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DUDUK

Duke Energy Corporation

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 11% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (51 mentions/wk)
$DUK·$97B·Regulated Electric·Utilities
$119.91-0.3%YTD+6.1%1Y-1.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 5 posts2026-08-23: 2 posts2026-08-24: 4 posts51+9%
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 7d ago
DUDUK
$DUKDuke Energy Corporation
$119.91-0.28%51 posts+9%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $DUK, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-26

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Duke Energy is coiled at 37% of range as utilities got hit — 3.5% dividend yield anchors the setup while the AI-power narrative works.

Duke Energy Corporation is the Southeast-US regulated utility with Carolina- and Florida-based operations. The tape is coiled after a sector-wide utility sell-off, with fundamentals stable and the AI-power narrative supporting the long-term thesis.

  • The fundamentals are utility-stable: PE 19x trailing on 58% gross margin, 27% operating margin, and 6.8% FCF yield — the last two prints delivered EPS beats of 10% and 3%, and FY27 sell-side EPS at $7.20+ implies compression at ~17x forward, reasonable for a regulated utility with growth optionality.
  • The AI-power narrative is intact: DUK sits at 3.79% weight in a Uranium & Nuclear ETF, gets a maintained BUY at $135 target in a rating recap — that's specific policy and category positioning that supports the multiple against the near-term sell-off; NOAA's hottest-month-on-record confirmation provides ancillary support for utility demand.
  • The tape is coiled below the moving averages: at 37% of the 52-week range, 3% below the 50-day and 2% below the 200-day on 0.50x normal volume with beta 0.37 — that's a defensive-beta utility consolidating below trend on light volume, and small-caliber institutional adds (3.5% dividend yield) are the underlying support.

The path if this works is the Nov 5 Q3 print delivering another clean beat plus concrete data-center-load commentary, taking the tape past $130. What breaks it is a rate-cycle reversal that compresses utility multiples or a specific Carolina/Florida regulatory action — the setup is durable given the dividend but requires the AI-power thesis to keep working.

What to watch: Nov 5 Q3 print (sell-side EPS $1.89) — a clean beat plus concrete data-center-load commentary breaks the coil past $130; a rate-cycle reversal or a specific Carolina/Florida regulatory action breaks the tape back to $105.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Duke Energy sentiment is mixed. One holder calls DUK their best performer of the day at +1.77% and another adds shares, with a bull citing cheap US industrial power (~7p/kWh vs 24p in the UK) as a structural tailwind for AI and data-center demand. But a technician warns Duke and other utilities are 'getting dangerously close to breaking multi year uptrends,' with rates pressuring the XLU sector ETF.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $DUK

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  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Large regulated electric utility serving the Carolinas, Florida, and Midwest with nuclear, gas, and growing solar generation.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Regulated Electric sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $DUK.

Regulated Electric · Utilities

Rate base growth — driven by grid modernization and data center load additions — is the earnings engine for regulated utilities. Regulatory lag (rate cases vs actual capex) is the near-term cash flow timing risk.

What this means for $DUK

Partial — fee-based midstream revenue has limited direct commodity price exposure but volume ties to upstream production activity.

Industry benchmark

23-name peer basket
+5.7%YTD
-1.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
18.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
27.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
6.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
9.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
58.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 4, 2026$1.43$1.30+10.0%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$1.93$1.87+3.2%
Q4 2025Feb 10, 2026$1.50$1.49+0.7%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$1.81$1.76+2.8%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $1.89

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$9.2B+11.3%67.9%29.7%$1.97$-2.6B
Q4 FY25$7.9B+7.9%30.5%26.5%$1.50$-463.0M
Q3 FY25$8.7B+6.3%98.7%26.9%$1.81$10.1B
Q2 FY25$7.5B+4.7%29.8%24.2%$1.25$-417.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$33.6B$32.8B – $34.1B$6.70$6.66 – $6.7413
FY27$35.1B$33.8B – $35.8B$7.17$7.12 – $7.2213
FY28$36.5B$33.8B – $38.2B$7.67$7.63 – $7.7315
FY29$37.7B$35.7B – $38.9B$8.18$7.63 – $8.5311
FY30$39.2B$37.2B – $40.5B$8.70$8.12 – $9.087

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.31%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-4.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-3.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 777.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.375-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 11Louis E. RenjelCEO3.5K sh$438KSellMay 8Harry K. SiderisCEO20.0K sh$2.5M
+ 22 other (15 awards · 4 inkinds · 2 discretionarys · 1 gift) in window

See when $DUK insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Aug 12424B5
AI summary

Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement for an offering of 35 million Equity Units at $50.00 each, raising gross proceeds of $1.75 billion (net proceeds to Duke of approximately $1.719 billion before expenses). Each Equity Unit consists of a purchase contract and undivided ownership interests in two series of Remarketable Senior Notes — one due 2032 and one due 2036 — each initially bearing a 4.85% annual interest rate payable quarterly. The underwriters were granted an over-allotment option to purchase up to 5 million additional units. Duke expects the Corporate Units to be listed on NYSE under the symbol 'DUKU.' This large capital raise reflects Duke Energy's substantial capital expenditure program tied to grid modernization and renewable energy investments, and investors should note that the 'remarketing' feature means the interest rate on the embedded notes could reset at a future date, introducing some yield uncertainty.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Aug 10424B5
AI summary

Duke Energy (DUK) filed a preliminary 424B5 for an offering of 35 million Equity Units (Corporate Units) at $50 each, representing a base raise of approximately $1.75 billion before the overallotment option of up to 5 million additional units. Each Corporate Unit consists of a purchase contract plus fractional interests in two series of Remarketable Senior Notes due 2032 and 2036, with interest rates to be determined at pricing. Units are expected to list on the NYSE under symbol DUKU. Duke common stock last traded at $124.85 on August 7, 2026. This complex mandatory-convertible-like structure is a common utility capital-raising tool that helps fund Dukes large multi-year capital investment program in grid modernization and clean energy transition.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 58-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

DUK filed an 8-K (Item 7.01) for a Regulation FD disclosure. A presentation or investor communication is being furnished as an exhibit. Reg FD disclosures are furnished rather than filed and are not typically market-moving on their own, but may contain forward-looking statements or strategy updates.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 178-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Duke Energy Carolinas filed a settlement agreement with the North Carolina Utilities Commission in a pending rate case, with key terms including a 9.8% allowed return on equity and a 53% equity layer in the capital structure. If approved by the NCUC, the settlement will set electricity rates for Duke's North Carolina regulated customers and provides regulatory clarity for the utility's ongoing capital investment recovery program.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 68-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Duke Energy Carolinas (DEC) reached a partial settlement with the North Carolina Public Staff on July 2, 2026, in connection with DEC's pending rate case and Performance-Based Regulation application filed November 2025 with the NC Utilities Commission. The settlement resolves certain operating costs, project capital expenditures, rider mechanisms, and accounting adjustments, but leaves open the contested issues of return on equity, capital structure, major Multi-Year Rate Plan capital investments, depreciation, and decommissioning costs. The partial settlement is a constructive step in the rate case but the most financially significant items (ROE and capex allowance) remain unresolved.

8-KShareholder voteMay 138-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

DUK held its Annual Meeting of stockholders around 2026-05-13 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 1 director to the board. A non-binding say-on-pay vote on executive compensation was conducted. Independent auditor ratification was approved. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

8-KAcquisition completedApr 18-K — Item 2.01: Acquisition completed · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

DUK filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-04-01. Covers: presenting a 1/1,000 th interest in a share of 5. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

8-KMaterial agreementMar 168-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
+ 21 other (3 routine 8-Ks · 3 proxys · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

How an 80-Year-Old Collects $7,100 a Month Without Selling a Single Share247wallst.com·8h agoForget XLU: These 3 Utility Dividend Stocks Offer More Exposure to AI247wallst.com·12h agoDuke Energy Foundation invests $180,000 in workforce training to support growth across South Carolinaprnewswire.com·14h agoDuke Energy: Newly Issued Equity Units Are An Interesting Optionseekingalpha.com·3d agoBofA names 3 dividend stocks for stability amidst choppy marketsinvezz.com·4d ago

In themes

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Nuclear RenaissanceThe Power Grid

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