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GEGENI

Genius Sports Limited

$GENI·$2.0B·Internet Content & Information·Communication Services
$8.02+0.8%YTD-27.2%1Y-37.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-19: 5 posts2026-08-20: 14 posts2026-08-21: 4 posts2026-08-22: 2 posts2026-08-23: 3 posts51+2%
Price updated 14h ago·X counts updated 6d ago
GEGENI
$GENIGenius Sports Limited
$8.02+0.75%51 posts+2%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $GENI, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Sports data platform with prediction-market tailwinds — Q1 revenue +30%, Legend acquisition adding scale.

Genius Sports provides technology and data solutions for sports, sports betting, and sports media — the specific real-time official-data infrastructure that sportsbooks and increasingly prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi) need. The rise of prediction markets adds a specific new demand vector for the platform.

What's actually here:

  • Revenue growth is accelerating — Q1 of $188M grew 30.5% YoY on top of 37%, 38%, 24%; a sports-data business at GENI's scale sustaining 30%+ growth reflects both existing customer expansion (major sportsbooks) and category additions (prediction markets).
  • The economics are still working through — Q1 operating margin -16%, 23% gross margin, and $68M free cash flow burn; consensus FY26 EPS of essentially breakeven (-$0.006) turning positive at FY27 $0.45 and FY28 $0.79 reflects the profitability inflection.
  • EPS surprises have been negative but ex-item — Q2 of -$0.28 vs -$0.07 (large miss driven by one-time items) and Q1 of -$0.21 vs -$0.09 (mixed); the underlying trajectory is not as bad as the headline surprises suggest.
  • The tape is confirming — position 42% of the 52-week range, 15% above the 50-day, 13% above the 200-day, on 1.39x volume; the operational thesis is being priced by flow even as the multiple compresses.

The forward path is that Q3 earnings on Nov 3 delivering continued 30%+ growth with any prediction-market revenue attribution supports the multi-quarter re-rate; the specific catalyst is any Polymarket or Kalshi named-customer contract or fantasy-football-season revenue lift. The bear case is that sports-betting industry maturation compresses data-pricing economics, and prediction-market volume doesn't compound as fast as bulls model.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X read on live sports-data positioning as prediction markets require real-time official data, plus Legend acquisition as scale-additive, is grounded on the specific PM demand vector and the operational growth trajectory.

What to watch: Q3 earnings on Nov 3 — specifically revenue growth versus 30.5% Q1 baseline, any Polymarket or Kalshi customer commentary, and fantasy-football-season revenue attribution.

On the calendar: 2026-11-03 — Q3 2026 earnings

prediction market tailwindgrowth reaccelerating

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-28

Genius Sports chatter is bullish on live sports-data positioning as PMs (Polymarket, Kalshi) require real-time official data. Traders cite the Legend acquisition + data partnerships with prediction markets as a differentiator and note the stock is retesting resistance ahead of fantasy football season. One post grumbles about difficult trading; overall tone is constructive.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $GENI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Distributes official sports data and odds to sportsbooks and runs digital marketing tools for betting operators.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Internet Content & Information sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $GENI.

Internet Content & Information · Communication Services

No material change from last week — AI-enhanced ad targeting sustains META and GOOGL digital advertising pricing while LLM-based search agents remain a medium-term displacement risk to search revenue. Digital advertising continues to outperform traditional media as brand budgets follow eyeballs to social and search platforms.

What this means for $GENI

Partial — Distributes official sports data and odds to sportsbooks and runs digital marketing tools for betting operators; partial earnings exposure to internet content & information demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Top industry ETF

$FDNFirst Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund
+6.4%YTD
+5.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-10.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-20.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-21.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-22.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
22.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$-0.28$-0.07-306.2%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$-0.21$-0.09-133.3%
Q4 2025Mar 4, 2026$-0.03$0.02-250.0%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$-0.11$0.01-1638.5%
Next earningsTue, Nov 3·consensus EPS $-0.01

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$188.0M+30.5%22.9%-15.8%$-0.21$-68.2M
Q4 FY25$240.5M+37.0%28.5%-8.4%$-0.08$84.0M
Q3 FY25$166.3M+38.3%24.8%-13.8%$-0.11$19.1M
Q2 FY25$118.7M+24.4%7.5%-68.0%$-0.21$-19.2M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 14 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.0B$1.0B – $1.0B-$0.01-$0.01 – -$0.0014
FY27$1.3B$1.3B – $1.3B$0.45$0.25 – $0.7013
FY28$1.6B$1.5B – $1.6B$0.79$0.41 – $1.1213
FY29$1.5B$1.4B – $1.6B$1.25$1.17 – $1.3112

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.42%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+14.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+13.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 233.2M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.885-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 6 other (3 inkinds · 3 exempts) in window

See when $GENI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GENI on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GENI on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GENI on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GENI on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GENI on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GENI on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GENI on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GENI on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

+ 11 other (4 6-Ks · 4 13Gs · 1 3 · 1 S-8) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Genius Sports Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·21d agoWhy Genius Sports Popped by Almost 10% This Weekfool.com·22d agoGenius Sports Limited (GENI) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·23d agoGenius Sports' media surge shows shift beyond sportsbook datacnbc.com·23d agoGenius Sports Limited (GENI) Reports Q2 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimateszacks.com·23d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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