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CMCMCL

Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc

$CMCL·$460M·Gold·Basic Materials
$23.15-0.6%YTD-12.9%1Y-36.2%
Price updated 1m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
CMCMCL
$CMCLCaledonia Mining Corporation Plc
$23.15-0.64%8 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $CMCL on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

8X posts · last 7 days
Sep 11Sep 27

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $CMCL — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-09-29

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Caledonia Mining: -13% YTD, -36% TTM but Q2 EPS $1.36 crushed 152% — 46% operating margin gold miner at 7.2x TTM PE.

Caledonia Mining Corporation is the Zimbabwe-focused gold miner at $23.30 with $460M market cap. -13% YTD, -36% TTM. Q2 EPS $1.36 crushed $0.54 est (+152%). Q1 revenue $66.4M grew 18% YoY. PE 7.2x TTM with 46% operating margin, 52% gross margin, 11% FCF yield — deep-value gold-cycle setup.

The tension in one line:

  • Beat cadence explosive: Q2 EPS +152%, Q1 +19.4%, Q4 2025 -5%, Q3 -1.3% — Q2 crush breaks the previous mixed pattern; 2027 EPS $3.08 implies 7.6x forward.
  • Gold-cycle economics real: 46% operating margin plus 52% gross margin on Q1 revenue $66M — the cycle-cash generation is delivering; 11% FCF yield supports capital return.
  • Institutional flow: multiple 'Notification of Relevant Change to Significant Shareholder' filings signal ownership repositioning; Squarepoint Ops sold — mixed signal.

The bull path is Nov 9 Q3 print ($0.39 EPS est) confirming continued Q2-style beat cadence plus specific gold-production/cost commentary. The bear path is a gold-price correction. PE 7.2x TTM with 11% FCF yield is deep value in the gold-cycle setup.

What to watch: Nov 9 Q3 print ($0.39 EPS est) — gold-production volume, cash cost per ounce, and any specific Zimbabwe operational commentary. Gold spot direction affecting the whole miner cohort. Significant-shareholder changes continuing.

On the calendar: 2026-11-09 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $CMCL

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Gold producer holding a 64% stake in the Blanket Mine in Zimbabwe, with additional exploration assets in southern Africa.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Gold sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CMCL.

Gold · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — gold prices remain elevated on central bank accumulation and dollar diversification, with miners carrying operating leverage to metal price.

What this means for $CMCL

Neutral — Gold producer holding a 64% stake in the Blanket Mine in Zimbabwe, with additional exploration assets in southern Africa.

Top industry ETF

$GDXVanEck Gold Miners ETF
+0.9%YTD
+16.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
7.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
15.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
45.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
11.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
24.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
51.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 10, 2026$1.36$0.54+151.9%
Q1 2026May 11, 2026$0.80$0.67+19.4%
Q4 2025Mar 23, 2026$0.56$0.59-5.1%
Q3 2025Nov 10, 2025$0.77$0.78-1.3%
Next earningsMon, Nov 9·consensus EPS $0.39

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$66.4M+18.3%48.3%40.4%$0.80$13.1M
Q4 FY25$71.0M+49.4%55.7%46.7%$0.52$13.8M
Q3 FY25$71.4M+52.4%51.6%41.3%$0.78$5.9M
Q2 FY25$65.3M+30.3%51.8%54.2%$1.06$15.7M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$319.0M$304.2M – $340.6M$3.14$2.72 – $3.663
FY27$333.6M$293.8M – $385.4M$3.08$3.03 – $3.134
FY28$394.7M$328.9M – $461.8M$3.53$3.05 – $4.114
FY29$573.3M$513.4M – $646.3M$8.52$7.36 – $9.932

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.35%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+5.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-1.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 14.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.715-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyAug 13July NdlovuDirector21.4K sh$493KBuyJun 11Victor GapareDirector11.8K sh$220KSellMay 18July NdlovuDirector20.0K sh$344KBuyMay 13July NdlovuDirector15.0K sh$372K

See when $CMCL insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 43 other (37 6-Ks · 2 6-K/As · 2 13Gs · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc: Notification of Relevant Change to Significant Shareholderaccessnewswire.com·2d agoCaledonia Mining Corporation PLC $CMCL Stock Sold by Squarepoint Ops LLCdefenseworld.net·5d agoCaledonia Mining Corporation Plc: Notification of Relevant Change to Significant Shareholderaccessnewswire.com·6d agoCaledonia Mining Corporation Plc: Notification of Relevant Change to Significant Shareholderaccessnewswire.com·7d agoCaledonia Mining Corporation PLC: Notification of Relevant Change to Significant Shareholderaccessnewswire.com·8d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $CMCL on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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