TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$GPK
GPGPK

Graphic Packaging Holding Company

$GPK·$2.6B·Packaging & Containers·Consumer Cyclical
$8.48-0.4%YTD-42.9%1Y-55.1%
Price updated 1m ago·X counts updated 4d ago
GPGPK
$GPKGraphic Packaging Holding Company
$8.49-0.41%74 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

On X

The complete picture of $GPK on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

74X posts · last 7 days
Sep 21Oct 4
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $GPK's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 62% of tracked names.

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $GPK — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Paper packaging at 0.7% of its range into Nov 3 earnings — the EPS beats say the business isn't the problem.

Graphic Packaging is a leading paper-and-paperboard packaging company serving consumer-goods customers. The 2026 drawdown reflects weak paper-pricing cycle plus general industrial-cycle concerns — not operational deterioration.

  • The P&L is quietly beating: Q2 revenue was flat at $2.19B YoY at a 4.3% operating margin and $0.08 EPS, with trailing EPS beats of 15% and 50% — the latter is a size of surprise that reflects both operational execution and conservative sell-side modeling.
  • The signal stack is specific: new Chief Accounting Officer (Aditya Gandhi) appointment and a top-5 Corporate Citizens ranking suggest management is positioning for durable governance strengthening — the kind of signals that typically precede a turnaround narrative being accepted.

At just 0.7% of its 52-week range and 23% below the 200-day going into Nov 3 earnings, this is the textbook turnaround coil setup. A clean 15%+ EPS surprise plus any paper-pricing-stabilization commentary is the trigger for a reclaim; another revenue decline or paper-pricing warning is the invalidation.

What to watch: Nov 3 Q3 earnings — paper pricing, operating margin direction, free cash flow, and FY27 guide. 15%+ EPS surprise plus pricing-stabilization is the trigger; another revenue decline is the invalidation.

On the calendar: 2026-11-03 — Q3 earnings

event ahead 30dcyclical low

Read the AI verdict on $GPK

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Graphic Packaging makes paperboard and fiber-based cartons and packaging for food, beverage, and household consumer goods.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Packaging & Containers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $GPK.

Packaging & Containers · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — consumer goods destocking cycle is largely complete, providing sequential volume recovery for packaging players.

What this means for $GPK

Direct beneficiary — Graphic Packaging makes paperboard and fiber-based cartons and packaging for food, beverage, and household consumer goods.

Top industry ETF

$XLYConsumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR
-7.9%YTD
-5.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
17.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
6.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
5.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
5.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
15.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 4, 2026$0.14$0.12+14.8%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$0.09$0.06+50.0%
Q4 2025Feb 3, 2026$0.29$0.34-14.7%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$0.58$0.54+7.4%
Next earningsTue, Nov 3·consensus EPS $0.24

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$2.2B-0.7%13.3%4.3%$0.08$75.0M
Q1 FY26$2.2B+1.7%14.1%4.0%$-0.14$-253.0M
Q4 FY25$2.1B+0.4%14.4%7.4%$0.24$407.0M
Q3 FY25$2.2B-1.2%19.9%11.7%$0.48$-40.0M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$8.6B$8.6B – $8.8B$0.71$0.64 – $0.769
FY27$8.8B$8.6B – $9.2B$1.09$0.98 – $1.259
FY28$9.0B$8.8B – $9.5B$1.24$1.11 – $1.456
FY29$9.0B$8.9B – $9.4B$1.90$1.87 – $2.004

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.1%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-18.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-24.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 291.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.675-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyMay 20Jeffrey StafeilDirector16.3K sh—BuyMay 8Robert HagemannDirector14.0K sh$154KBuyMay 7Jeffrey StafeilDirector17.9K sh$200K
+ 11 other (11 awards) in window

See when $GPK insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeSep 288-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) filed an 8-K on 2026-09-28 disclosing a director or executive officer departure, appointment, or compensation change (Item 5.02). No narrative detail was available in the excerpt; this is typically an administrative personnel or governance disclosure with limited market impact unless it involves a key C-suite role.

3New insider — initial holdingsSep 283
AI summary

Aditya Gandhi filed a initial Form 3 beneficial ownership statement for GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) on 2026-09-28, reporting their status as a VP and CAO. This is an administrative Section 16 disclosure required when a new insider (director, officer, or 10% holder) first reports their holdings; it signals a change in the company's executive or governance structure rather than a market transaction.

3New insider — initial holdingsSep 103
8-KMaterial debt obligationSep 38-K — Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Graphic Packaging International, LLC (operating subsidiary of Graphic Packaging Holding Company) entered a loan agreement with the Mission Economic Development Corporation (MEDC) for $115.2 million in tax-exempt green bonds due 2064 (mandatory purchase date June 1, 2030), bearing 5.00% annual interest with a 2.677% premium and all-in yield of 4.17%. Net proceeds of approximately $116.2 million will be used to pay down the company's higher-cost senior secured revolving credit facility. This is a favorable capital structure transaction that reduces borrowing costs via tax-exempt green bond financing, and the green label suggests sustainability-linked use of proceeds that may attract ESG-focused investors.

8-KCharter amendmentJun 168-K — Item 3.03 · Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KOfficer or director changeJun 118-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
3New insider — initial holdingsJun 83
8-KMaterial debt obligationMay 268-K — Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
+ 20 other (8 13Gs · 2 routine 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Graphic Packaging Holding Company to Host Third-Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call on November 3prnewswire.com·7d agoGraphic Packaging Holding Company Appoints Aditya Gandhi as Chief Accounting Officerprnewswire.com·10d agoGraphic Packaging Earns Top-Five Ranking Among 100 Best Corporate Citizensprnewswire.com·21d agoWall Street's Most Accurate Analysts Spotlight On 3 Materials Stocks Delivering High-Dividend Yieldsbenzinga.com·27d agoGraphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) Presents at Jefferies Global Industrials Conference 2026 Transcriptseekingalpha.com·28d ago

More in Packaging & Containers

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$SW$PACK
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $GPK on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport