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KAKALU

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation

$KALU·$2.7B·Aluminum·Basic Materials
$162.16+0.2%YTD+39.2%1Y+96.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-20: 0 posts2026-07-21: 2 posts2026-07-22: 15 posts2026-07-23: 13 posts2026-07-24: 2 posts2026-07-25: 0 posts2026-07-26: 1 posts330%
Price updated 9m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
KAKALU
$KALUKaiser Aluminum Corporation
$162.16+0.17%33 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $KALU, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-25

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Kaiser Aluminum just beat Q2 by 108% on record results — up 85% T12M as aerospace/defense demand and tariff pricing converge.

Kaiser Aluminum is a US-listed producer of semi-finished aluminum mill products (rolled/extruded/drawn) serving aerospace-and-defense, automotive, packaging, and general industrial markets. Shares are up 40% year-to-date and 85% over twelve months at $163.17 slightly below the 50-day but well above the 200-day moving average, and October 21 Q3 earnings is the next scheduled catalyst.

  • Q2 just landed as a huge beat: Q2 2026 revenue grew 53% YoY to $1.26B with 13.5% gross margin, and EPS of $5.53 beat the $2.66 estimate by 108% per the July 22 print — a specialty-metals business capturing outsized margin from aerospace/defense demand plus domestic tariff-supported pricing.
  • Revenue trajectory is accelerating: Q2 grew 53%, Q1 42%, Q4 21%, Q3 13% — growth has stepped up sharply over four quarters, reflecting Boeing-supply-chain recovery (Kaiser is a major aerospace-plate supplier) plus industrial-aluminum-demand improvement.
  • Earnings-surprise pattern is massive: Q2 beat 108%, Q1 91%, Q4 -1.9%, Q3 132.5% — sell-side has persistently underestimated the aerospace-plus-tariff combination, and the 13x PE shows the multiple hasn't fully re-rated.
  • Valuation is reasonable: 13x trailing PE for the largest US aerospace-aluminum supplier with 20%+ operating leverage — multiple has room to expand if the beat cadence continues, and the July 13 dividend announcement reflects strong FCF conversion.

October 21 Q3 2026 earnings is the next real hurdle — a beat with continued 40%+ revenue growth plus specific commentary on Boeing-plate demand durability and any auto-body-sheet order-book acceleration is what could extend this leg toward $190+; a specific Boeing-production-rate miss or an aluminum-tariff-policy reversal is what would trigger a give-back given how sharp the T12M move has been.

What to watch: October 21 Q3 2026 earnings — the deciding numbers are Q3 revenue growth continuation at 40%+, Boeing-plate demand durability, and auto-body-sheet order-book acceleration; Boeing production-rate miss or aluminum-tariff reversal is the sell tell.

On the calendar: 2026-10-21 — Q3 2026 earnings

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation is a global producer and vendor of specialized, semi-finished aluminum mill products, operating both domestically within the United States and internationally. Their diverse product portfolio encompasses aluminum items manufactured through rolling, extrusion, and drawing processes. These are essential for various industries, including aerospace and defense, automotive, general engineering, and for the packaging of food and beverages. For the automotive sector, Kaiser Aluminum provides extruded components used in structural parts, crash management systems, and anti-lock braking systems. They also supply drawn tubes for drive shafts and offer value-added fabrication services, such as precise sawing and cutting to specific lengths. Their packaging division specializes in bare and coated aluminum coils, primarily from the 3000- and 5000-series alloys, which are extensively utilized in the beverage and food packaging industry. In the realm of general engineering, the company offers a comprehensive range of alloy products, including plates, sheets, rods, bars, tubes, wires, and standard extrusion shapes. These products find application in a multitude of areas, such as the construction of military vehicles, ordnance, semiconductor manufacturing cells, electronic devices, aftermarket motor sport components, tooling plates, various parts for machinery and equipment, and fasteners like bolts, screws, nails, and rivets. Additionally, Kaiser Aluminum supplies rerolled, extruded, drawn, and cast billet aluminum products, catering to a broad spectrum of industrial end uses. The company markets its products directly to customers via its sales teams located in the United States, Canada, Western Europe, and China. Furthermore, independent sales agents extend their reach to other regions of Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East. Kaiser Aluminum was established in 1946 and maintains its corporate headquarters in Foothill Ranch, California.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aluminum sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $KALU.

Aluminum · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — AA as the primary US aluminum producer benefits from both commodity price uplift and domestic content policy advantages.

Top industry ETF

$XMESPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF
-3.3%YTD
+35.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
12.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
11.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
8.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
26.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
11.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 22, 2026$5.53$2.66+107.9%
Q1 2026Apr 22, 2026$3.74$1.96+90.8%
Q4 2025Feb 18, 2026$1.53$1.56-1.9%
Q3 2025Oct 22, 2025$1.86$0.80+132.5%
Next earningsWed, Oct 21·consensus EPS $2.01

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$1.3B+52.7%13.5%10.6%$5.92$40.1M
Q1 FY26$1.1B+42.4%12.0%8.8%$3.85$68.5M
Q4 FY25$929.0M+21.4%10.0%6.5%$1.74$-51.1M
Q3 FY25$843.5M+12.8%9.8%5.8%$2.44$34.5M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 3 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$4.4B$4.2B – $4.6B$10.62$9.14 – $12.093
FY27$4.3B$4.1B – $4.6B$10.55$10.45 – $10.643
FY28$4.2B$3.4B – $5.1B$13.00$12.15 – $13.852

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.73%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-7.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+20.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 16.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.585-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellApr 29Richard P. GrimleyDirector1.5K sh$261KSellApr 29Keith HarveyCEO3.0K sh$525KSellApr 28Neal E WestCFO5.0K sh$866KSellApr 27Brett WilcoxDirector15.0K sh$2.6MSellApr 27Iulian GheorgheSVP - Adv Eng & Innovation175 sh$30KSellApr 27Keith HarveyCEO47.0K sh$8.2MSellApr 27Donnan John MalcolmEVP, CAO and GC2.7K sh$489KSellFeb 23Neal E WestCFO5.0K sh$609KSellFeb 23Donnan John MalcolmEVP, CAO and GC18.5K sh$2.3M
+ 23 other (16 awards · 6 inkinds · 1 gift) in window

See when $KALU insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 48-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

KALU filed an 8-K under Item 5.07 reporting vote results from a stockholder meeting. Annual Meeting of Stockholders (the “2026 Annual Meeting”).. This is a routine proxy results filing; investors should check for any failed proposals that could signal governance concerns. Also covers Item(s) 5.02.

+ 19 other (8 13Gs · 3 earnings 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 routine 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Kaiser Aluminum (NASDAQ:KALU) Stock Price Down 6.8% – What’s Next?defenseworld.net·3d agoKaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·5d agoKaiser Aluminum Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·5d agoKaiser Aluminum (KALU) Beats Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimateszacks.com·6d agoKaiser Aluminum Corporation Reports Record Second Quarter 2026 Financial Resultsbusinesswire.com·6d ago

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