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COCOMP

Compass, Inc.

Hot onWhy it's trendingX chatter spiked vs its recent normBacked by solid revenue growthPrice and volume picking up
$COMP·$7.7B·Software - Application·Technology
$11.85-2.7%YTD+14.7%1Y+85.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 83 posts2026-07-11: 28 posts2026-07-12: 51 posts2026-07-13: 108 posts2026-07-14: 160 posts2026-07-15: 263 posts2026-07-16: 266 posts967+42%
Price updated 13m ago·X counts updated 20h ago
COCOMP
$COMPCompass, Inc.
$11.85-2.71%967 posts+42%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $COMP, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

The tech-first real-estate brokerage is finally growing into its multiple with Q2 in two weeks.

Compass is the largest tech-enabled residential real-estate brokerage — the platform that agents use to run their business plus a growing set of adjacent services (title, escrow, mortgage). The business was a favorite short in 2022-23 on cash-burn concerns; the last four quarters have started to force a re-rate.

What's changed under the hood:

  • Growth has genuinely re-accelerated: Q1 revenue up 99% YoY to $2.70B, and the four-quarter growth stack is 21-99% — the mortgage-rate stabilization has translated into transaction volume, which is what Compass monetizes.
  • Cash and margins are still thin: operating margin -6% in Q1 (slight regression from Q4's -1.6%), FCFy 0.2% — the operating leverage the bull case demands hasn't yet arrived even as revenue accelerates.
  • The multiple is stretched but is the story: 655x trailing earnings (a distorted ratio given the loss quarters), with FY27 consensus EPS of $0.13 putting forward P/E in the mid-90s — this is priced entirely on the future scale-margin combination.
  • Position is strong on the tape: 77% of the 52-week range and 29% above the 200-day moving average, with YTD +15% and t12m +85% — the trend is confirmed.
  • The luxury-real-estate demand data supports the setup: Coldwell Banker reported global luxury interest in US markets doubled in 2026, which reads through directly to Compass's high-end producer network.

The forward view: the July 29 Q2 print is the referee. A beat with continued revenue acceleration plus commentary that operating leverage is finally landing (a Q2 operating margin above breakeven would be the tell) restarts the story. What keeps it accelerating: any specific announcement about the Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices or Anywhere Real Estate footprint that Compass has been consolidating. What breaks it lower: a mortgage-rate re-acceleration that softens transaction volume, or another quarter of top-line growth without margin follow-through.

Agrees with X sentimentThe X read that treats Compass as a real-estate strength play (46% since June 5) is directionally right on the mechanics — the crypto-side DeFi Compound protocol commentary is a separate cashtag collision. Our take agrees the trend is genuine and the margin question is the near-term referee.

What to watch: July 29 Q2 earnings, especially the operating margin trajectory; a mortgage-rate re-acceleration or another quarter of top-line-only growth would end the accelerating leg.

On the calendar: 2026-07-29 — Q2 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment⚠5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-02 · top-engagement diverged

Ticker COMP mixes DeFi Compound protocol commentary (whale selling $1.3M on Kraken) with Compass Realty stock (up 46% since June 5 on real estate strength) and Nasdaq Composite technicals. The equity references skew constructive but crypto flow leans negative. Neutral-to-mixed by aggregate.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $COMP

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Real estate brokerage providing agents with a cloud-based platform for CRM, marketing, and transaction management across U.S. markets.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Application sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $COMP.

Software - Application · Technology

No material change from last week — platforms where agents expand contract value (ServiceNow, Snowflake) are re-rated upward, while tools where agents substitute human users (Adobe Creative..

What this means for $COMP

Partial — Real estate brokerage providing agents with a cloud-based platform for CRM, marketing, and transaction management across U.S; the AI agent bifurcation — contract expansion vs. user substitution is a secondary rather than primary near-term earnings catalyst.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-12.0%YTD
-14.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
655.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
0.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-1.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
1.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
19.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$0.03$-0.17+117.6%
Q4 2025Feb 26, 2026$-0.07$-0.06-16.7%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$-0.01$-0.02+50.0%
Q2 2025Jul 30, 2025$0.07$0.070.0%
Next earningsWed, Jul 29·consensus EPS $0.09

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$2.7B+99.4%25.7%-6.0%$0.03$-168.0M
Q4 FY25$1.7B+23.1%10.4%-1.6%$-0.07$42.2M
Q3 FY25$1.8B+23.6%18.6%-0.4%$-0.01$73.6M
Q2 FY25$2.1B+21.1%18.2%1.9%$0.07$68.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$13.9B$13.7B – $14.1B$0.13-$0.30 – $0.457
FY27$15.2B$14.7B – $16.0B$0.31-$0.08 – $0.717
FY28$16.2B$16.2B – $16.2B$0.63$0.41 – $0.935
FY29$17.4B$17.0B – $18.0B$0.74$0.72 – $0.782
FY30$18.5B$18.1B – $19.2B$0.98$0.95 – $1.032

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.77%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+27.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+28.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 586.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.355-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 3Robert L. ReffkinCEO23.5K sh$180K
+ 27 other (12 exempts · 10 awards · 4 inkinds · 1 gift) in window

See when $COMP insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteMay 158-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Compass Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting on May 14, 2026, electing three Class II directors to the Board. Allan Leinwand received 734,027,441 votes in favor and 22,659,225 against; Pamela Thomas-Graham received 731,823,945 for and 24,867,819 against. Charles Phillips received 633,891,873 for and 100,802,861 against (~14% opposition), indicating notable shareholder discontent with his re-election. PricewaterhouseCoopers was ratified as auditor and say-on-pay was approved at the meeting; full vote tallies for all proposals are included in the filing.

8-KMaterial agreementApr 178-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 53
8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 268-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KOfficer or director changeFeb 238-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 14 other (4 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Velvære Park City Selects Christie's International Real Estate as Exclusive Sales and Marketing Brokerageglobenewswire.com·1d agoColdwell Banker: Global Interest in U.S. Luxury Housing Market Doubles in 2026 as Wealthy Buyers Bet on American Homesprnewswire.com·3d agoChristie's International Real Estate Owners Summit Brings Luxury Real Estate Leaders From 40+ Countries To Portugalgurufocus.com·10d agoChristie's International Real Estate Owners Summit Brings Luxury Real Estate Leaders From 40+ Countries To Portugalprnewswire.com·10d agoCompass Inc (COMP) Stock Up 3.8% but GF Value Says Overvalued -- GF Score: 67/100gurufocus.com·22d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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