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CMCMCL

Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc

$CMCL·$440M·Gold·Basic Materials
$22.54-0.9%1Y-5.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-07: 1 posts2026-08-08: 0 posts2026-08-09: 1 posts2026-08-10: 13 posts2026-08-11: 2 posts2026-08-12: 0 posts2026-08-13: 0 posts17+13%
Price updated 6m ago·X counts updated 20h ago
CMCMCL
$CMCLCaledonia Mining Corporation Plc
$22.54-0.88%17 posts+13%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CMCL, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-14

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Caledonia Mining Q1 rev $66M / EPS $0.80 — Zimbabwe-focused gold producer running with real margins, priced with country-risk discount and FY28 EPS modeled at $4.35.

Caledonia's four-quarter revenue is $65M–$71M with EPS $0.52–$1.06 at ~48-56% gross margin — a mid-tier gold producer whose margins have benefited from the gold-price backdrop and whose per-quarter EPS variability reflects ounces mix at the Blanket mine.

  • Consensus FY26 revenue $315M / EPS $2.97, walking to $327M / $2.80 FY27 and $416M / $4.35 FY28 (3–4 revenue / 1 EPS analyst) — the FY28 revenue step-up implies the Bilboes project acceleration is being priced.
  • The 'risk remains' framing in Seeking Alpha coverage is a fair way to say country-risk (Zimbabwe) plus development capex plus commodity price all sit on one equity; debt/equity 0.43 is moderate for a producer at this stage.
  • -6% over 12 months, position 30% of 52-week range, +17% above 50-day and -8% below 200-day MA, beta 0.66, float 14.5M — small-float gold play, currently mid-recovery rather than extended.

Next print 2026-11-16 is where Blanket mine grade, Bilboes development capex, and ounces-produced guidance either validate the FY28 revenue ramp or push it further out.

What to watch: November 16 Q3 print — Blanket mine ounces produced, all-in sustaining cost, Bilboes development capex, updated FY26 guide, and any Zimbabwe fiscal/currency policy commentary.

On the calendar: 2026-11-16 — Q3 2026 earnings

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $CMCL

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Gold producer holding a 64% stake in the Blanket Mine in Zimbabwe, with additional exploration assets in southern Africa.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Gold sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CMCL.

Gold · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — central bank accumulation and US fiscal risk sustain the structural gold floor above $3,100/oz even as GDX lags spot by 10% YTD, flagging miner operating-cost inflation as the gap driver.

Top industry ETF

$GDXVanEck Gold Miners ETF
-10.6%YTD
+52.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
7.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
15.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
45.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
11.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
24.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
51.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 10, 2026$1.36$0.54+151.9%
Q1 2026May 11, 2026$0.80$0.67+19.4%
Q4 2025Mar 23, 2026$0.56$0.59-5.1%
Q3 2025Nov 10, 2025$0.77$0.78-1.3%
Next earningsMon, Nov 16·consensus EPS $0.29

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$66.4M+18.3%48.3%40.4%$0.80$13.1M
Q4 FY25$71.0M+49.4%55.7%46.7%$0.52$13.8M
Q3 FY25$71.4M+52.4%51.6%41.3%$0.78$5.9M
Q2 FY25$65.3M+30.3%51.8%54.2%$1.06$15.7M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$315.1M$312.0M – $320.0M$2.97$2.56 – $3.363
FY27$326.9M$273.5M – $373.1M$2.80$2.76 – $2.854
FY28$416.4M$346.6M – $486.3M$4.35$3.74 – $4.922
FY29$1.1B$977.6M – $1.2B$17.47$15.04 – $19.751

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.30%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+16.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-8.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 14.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.665-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJun 11Victor GapareDirector11.8K sh$220KSellMay 18July NdlovuDirector20.0K sh$344KBuyMay 13July NdlovuDirector15.0K sh$372K
+ 4 other (3 awards · 1 exempt) in window

See when $CMCL insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Caledonia Mining: Q2 Helps, But The Risk Remainsseekingalpha.com·2d agoCaledonia Mining Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·4d agoCaledonia Mining Corporation Plc (CMCL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·4d agoBarrick Mining shares slide on second quarter earnings missproactiveinvestors.com·5d agoCaledonia Mining Corporation PLC: Results for the Quarter and Half Year Ended June 30, 2026; Details of Management Conference Call; Dividend Declarationaccessnewswire.com·5d ago

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