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TickerTalks›$CEG
CECEG

Constellation Energy Corporation

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 64% YoY at strong marginsRecent insider buyingConsistent chatter on X (231/wk), no spike
$CEG·$97B·Independent Power Producers·Utilities
$274.77-0.7%YTD-25.3%1Y-13.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 21 posts2026-08-22: 16 posts2026-08-23: 25 posts231-6%
Price updated 1h ago·X counts updated 8d ago
CECEG
$CEGConstellation Energy Corporation
$274.77-0.72%231 posts-6%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CEG, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

The pure-play AI-power name down 25% YTD with a new director buying $418K on the open market and Jensen calling nuclear 'a fantastic path forward'.

Constellation Energy is the largest nuclear operator in the US — 22 GW of nuclear inside a 55 GW total fleet — and the mechanical leader for the AI-power thesis. It was the AI trade of 2024, was punished into 2025, and is now quietly re-underwriting.

How the setup reads:

  • The re-rating is well underway: shares down 25% YTD and 13% over 12 months, at the 26th percentile of the 52-week range and just below the 200-day — the compression the AI-power group needed to be interesting again.
  • The business is still growing: Q1 revenue grew 64% year-on-year to $11.1B, operating margin at 21%, ROE 20% — not a company where operations broke, one where the multiple got ahead of the story and reset.
  • Insider signal is fresh: director Roger Crandall made a $418K open-market purchase — small vs a $97B cap, but a new director buying cash is the cleanest tell into a de-rated tape.
  • Macro backdrop is aligning: Jensen calling nuclear 'a fantastic path forward,' Elon flagging a power-before-compute shortage, and management raising guidance — three signals stacked.
  • Valuation is reasonable: 27x earnings, 18x EV/EBITDA and 3.5x sales for a business with 22 GW of built nuclear capacity — defensible if any specific hyperscaler PPA lands.

The November 9 print breaks the coil — a new hyperscaler PPA plus reiterated guidance rerates the story back toward the summer highs; a soft quarter with no new deal keeps CEG stuck near current levels.

Agrees with X sentimentAgree — the bull anchors (Jensen 'fantastic path forward', Elon power-shortage warning, 55 GW / 22 GW nuclear, S&P Utilities 'A' rating, wave-3 target framing) all map to real signals; the risk they aren't pricing is the 25% YTD drawdown is real distribution, not just noise.

What to watch: November 9 earnings — a specific new hyperscaler PPA + reiterated guidance rerates the story toward the summer highs; a soft quarter with no new deal signed keeps CEG stuck at current levels and forces bulls to defend.

On the calendar: 2026-11-09 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment48 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

The tape frames Constellation as the cleanest AI-power play, with posters highlighting 55GW of generation capacity, roughly 22GW of nuclear, and existing Meta and Microsoft supply relationships that let it command premium rates without heavy capex. Bulls cite Jensen Huang's endorsement of nuclear as a fantastic path forward and data-center power demand rising from 6% of US electricity toward 20% by 2035. Traders are stalking a base breakout with wave-3 targets suggesting significant upside.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $CEG

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates the largest US nuclear fleet providing reliable carbon-free baseload electricity to utilities and data centers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Independent Power Producers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CEG.

Independent Power Producers · Utilities

AI data center power demand — hyperscalers signing long-term renewable PPAs — is the new structural demand driver layering on top of grid decarbonization mandates. Permitting timelines and grid interconnection queues remain the constraint on supply-side scaling.

What this means for $CEG

Partial — cloud infrastructure exposure benefits indirectly from hyperscaler capex; core business is Constellation Energy Corporation operates as a U.

Industry benchmark

6-name peer basket
-27.1%YTD
-34.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
26.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
16.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
20.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
77.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$2.55$2.29+11.4%
Q1 2026May 11, 2026$2.74$2.56+7.0%
Q4 2025Feb 24, 2026$2.30$2.28+0.9%
Q3 2025Nov 7, 2025$3.04$3.11-2.3%
Next earningsMon, Nov 9·consensus EPS $3.72

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$11.1B+63.8%42.9%20.8%$4.49$-850.0M
Q4 FY25$5.5B+1.4%288%2.7%$1.38$-181.0M
Q3 FY25$7.2B+9.7%23.7%21.4%$2.97$1.5B
Q2 FY25$6.1B+11.4%18.0%15.6%$2.67$710.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 13 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$32.8B$24.6B – $39.4B$11.73$11.30 – $11.9710
FY27$34.3B$21.4B – $43.4B$13.34$11.87 – $14.3110
FY28$36.2B$23.8B – $42.6B$17.07$14.54 – $23.1313
FY29$39.9B$27.4B – $48.8B$19.99$11.81 – $25.7512
FY30$40.9B$28.1B – $50.0B$21.33$12.60 – $27.476

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.26%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+4.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-7.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 337.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.125-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyAug 11Roger W CrandallDirector1.5K sh$418K
+ 13 other (13 awards) in window

See when $CEG insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 63
AI summary

Roger W. Crandall filed an initial Form 3 as a newly appointed Director of Constellation Energy Corp, with the triggering event dated August 4, 2026. He directly owns 193 shares of Constellation Energy common stock; no derivative securities are reported. The form was signed August 6, 2026 by attorney-in-fact Brian Buck. This is a routine insider registration filing for the nuclear power and clean energy company — a new director with a nominal share position, no material impact.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 68-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Constellation Energy Corporation filed an 8-K reporting Q2 2026 financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. A press release with attachments (Exhibit 99.1) and earnings conference call slides (Exhibit 99.2) were issued August 6, 2026; no headline financial figures appear in the excerpt. Constellation Energy is the largest nuclear power generator in the United States, with growing data center power purchase agreements. This is a routine quarterly earnings disclosure — results are closely watched given surging clean power demand from AI hyperscalers.

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 58-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

CEG announced a leadership Departure involving Certain Officers, who serves as Director. compensation for directors disclosed in the Company’s proxy statement, Mr. Item 5.02 mandates timely disclosure of executive and director transitions, which can significantly affect CEG's strategic direction and investor confidence.

424B4Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 2424B4
AI summary

Constellation Energy (CEG) 424B4: 11M shares sold by selling shareholders at market; company not receiving proceeds; company simultaneously repurchasing 2M shares from the underwriters at the offering price. Secondary offering plus concurrent buyback — broadly neutral to the issuer; 9M net new shares enter the float.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 118-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

CEG reported first quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the pre financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

8-KShareholder voteMay 18-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

CEG held its Annual Meeting of stockholders around 2026-05-01 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 10 directors to the board. A non-binding say-on-pay vote on executive compensation was conducted. Independent auditor ratification was approved. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 318-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

CEG filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-03-31. Covers: presentatives are invited to participate on a listen-only basis. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 268-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

CEG disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-03-26). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

+ 16 other (4 13Gs · 4 routine 8-Ks · 3 proxys · 2 10-Qs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Elon Musk’s 15-Gigawatt Warning Points to a Very Different Set of AI Winners in 2027247wallst.com·1d agoConstellation's New Power Deals Are Piling Up. Here's Why the Stock Isn't Reflecting It Yet.fool.com·5d agoCEG Stock Outperforms Industry in the Past Month: Buy, Hold or Sellzacks.com·5d agoThis Utility's Dividend Growth Is Boring by Design. That's Exactly Why I Own It.fool.com·6d agoConstellation Energy Just Raised Guidance. Here's What's Driving It.fool.com·6d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Nuclear RenaissanceThe Power Grid

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

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