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TickerTalks›$HOOD
HOHOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

Trending onWhy it's trendingX mentions rising faster than the marketStrong bullish X conversationBacked by solid revenue growth
$HOOD·$90B·Financial - Capital Markets·Financial Services
$94.91-6.6%YTD-17.8%1Y-6.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-17: 2,227 posts2026-07-18: 614 posts2026-07-19: 894 posts2026-07-20: 1,233 posts2026-07-21: 1,317 posts2026-07-22: 1,143 posts2026-07-23: 1,736 posts9,337-41%
Price updated 22h ago·X counts updated 2d ago
HOHOOD
$HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.
$94.91-6.57%9.3k posts-41%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $HOOD, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-25

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

The neo-broker that keeps launching new revenue lines is a few days from having to prove the earnings actually followed.

Robinhood has evolved from a zero-commission app into a full financial platform — crypto, prediction markets, a Layer-2 chain, a premium credit card, and equities and options in one product. It's down about 18% year to date but reports July 29, with the options market pricing a roughly 12% move.

Why this is such a loaded setup:

  • The core business is growing but not hyper-growing: revenue rose 15.1% YoY last quarter to $1.07B at 82% gross margin and 46% operating margin — highly profitable, but 15% alone doesn't support a 39x P/E; the new product lines have to keep expanding.
  • The new revenue lines have real early evidence: the Robinhood Chain crossed $600M TVL in under three weeks (with more DAUs than Base), the Platinum Card is live at $695/year, and both Bernstein and Piper Sandler project Q2 prediction-market revenue to top crypto revenue.
  • The tape into the print is fragile: down 6.6% on the day and only in the bottom third of its 52-week range, with congressional buying and Bernstein's $160 target on one side and a 12% implied move on the other — this isn't a stock you hold into the print casually.

The July 29 print needs prediction-market revenue crossing crypto, chain monetisation showing up as a line, and Platinum sign-up numbers that justify the spend — that combination triggers the re-rate. What kills it is a soft crypto quarter with no prediction-market offset.

Agrees with X sentimentBroadly agrees with the bullish X read — the new product line traction is real and the analyst targets are consistent — but the crowd is under-weighting how loaded a 39x P/E going into a 12%-implied-move print actually is; this is not a low-risk setup.

What to watch: July 29 Q2 earnings: whether prediction-market revenue actually crosses crypto revenue as Bernstein/Piper project, any Robinhood Chain monetisation disclosure, and Platinum Card sign-up data — a soft crypto quarter with no prediction-market offset is what breaks the setup.

On the calendar: 2026-07-29 — Q2 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment164 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-24

Robinhood's story is multi-front: the Robinhood Chain crossed $600M TVL less than three weeks after launch (surpassing Base in daily active users), the new Robinhood Platinum Card launched at $695/year with premium benefits, and Bernstein and Piper Sandler both project Q2 prediction-market revenue will exceed crypto revenue. Bernstein raised its price target to $160 and JPMorgan to $99. Two congressional members disclosed HOOD purchases in the past three weeks. Bulls note the Schwab retail-activity index at multi-year highs as a proxy read-through. Cathie Wood trimmed some HOOD to add SpaceX, but the overall setup is bullish into the July 29 earnings print, with options implying an ~12% move. SoFi briefly leapfrogged Robinhood on the iOS finance app charts, the one competitive note in the mix.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $HOOD

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates a commission-free brokerage app for stocks, ETFs, options, and crypto, monetizing via PFOF and Gold subscriptions.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Capital Markets sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $HOOD.

Financial - Capital Markets · Financial Services

No material change from last week — Robinhood reporting its highest single-day signups confirms the retail infrastructure layer directly benefits from high-profile IPO cycles.

What this means for $HOOD

Neutral — Operates a commission-free brokerage app for stocks, ETFs, options, and crypto, monetizing via PFOF and Gold subscriptions; limited read-through from financial - capital markets macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
+3.8%YTD
+7.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
39.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
46.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
16.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
21.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
82.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 28, 2026$0.38$0.39-1.4%
Q4 2025Feb 10, 2026$0.66$0.63+4.6%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$0.61$0.54+13.4%
Q2 2025Jul 30, 2025$0.42$0.31+36.9%
Next earningsWed, Jul 29·consensus EPS $0.39

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.1B+15.1%80.6%38.5%$0.39$1.2B
Q4 FY25$1.3B+26.5%76.5%50.7%$0.67$-939.0M
Q3 FY25$1.3B+100.0%86.7%49.8%$0.63$-1.6B
Q2 FY25$989.0M+45.0%85.7%44.4%$0.44$3.5B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 19 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.1B$4.7B – $5.6B$1.91$1.55 – $2.1818
FY27$6.4B$5.9B – $7.8B$2.69$2.38 – $3.2619
FY28$7.5B$7.2B – $7.8B$3.32$2.84 – $4.0111
FY29$8.9B$8.2B – $10.5B$3.66$3.28 – $4.495
FY30$7.9B$7.3B – $9.3B$3.40$3.05 – $4.175

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.35%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-0.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-5.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 784.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.345-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 15Shiv VermaCFO4.0K sh$457KSellJul 6Vladimir TenevCEO375.0K sh$43.6MSellJul 6Gallagher Daniel Martin JrChief Legal Officer10.0K sh$1.2MSellJul 2Treseder Oluwadara JohnsonDirector3.8K sh$441KSellJul 2Paula LoopDirector8.3K sh$1.0MSellJul 2Steven M. QuirkChief Brokerage Officer19.4K sh$2.3MSellJun 15Shiv VermaCFO4.0K sh$394KSellJun 11Baiju BhattDirector57.9K sh$5.2MBuyJun 5Meyer MalkaDirector250.0K sh$20.2MSellJun 3Gallagher Daniel Martin JrChief Legal Officer10.0K sh$837K
1–10 of 26
+ 44 other (21 awards · 15 exempts · 5 conversions · 3 inkinds) in window

See when $HOOD insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 23
AI summary

Dara Bazzano, Chief Accounting Officer of Robinhood Markets, filed a Form 3 initial beneficial ownership statement as of June 25, 2026. Administrative disclosure.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 268-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Robinhood designated Dara Bazzano (Chief Accounting Officer since April 2026) as the company's principal accounting officer effective June 25, 2026; CFO Shiv Verma retains the principal financial officer designation. Internal role designation clarification to satisfy SEC officer-responsibility requirements; no economic impact or compensation change disclosed.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 258-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Robinhood Markets closed a $2.2 billion private offering of 0.00% convertible senior notes due October 1, 2029 on June 25, 2026, including $200 million from the underwriters' full exercise of their overallotment option. The zero-coupon notes are senior unsecured obligations and will not bear regular interest. Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan led the placement to qualified institutional buyers under Rule 144A. At $2.2 billion, this is a major balance sheet build — Robinhood is positioning for acquisitions or significant product expansion; use of proceeds not specified in this excerpt.

8-KRestructuring / exit costsJun 168-K — Item 2.05: Restructuring / exit costs
AI summary

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) filed an 8-K Item 2.05 on June 16, 2026 regarding costs associated with exit or disposal activities. Body unavailable — excerpt cuts off before the specific restructuring charge amounts or program details are disclosed.

8-KShareholder voteJun 38-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on the election of directors, an advisory say-on-pay resolution. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 88-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

HOOD disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-05-08). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-K/AOfficer or director change (amended)Mar 248-K/A — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

HOOD disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-03-24). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KMaterial agreementMar 248-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

HOOD entered into a credit agreement (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-03-24). Counterparty: S, as borrower, the lenders party thereto, and JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A.. Size: approximately $2.65 billion. Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

+ 19 other (4 13Gs · 2 proxys · 2 3s · 2 10-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Prediction-Markets Race Heats Up as Robinhood and Crypto.com Hold Talkswsj.com·1d ago3 Reasons the ULTY ETF’s Enormous Yield Costs Way More Than You Think247wallst.com·1d agoCurious about Robinhood Markets (HOOD) Q2 Performance? Explore Wall Street Estimates for Key Metricszacks.com·1d agoRobinhood, Hyperliquid Could Lead Crypto's Next Bull Market, Says Matthew Sigel: 'Wall Street Is Going Onchain'benzinga.com·1d ago6 High‑Risk Stocks That Could Be Big Winnersyoutube.com·2d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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