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GEGENI

Genius Sports Limited

$GENI·$1.6B·Internet Content & Information·Communication Services
$6.30-1.7%YTD-42.3%1Y-37.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-08: 20 posts2026-07-09: 19 posts2026-07-10: 19 posts2026-07-11: 17 posts2026-07-12: 25 posts2026-07-13: 55 posts2026-07-14: 32 posts188+28%
Price updated 6m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
GEGENI
$GENIGenius Sports Limited
$6.30-1.72%188 posts+28%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $GENI, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Genius Sports down 42% YTD — picks-and-shovels sports-data play at 26% of 52w range.

Genius Sports is a sports-data-and-technology infrastructure provider — the official data feeds that power sportsbook operators, broadcasters, and increasingly prediction-market platforms. The stock is down 42% YTD despite continued revenue growth.

  • Revenue grew 31% YoY last quarter with a -16% operating margin — real top-line acceleration but continued operating losses; the equity value depends on operating leverage arriving as sports-book and prediction-market volumes scale.
  • Trades at 2.1x TTM sales with a genuinely positive 1% FCF yield — reasonable multiples for a growth SaaS-adjacent name; the recent 40% drawdown captures the sector rotation from consumer-discretionary.
  • Zero insider transactions in the last 30 days at 26th percentile of 52-week range — clean absence of distributing signal at the recent lows.
  • The LIGA MX and Polymarket sponsorship agreement (June 10) plus the SRAD-Kalshi deal read-through capture the prediction-market tailwind — Genius Sports as data provider benefits regardless of which prediction-market or sportsbook operator wins.
  • 52-week position 26th percentile with position vs 200-day MA -18% — the tape has been beaten up; the August 5 Q2 earnings is the specific reset moment.

August 5 Q2 earnings is where the picks-and-shovels story either extends or contracts: revenue growth held above 25% plus specific commentary on prediction-market data-feed contribution is what turns coiling into a base; a modest print or a Q3 guide reflecting soft sportsbook volumes is where the -42% YTD extends further. Real sports-data infrastructure at real discount — the setup rewards continued prediction-market volume growth and continued Genius Sports' data-feed positioning.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X take on Genius as picks-and-shovels official-data infrastructure benefiting from SRAD-Kalshi and prediction-market volume is analytically fair. The BlackBerry $12 comparison is aggressive but the fundamental positioning matches the framing.

What to watch: Aug 5 Q2 earnings — need revenue growth held above 25% and specific commentary on prediction-market data-feed contribution. A modest print or Q3 guide reflecting soft sportsbook volumes is where -42% YTD extends further.

On the calendar: 2026-08-05 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-16

Genius Sports rallies nearly 8% in the cited session and is framed not as a sportsbook but as a picks-and-shovels official-data infrastructure play that benefits from rising prediction-market and sportsbook volume including the SRAD-Kalshi deal. Posters compare the trajectory to BlackBerry targeting $12 and tag GENI as Phil Hellmuth's third successful SPAC sponsorship. Position consolidation from DKNG into GENI reinforces the structural skew.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $GENI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Distributes official sports data and odds to sportsbooks and runs digital marketing tools for betting operators.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Internet Content & Information sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $GENI.

Internet Content & Information · Communication Services

No material change from last week — AI-enhanced ad targeting sustains META and GOOGL digital advertising pricing while LLM-based search agents remain a medium-term displacement risk to search revenue. Digital advertising continues to outperform traditional media as brand budgets follow eyeballs to social and search platforms.

What this means for $GENI

Neutral — Distributes official sports data and odds to sportsbooks and runs digital marketing tools for betting operators; this business's revenue is largely decoupled from the AI-enhanced digital advertising repricing.

Top industry ETF

$FDNFirst Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund
+2.4%YTD
+4.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-10.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-20.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-21.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-22.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
22.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$-0.21$-0.09-133.3%
Q4 2025Mar 4, 2026$-0.03$0.02-250.0%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$-0.11$0.13-184.6%
Q2 2025Aug 6, 2025$-0.21$0.07-400.0%
Next earningsWed, Aug 5·consensus EPS $-0.07

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$188.0M+30.5%22.9%-15.8%$-0.21$-68.2M
Q4 FY25$240.5M+37.0%28.5%-8.4%$-0.08$84.0M
Q3 FY25$166.3M+38.3%24.8%-13.8%$-0.11$19.1M
Q2 FY25$118.7M+24.4%7.5%-68.0%$-0.21$-19.2M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 13 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.0B$1.0B – $1.0B-$0.03-$0.05 – -$0.0013
FY27$1.3B$1.3B – $1.3B$0.43$0.24 – $0.6712
FY28$1.6B$1.5B – $1.6B$0.77$0.41 – $1.0911
FY29$1.5B$1.5B – $1.6B$1.25$1.19 – $1.305

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.26%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+11.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-17.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 6 other (3 inkinds · 3 exempts) in window

See when $GENI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GENI on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GENI on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GENI on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GENI on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GENI on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GENI on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GENI on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GENI on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

+ 14 other (6 13Gs · 5 6-Ks · 1 3 · 1 S-8) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Genius Sports Limited (GENI) Moves 14.0% Higher: Will This Strength Last?zacks.com·17d agoGenius Sports: A Perfect Blendseekingalpha.com·33d agoLIGA MX and Polymarket Announce Sponsorship Agreement for the US Territory with Official Data and Integrity Collaboration from Genius Sportsbusinesswire.com·36d agoThis Sports Tech Stock Is Down 50%. One Fund Just Cut Its Stake by Nearly $20 Millionfool.com·56d agoThe Live Moment Effect: Genius Sports and MediaScience Study Finds Specific Moments in Live Sports Can Double Unaided Brand Recallbusinesswire.com·56d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $GENI on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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