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EREROC

ERock, Inc.

$EROC·$528M·Industrial - Machinery·Industrials
$10.10-5.7%1Y-42.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-20: 5 posts2026-07-21: 8 posts2026-07-22: 2 posts2026-07-23: 3 posts2026-07-24: 0 posts2026-07-25: 1 posts2026-07-26: 0 posts19-5%
Price updated 12m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
EREROC
$EROCERock, Inc.
$10.10-5.70%19 posts-5%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $EROC, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Hinges on a big eventWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-28

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

ERock down 43% since IPO but BofA upgrade to Buy $16 target and Meta-project speculation is the specific catalyst.

ERock is a natural-gas power and distributed-energy company that IPO'd earlier this year at $21.50 (per contributors). The stock has traded down to $10.70 as post-IPO pressure and specific investor concerns weighed, but recent catalysts are producing a real recovery setup.

  • The BofA upgrade to Buy at $16 target is the specific recent catalyst: Ross Fowler's upgrade with a target implying ~49% upside reflects specific sell-side conviction on the ERock distributed-energy model — the sort of coverage initiation that supports the near-term recovery.
  • The Meta-project beneficiary framing is real: The Information's positive mention over the weekend framed ERock as a beneficiary of Meta's data-center power buildout — this is a specific hyperscaler-adjacent thesis that connects the natural-gas-power positioning to the AI-datacenter demand story.
  • The IPO priced at $21.50 versus current $10.70 reflects post-IPO underperformance: this is a real headwind but also creates the setup for the mean-reversion trade if the fundamentals and catalyst-flow actually validate the thesis.
  • The financial mechanics are early-stage: Q1 revenue of $32M with EPS of -$0.37 and operating margin of -54% — ERock is very much in the ramp phase where the equity value depends on the buildout translating into revenue on the currently-modeled cadence.

The August 11 Q2 print is the near-term catalyst — the FY26 revenue guide, Meta-project revenue timing commentary, and any specific distributed-energy contract announcements matter more than the loss number. What would break the setup: a specific Meta or hyperscaler project delay, since the -43% since-IPO framing plus the BofA $16 target both depend on the AI-adjacent natural-gas-power thesis actually delivering.

Agrees with X sentimentThe framing around Erock as a Meta-project beneficiary after The Information's positive weekend mention, the BofA analyst Ross Fowler upgrade to Buy with a $16 price target, and traders describing an aggressive dip-buy at $10.70 (the IPO priced at $21.50) is grounded in the actual media catalyst and sell-side upgrade — this is a case where the sentiment tracks the specific catalyst plus valuation reset.

What to watch: The Aug 11 Q2 print — the FY26 revenue guide, Meta-project revenue timing commentary, and any specific distributed-energy contract announcements matter more than the loss. What would break the setup: a specific Meta or hyperscaler project delay, since the -43% since-IPO framing and BofA $16 target both depend on the AI-adjacent natural-gas-power thesis actually delivering.

On the calendar: 2026-08-11 — Q2 2026 earnings

float missing

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-22

Erock (natural-gas power/distributed energy) is being framed as a Meta-project beneficiary after The Information gave positive mention over the weekend. BofA analyst Ross Fowler upgraded to Buy with a $16 price target, and traders describe an aggressive dip-buy at $10.70 (the IPO priced at $21.50). The stock ran ~26% in four trading sessions to $12.62 with $15 as the next target. Comparison to $CEPL at $500M market cap vs EROC at $2.7B is being flagged.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $EROC

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs, installs, and operates distributed power generation and storage systems for commercial and industrial customers in the US.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial - Machinery sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $EROC.

Industrial - Machinery · Industrials

No material change from last week — electrical infrastructure for AI power density and robotic warehouse/manufacturing automation are pulling order books in different directions.

What this means for $EROC

Partial — Designs, installs, and operates distributed power generation and storage systems for commercial and industrial customers in the US; partial earnings exposure to industrial - machinery demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Industry benchmark

27-name peer basket
+24.0%YTD
+57.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-24.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-119%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-53.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
22.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
14.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
0.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
18.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 15, 2026$-0.03——
Next earningsTue, Aug 11·consensus EPS $-0.24

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$31.7M—20.5%-49.6%$-0.37$192.9M
Q1 FY25$24.1M—15.3%-59.0%$-0.35$-9.5M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$452.1M$448.1M – $456.1M-$0.39-$0.43 – -$0.335
FY27$1.4B$1.4B – $1.5B$0.39$0.38 – $0.405
FY28$2.2B$2.1B – $2.3B$1.08$0.95 – $1.206

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.—Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.—Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.—Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatTiny float · 209K shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today423.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.005-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13DActivist position (5%+)Jun 18SC 13D
AI summary

Energy Impact Partners LLC filed a Schedule 13D disclosing a dominant 78.1% stake (102,813,846 shares) in ERock, Inc. (EROC), comprising both Class A and Class B common stock plus Class B units of Enchanted Rock Holdings, LLC, with shared voting and dispositive power. The filing accompanied EROC's June 9, 2026 IPO via a UP-C structure, under which pre-IPO owners (Energy Impact Partners and affiliates) retain the majority of economic and voting interest. This 13D signals Energy Impact Partners as the controlling shareholder of EROC post-IPO, consistent with the partnership structure typical of energy infrastructure UP-C offerings.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 158-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 3.03 · Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

ERock, Inc. (EROC) filed an 8-K covering multiple items related to its initial public offering (IPO) that closed June 9–11, 2026. Key agreements entered into include: the Sixth Amended and Restated LLC Agreement of Enchanted Rock Holdings, LLC; a Tax Receivable Agreement; and a UP-C structure pairing Class A (economic) and Class B (voting-only) common stock. The IPO was conducted via the UP-C structure, with pre-IPO owners retaining indirect economic interests in ER Holdings. This is a transformative event — EROC's public market debut through a complex multi-agreement UP-C IPO structure in the distributed energy / grid resilience sector.

424B4Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 10424B4
AI summary

ERock, Inc. (EROC) filed a 424B4 prospectus on June 10, 2026 in connection with its IPO, conducted via a UP-C umbrella partnership-C-corporation structure. The prospectus covers ERock's Class A common stock (economic interest) alongside Class B stock (voting-only, no economics) held by pre-IPO owners of Enchanted Rock Holdings, LLC. The UP-C structure allows pre-IPO owners to retain tax benefits of partnership classification. This is the primary IPO prospectus for EROC, a distributed energy and grid resilience company; the offering price and total shares are in the full prospectus not captured in the excerpt.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 93
AI summary

Livingston Satterthwaite filed a Form 3 at ERock, Inc. (EROC) on June 9, 2026, as a newly reporting director, disclosing no securities beneficially owned at the time of filing. The form was signed via power of attorney. This is one of multiple Form 3 filings submitted by EROC directors and officers in connection with the Company's June 9, 2026 IPO. No market impact; this is an administrative SEC compliance filing.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 93
AI summary

Mark R. Patterson filed a Form 3 at ERock, Inc. (EROC) on June 9, 2026, as a director/10% owner, disclosing beneficial ownership of 580,107 shares of Class A common stock via Class M Units of Enchanted Rock Holdings, LLC at a conversion/exercise price of $0.15. Filed via power of attorney in connection with EROC's June 9, 2026 IPO. This is an initial ownership statement; the position reflects pre-IPO equity granted to a significant shareholder or director of Enchanted Rock Holdings.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 93
AI summary

Dan R. Brouillette filed a Form 3 at ERock, Inc. (EROC) on June 9, 2026, as a director, disclosing beneficial ownership of 580,107 shares of Class A common stock via Class M Units of Enchanted Rock Holdings, LLC at an exercise price of $0.15 per share. Filed via power of attorney in connection with EROC's June 9, 2026 IPO. This is an administrative initial ownership statement; the Class M Unit structure is typical of the UP-C IPO format used by EROC.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 93
AI summary

Lindsay Luger filed a Form 3 at ERock, Inc. (EROC) on June 9, 2026, as a director, disclosing no securities beneficially owned at the time of filing. Filed via power of attorney (Daniel Reichert, attorney-in-fact). This is one of multiple Form 3 filings submitted by EROC insiders at the time of the Company's June 2026 IPO. No market impact; this is a routine SEC compliance filing.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 93
AI summary

Sameer Reddy filed a Form 3 at ERock, Inc. (EROC) on June 9, 2026, as a director, disclosing no securities beneficially owned at the time of filing. Filed via power of attorney (Daniel Reichert, attorney-in-fact). This is one of multiple Form 3 filings submitted by EROC insiders in connection with the Company's June 2026 IPO. No market impact; this is a routine SEC compliance filing.

+ 19 other (8 3s · 3 S-1/As · 2 DRS/As · 1 S-8) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

ERock: Contracted Demand Can Turn Capacity Into Earningsseekingalpha.com·13d agoERock Schedules Second Quarter 2026 Results and Conference Callbusinesswire.com·13d agoHere Are Monday’s Best Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Agnico Eagle Mines, Datadog, Delta Air Lines, Gilead Sciences, Okta, Pfizer, Regions Financial, T-Mobile, and More247wallst.com·23d agoERock: Back-Up Player Does Not Deserve My Backingseekingalpha.com·46d agoERock IPO: A $1.3B Power Play Solutionmarketbeat.com·46d ago

In themes

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $EROC on X in the last 7 days.

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