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TickerTalks›$FRPT
FRFRPT

Freshpet, Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 15% YoYRecent insider buyingQuiet on X (24 mentions/wk)
$FRPT·$2.8B·Packaged Foods·Consumer Defensive
$57.15-0.0%YTD-5.8%1Y+9.0%
Price updated 8h ago·X counts updated 2d ago
FRFRPT
$FRPTFreshpet, Inc.
$57.15-0.03%24 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $FRPT on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

24X posts · last 7 days
Sep 12Sep 27

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $FRPT — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-28

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Freshpet trading at 16x P/E, four straight beats (last +75%), tape at 29% of range — pet-food premium execution.

Freshpet is a coiled quality-growth consumer-defensive name that the market has re-rated after post-COVID chatter died down.

  • Tape: -4.5% YTD, +17.6% t12m; 29% of 52w range, -12% vs 50-day, -9.2% vs 200-day.
  • Q2 EPS $0.423 vs $0.242 (+75%); four straight beats overall (75%, -33%, 49%, 7%).
  • 16.1x P/E TTM, 13.7x EV/EBITDA, 5.5% FCF yield, D/E 0.40, op margin 8.8%.
  • FY26 est $1.93 → FY27 $1.77 (small dip) → FY28 $2.07 → FY29 $2.59 EPS.
  • Gross margin 39%, ROIC 6% — capex-heavy retail-food economics.
  • Chewy's FCF miss overshadowed raised outlook, but Freshpet ticked up — relative winner.
  • Barclays Global Consumer Staples Conference participation.
  • No X sentiment sample.

Watch 11/2 print for household-penetration trajectory and any commentary on retail-shelf expansion.

What to watch: 11/2 earnings, household-penetration trajectory, gross-margin recovery, and any private-label competitive read-through.

On the calendar: 2026-11-02

sentiment missing

Read the AI verdict on $FRPT

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Maker of refrigerated fresh pet food sold through in-store fridges at major US retailers, targeting premium dog and cat nutrition.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Packaged Foods sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $FRPT.

Packaged Foods · Consumer Defensive

Volume pressure from GLP-1 drug adoption (users reporting lower appetite and calorie intake) is a structural emerging headwind for snack, confection, and beverage categories. Pricing power from 2021–2023 input cost pass-throughs is normalizing as commodity costs moderate, shifting the growth requirement back to volume — precisely where GLP-1 headwinds are sharpening.

What this means for $FRPT

Neutral — Maker of refrigerated fresh pet food sold through in-store fridges at major US retailers, targeting premium dog and cat nutrition.

Industry benchmark

13-name peer basket
+19.6%YTD
+10.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
16.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
8.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
5.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
16.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
39.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$0.42$0.24+75.0%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$0.04$0.06-33.3%
Q4 2025Feb 23, 2026$0.64$0.43+48.8%
Q3 2025Nov 3, 2025$0.46$0.43+7.0%
Next earningsMon, Nov 2·consensus EPS $0.40

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$305.6M+15.5%42.1%7.1%$0.40$27.4M
Q1 FY26$297.6M+13.1%40.5%1.5%$0.99$12.7M
Q4 FY25$285.2M+8.6%36.8%18.3%$0.69$109.6M
Q3 FY25$288.8M+14.0%37.5%8.9%$2.08$31.6M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 14 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.2B$1.2B – $1.2B$1.93$1.89 – $1.9614
FY27$1.3B$1.3B – $1.3B$1.77$1.68 – $1.8714
FY28$1.4B$1.4B – $1.5B$2.07$1.72 – $2.489
FY29$1.6B$1.6B – $1.6B$2.59$2.54 – $2.654
FY30$1.7B$1.6B – $1.7B$3.07$3.01 – $3.144

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.27%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-13.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-10.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 48.2M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.665-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuySep 14Walter N. GeorgeDirector1.0K sh$65KSellAug 26William B. CyrCEO39.7K sh$3.0MSellAug 24William B. CyrCEO44.0K sh$3.3MSellAug 21William B. CyrCEO43.9K sh$3.2MSellAug 19William B. CyrCEO44.1K sh$3.3MSellAug 17William B. CyrCEO41.0K sh$3.0MSellAug 14William B. CyrCEO44.1K sh$3.2MSellMay 22William B. CyrCEO46.8K sh$2.4MSellMay 20William B. CyrCEO47.6K sh$2.3MBuyMay 20Daryl G BrewsterDirector211 sh$10K
1–10 of 16
+ 12 other (10 exempts · 2 inkinds) in window

See when $FRPT insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 58-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

FRESHPET, INC. (FRPT) reported Q2 2026 financial results on 2026-08-05, reporting results detailed in attached press release. Additional items: Item 7.01. Quarterly earnings are a material disclosure; investors should review the full press release for segment details and management commentary.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 248-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) disclosed an officer or director change (Item 5.02) on 2026-06-24. Details: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Executive transitions are administrative disclosures; materiality depends on the seniority of the affected position. No new financial terms were disclosed in this filing.

8-KShareholder voteJun 118-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 68-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 11 other (6 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys · 1 ARS) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Freshpet (FRPT) Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market: Important Facts to Notezacks.com·1d agoFreshpet (NASDAQ:FRPT) versus CIMG (NASDAQ:IMG) Head-To-Head Reviewdefenseworld.net·2d agoFreshpet (FRPT) Is Considered a Good Investment by Brokers: Is That True?zacks.com·5d agoFreshpet (FRPT) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investorszacks.com·14d agoFreshpet, Inc. (FRPT) Presents at Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Staples Conference Transcriptseekingalpha.com·20d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $FRPT on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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