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TickerTalks›$HOOD
HOHOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

Hot onWhy it's trendingX chatter spiked vs its recent normStrong bullish X conversationBacked by solid revenue growth
$HOOD·$90B·Financial - Capital Markets·Financial Services
$95.65+0.8%YTD-17.2%1Y-10.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-21: 1,317 posts2026-07-22: 1,142 posts2026-07-23: 1,832 posts2026-07-24: 1,829 posts2026-07-25: 8,657 posts2026-07-26: 1,848 posts2026-07-27: 2,120 posts18,802+122%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 7h ago
HOHOOD
$HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.
$95.65+0.78%19k posts+122%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $HOOD, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-27

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

A retail brokerage grown up into a full-stack money app, heading into a print that has to justify a busy month of insider selling.

Robinhood is the retail-first brokerage that has quietly grown up into a full-stack money app — options, crypto, cards, and now prediction markets and its own on-chain venue. It goes into a July 29 print carrying a strong product story and a very obvious insider-selling cluster.

  • The core is a genuinely high-quality business at scale: 82% gross margin, 46% operating margin, and 22% return on equity on a $90B market cap — better mechanics than most pure discount brokers ever achieved.
  • Growth is holding but not accelerating — Q1 revenue up 15% YoY against a huge prior comp — and shares sit at just 35% of the 52-week range, so entry looks meaningfully less rich than it did in December.
  • The insider signal is a real headwind: co-founder and CEO Vlad Tenev sold $43.5M, then-CFO Jason Warnick's replacement chain sold another $4M+, all in the two weeks after issuing $2.2B of zero-coupon convertible notes — a package that reads as top-of-cycle capital-raising.
  • The bull setup is genuinely stacking: a $695/yr Platinum credit card positioned as premium-grade, Bernstein lifting the target to $160, and Robinhood Chain now the #4 chain by 24-hour DEX volume — enough surface-area to move the print if any of them show up in the numbers.

The July 29 print decides the near-term move — a clean beat with Platinum-card adoption commentary flips the insider selling into a footnote; a miss against the $1.14B revenue estimate turns that same selling from a warning into a trigger.

Agrees with X sentimentX's bullish read on Platinum, Bernstein, and Solana Chain is well-supported by the mechanics — 46% operating margin and 22% ROE are the numbers behind that confidence — but the crowd is under-weighting the Tenev-led $45M+ officer sell cluster, which deserves more air-time.

What to watch: July 29 Q2 earnings: watch Gold subscriber growth, crypto-trading revenue mix, and any Platinum-card adoption number; a revenue miss against $1.14B combined with the July insider selling would set up a real gap down.

On the calendar: 2026-07-29 — Q2 earnings

insider selling clusterevent imminentconvertible issuance

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment137 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-27

Robinhood reports Q2 earnings July 29 with the options market pricing in about a 12% move, and Bernstein raised its price target to $160 from $130 flagging that prediction market revenue could surpass crypto revenue this quarter. J.P. Morgan raised to $99 from $89. Robinhood Chain hit $600M TVL and surpassed Base in daily active users less than three weeks after launch, and the new Platinum Card at $695/year is generating strong buzz. The stock sits at $99 (roughly flat over the year despite revenue growing 53% and platform assets up 48%). Bulls flag AI agents as a massive volume tailwind, and a Ventures Fund II is coming soon.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $HOOD

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates a commission-free brokerage app for stocks, ETFs, options, and crypto, monetizing via PFOF and Gold subscriptions.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Capital Markets sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $HOOD.

Financial - Capital Markets · Financial Services

No material change from last week — Robinhood reporting its highest single-day signups confirms the retail infrastructure layer directly benefits from high-profile IPO cycles.

What this means for $HOOD

Neutral — Operates a commission-free brokerage app for stocks, ETFs, options, and crypto, monetizing via PFOF and Gold subscriptions; limited read-through from financial - capital markets macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
+4.8%YTD
+7.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
39.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
46.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
16.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
21.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
82.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 28, 2026$0.38$0.39-1.4%
Q4 2025Feb 10, 2026$0.66$0.63+4.6%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$0.61$0.54+13.4%
Q2 2025Jul 30, 2025$0.42$0.31+36.9%
Next earningsWed, Jul 29·consensus EPS $0.39

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.1B+15.1%80.6%38.5%$0.39$1.2B
Q4 FY25$1.3B+26.5%76.5%50.7%$0.67$-939.0M
Q3 FY25$1.3B+100.0%86.7%49.8%$0.63$-1.6B
Q2 FY25$989.0M+45.0%85.7%44.4%$0.44$3.5B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 19 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.1B$4.7B – $5.6B$1.90$1.55 – $2.1718
FY27$6.4B$5.9B – $7.9B$2.70$2.39 – $3.2719
FY28$7.5B$7.2B – $7.8B$3.30$2.83 – $3.9911
FY29$8.9B$8.3B – $10.2B$3.66$3.30 – $4.335
FY30$7.9B$7.3B – $9.0B$3.40$3.07 – $4.035

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.36%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-0.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-4.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 784.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.345-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 15Shiv VermaCFO4.0K sh$457KSellJul 6Vladimir TenevCEO375.0K sh$43.6MSellJul 6Gallagher Daniel Martin JrChief Legal Officer10.0K sh$1.2MSellJul 2Treseder Oluwadara JohnsonDirector3.8K sh$441KSellJul 2Paula LoopDirector8.3K sh$1.0MSellJul 2Steven M. QuirkChief Brokerage Officer19.4K sh$2.3MSellJun 15Shiv VermaCFO4.0K sh$394KSellJun 11Baiju BhattDirector57.9K sh$5.2MBuyJun 5Meyer MalkaDirector250.0K sh$20.2MSellJun 3Gallagher Daniel Martin JrChief Legal Officer10.0K sh$837K
1–10 of 26
+ 44 other (21 awards · 15 exempts · 5 conversions · 3 inkinds) in window

See when $HOOD insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 23
AI summary

Dara Bazzano, Chief Accounting Officer of Robinhood Markets, filed a Form 3 initial beneficial ownership statement as of June 25, 2026. Administrative disclosure.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 268-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Robinhood designated Dara Bazzano (Chief Accounting Officer since April 2026) as the company's principal accounting officer effective June 25, 2026; CFO Shiv Verma retains the principal financial officer designation. Internal role designation clarification to satisfy SEC officer-responsibility requirements; no economic impact or compensation change disclosed.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 258-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Robinhood Markets closed a $2.2 billion private offering of 0.00% convertible senior notes due October 1, 2029 on June 25, 2026, including $200 million from the underwriters' full exercise of their overallotment option. The zero-coupon notes are senior unsecured obligations and will not bear regular interest. Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan led the placement to qualified institutional buyers under Rule 144A. At $2.2 billion, this is a major balance sheet build — Robinhood is positioning for acquisitions or significant product expansion; use of proceeds not specified in this excerpt.

8-KRestructuring / exit costsJun 168-K — Item 2.05: Restructuring / exit costs
AI summary

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) filed an 8-K Item 2.05 on June 16, 2026 regarding costs associated with exit or disposal activities. Body unavailable — excerpt cuts off before the specific restructuring charge amounts or program details are disclosed.

8-KShareholder voteJun 38-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on the election of directors, an advisory say-on-pay resolution. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 88-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

HOOD disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-05-08). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-K/AOfficer or director change (amended)Mar 248-K/A — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

HOOD disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-03-24). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KMaterial agreementMar 248-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

HOOD entered into a credit agreement (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-03-24). Counterparty: S, as borrower, the lenders party thereto, and JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A.. Size: approximately $2.65 billion. Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

+ 19 other (4 13Gs · 2 proxys · 2 3s · 2 10-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Buy, Hold or Sell Robinhood Stock? Key Insights Ahead of Q2 Earningszacks.com·18h agoHOOD Eyes Deeper Push Into Prediction Markets: What Does This Mean?zacks.com·18h agoCaxton Associates LLP Acquires 10,862 Shares of Robinhood Markets, Inc. $HOODdefenseworld.net·1d agoRobinhood Eyes Crypto.com to Expand Role on Prediction Market Stagepymnts.com·1d agoThree 'popular stocks' Cathie Wood has sold in Julyinvezz.com·3d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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