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TickerTalks›$CEPU
CECEPU

Central Puerto S.A.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 225% YoY at strong marginsQuiet on X (27 mentions/wk)
$CEPU·$1.9B·Regulated Electric·Utilities
$12.97+1.3%YTD-26.1%1Y+31.9%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 4d ago
CECEPU
$CEPUCentral Puerto S.A.
$12.97+1.33%27 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $CEPU on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

27X posts · last 7 days
Sep 28Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $CEPU's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $CEPU — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

An Argentine electric utility priced like a volatile emerging-market small cap — up 46% in a year, down 33% YTD, nothing is settled.

Central Puerto is the kind of name that sits in two baskets at once — an EM utility with real cash flow and an FX trade on the Argentine peso — and the price action reflects which one dominates on any given quarter.

  • At $11.68 the ADR is at a trailing PE of 7.2x on $1.75B market cap, with 34% operating margins and 10% ROIC — unambiguously cheap for a utility if peso-translated earnings hold.
  • Earnings surprises are enormous and uncorrelated with underlying generation (Q2 2026 EPS $1.40 vs $0.0002 estimate), which is almost always inflation-adjustment accounting rather than operational outperformance — treat the GAAP numbers as directional, not precise.
  • Year-to-date the stock is down 33% while the trailing 12-month gain is still +46%, matching the pattern of Argentine equities after the Milei reform rally paused — the beta is to policy continuation.

At current prices this is an idiosyncratic trade: cheap on fundamentals, but each quarter the FX line can swing the headline number by orders of magnitude, so the November 11 print should be read on gross-margin stability and USD-equivalent revenue, not the EPS surprise column.

What to watch: November 11 Q3 earnings with emphasis on USD-equivalent revenue and gross-margin trajectory; peso policy signals from the Milei government; any new generation-capacity announcement or hydrocarbon-contract renegotiation.

On the calendar: Q3 earnings scheduled 2026-11-11

Read the AI verdict on $CEPU

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Argentina's largest private power generator operating gas-fired and hydroelectric plants serving public and industrial customers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Regulated Electric sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CEPU.

Regulated Electric · Utilities

AI data-center load growth is re-rating regulated electric utility earnings power — utilities with exposure to hyperscaler cluster siting (Dominion Virginia, AEP Texas, Duke Southeast) are securing direct long-term power purchase agreements at premium rates. Renewable capacity additions (solar, wind) compress fuel costs while stranded-cost recovery of coal retirements is the regulatory negotiation variable.

What this means for $CEPU

Partial — Argentina's largest private power generator operating gas-fired and hydroelectric plants serving public and industrial customers.

Industry benchmark

26-name peer basket
-2.7%YTD
-7.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
7.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
10.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
34.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
17.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
35.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 11, 2026$1.40$0.00+736742.1%
Q1 2026May 12, 2026$0.88$0.26+243.5%
Q4 2025Mar 5, 2026$0.11$0.33-66.4%
Q3 2025Nov 10, 2025$0.25$0.40-37.8%
Next earningsWed, Nov 11·consensus EPS $0.00

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$696.6B+224.7%29.0%25.6%$857.60$10.1B
Q1 FY26$343.6B+63.1%41.2%37.5%$1250.40$-32.0B
Q4 FY25$313.8B+45.9%30.3%-9.3%$159.60$-119.1B
Q3 FY25$319.6B+77.7%41.2%34.4%$930.30$-9.4M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.61T$1.46T – $1.79T$3053.83$2684.18 – $3488.393
FY27$1.61T$1.46T – $1.78T$3368.38$2960.67 – $3847.723
FY28$1.96T$1.81T – $2.16T$2926.72$2572.46 – $3343.204

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.44%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-2.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-12.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 89.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β-0.195-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 29 other (26 6-Ks · 2 13Gs · 1 20-F) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Central Puerto S.A.: 'Powering Up' The NAV/SOTPseekingalpha.com·10d agoCentral Puerto (NYSE:CEPU) and Encavis (OTCMKTS:ENCVF) Critical Surveydefenseworld.net·46d agoCentral Puerto S.A. (CEPU) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·64d agoCentral Puerto Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·65d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $CEPU on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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