or director changeFeb 98-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 18 other (6 13Gs · 2 11-Ks · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

2 Dividend Bargains Too Cheap To Ignoreseekingalpha.com·18h agoWarren Buffett's Hand-Picked Successor, Greg Abel, Has 30% of Berkshire Hathaway's Portfolio Invested in Apple and Alphabet. But There's an Under-the-Radar Berkshire Stock That Is My Top Pick for July.fool.com·2d agoUS Millennials and Gen Z Are Losing Hours Each Week to Food Friction. Tempo's Cook Never Club Wants to Give It Back.prnewswire.com·4d agoIs Fresh Food Becoming Kroger's Biggest Competitive Advantage?zacks.com·5d agoMeme ETF rally leaves many underwaterreuters.com·8d ago
Voices on X · top 3 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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