TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$CDNA
CDCDNA

CareDx, Inc

Hot onWhy it's trendingX mentions rising faster than the marketMoving on elevated volumeBacked by solid revenue growth
$CDNA·$2.1B·Medical - Diagnostics & Research·Healthcare
$39.62-1.8%YTD+114.1%1Y+110.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 0 posts2026-07-11: 0 posts2026-07-12: 1 posts2026-07-13: 0 posts2026-07-14: 0 posts2026-07-15: 1 posts2026-07-16: 80 posts82
Price updated 13m ago·X counts updated 20h ago
CDCDNA
$CDNACareDx, Inc
$39.62-1.78%82 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CDNA, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

CareDx up 35.6% today on 4.8x volume — the specific transplant-diagnostics story is being re-rated.

CareDx is the specific transplant-diagnostics company whose AlloSure and AlloMap tests are the standard-of-care for kidney and heart transplant surveillance. The stock is up 35.6% today on 4.8x volume — a specific catalyst-driven move.

Where the picture reads:

  • The tape moved decisively today: +35.6% one-day move at 100% of the 52-week range with volume 4.8x average — meaning a specific fundamental catalyst has moved the tape.
  • Fundamentals reflect a specific transition: 69% gross margin at essentially breakeven operating margin — meaning CareDx is just crossing back toward GAAP profitability with a specific commercial-recovery narrative arriving.
  • The tape is aggressively extended: sitting 64% above the 50-day and 105% above the 200-day at 99% of the 52-week range — the specific pattern of a stock in a defined breakout on a real catalyst.
  • The specific catalyst hasn't been identified in the corpus — meaning the equity has moved sharply without a corresponding social-flow catalyst, suggesting a specific fundamental or M&A event.

Aug 5 earnings is the trigger. A number confirming continued test-volume growth plus specific commentary on payer-reimbursement extends the leg; a soft revenue print with muted reimbursement commentary is the specific setup that would compress the acceleration.

What to watch: The Aug 5 print — test-volume trajectory, payer-reimbursement commentary, and any specific M&A or partnership disclosure. Above-consensus revenue plus reimbursement stability extends the leg; a soft print activates the compression risk.

On the calendar: 2026-08-05 — Q2 earnings

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $CDNA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

CareDx, Inc. is a global innovator specializing in the discovery, development, and commercialization of diagnostic and management tools designed for transplant recipients and their healthcare providers. The company's extensive portfolio features a range of specialized diagnostic solutions for organ monitoring, including: AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Heart, and AlloSure Lung: Advanced tests employing donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) technology to assess the health of kidney, heart, and lung transplants, respectively. AlloMap Heart: A gene expression-based solution specifically for heart transplant patients. AlloSeq cfDNA: A broader surveillance tool to measure dd-cfDNA levels in the blood. CareDx also provides cutting-edge human leukocyte antigen (HLA) typing technologies, such as TruSight HLA, an NGS-based high-resolution typing solution; Olerup SSP, which uses sequence-specific primer technology for HLA allele typing; QTYPE for precise HLA typing; and AlloSeq Tx, another high-resolution HLA typing offering. For stem cell transplant recipients, the company offers AlloSeq HCT for chimerism testing. Beyond diagnostics, CareDx develops vital software and digital platforms to streamline transplant patient management. These include Ottr, a dedicated transplant patient management software; XynQAPI, focused on transplant quality tracking and waitlist management; and AlloCare, a mobile application serving as a patient-centric resource for those who have undergone transplantation. The company distributes its products directly to clients, as well as through a network of third-party distributors and sub-distributors. CareDx has forged significant partnerships, including a licensing agreement with Illumina, Inc. for the distribution, development, and commercialization of next-generation sequencing (NGS) products and technologies. Additionally, it collaborates with Cibiltech SAS to commercialize iBox, a software designed for the predictive analysis of kidney allograft loss post-transplantation. Founded in 1998, the company was initially known as XDx, Inc. before rebranding to CareDx, Inc. in March 2014. Its headquarters are located in South San Francisco, California.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Medical - Diagnostics & Research sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CDNA.

Medical - Diagnostics & Research · Healthcare

No material change from last week — pharma R&D spending is recovering and CDMO demand is growing as drug pipelines advance toward clinical trials.

Industry benchmark

13-name peer basket
+27.4%YTD
+55.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-255.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-3.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-3.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
5.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-2.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
68.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 28, 2026$0.34$0.11+209.1%
Q4 2025Feb 24, 2026$0.12$0.02+503.0%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$0.28$0.13+115.4%
Q2 2025Aug 6, 2025$0.10$0.12-16.7%
Next earningsWed, Aug 5·consensus EPS $0.22

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$117.7M+39.0%71.4%1.5%$0.05$514K
Q4 FY25$108.4M+25.2%66.6%-5.4%$-0.08$19.7M
Q3 FY25$100.1M+20.7%68.7%2.0%$0.03$36.1M
Q2 FY25$86.7M-6.1%66.9%-12.8%$-0.16$8.9M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$455.9M$455.5M – $456.3M$0.93$0.90 – $0.965
FY27$481.3M$481.0M – $481.5M$1.13$1.09 – $1.165
FY28$507.2M$493.0M – $516.0M$1.53$1.47 – $1.562

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.4.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.100%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+64.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+105.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 49.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today9.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.435-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 29Hanna John Walter JrCEO39.9K sh$1.2MSellJun 26Hanna John Walter JrCEO100 sh$3KSellJun 15Hanna John Walter JrCEO17.7K sh$425KSellJun 15Hannah ValantineDirector12.1K sh$280KSellJun 11Hanna John Walter JrCEO22.0K sh$528KSellJun 4Hanna John Walter JrCEO4.8K sh$116KSellMay 15Arthur A TorresDirector6.5K sh$129KSellMay 14Arthur A TorresDirector4.1K sh$86KSellMay 5Novack Jeffrey AdamSecretary and General Counsel2.7K sh$56KSellApr 16Hanna John Walter JrCEO10.3K sh$217K
+ 30 other (13 inkinds · 11 awards · 6 exempts) in window

See when $CDNA insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KAcquisition completedJul 78-K — Item 2.01: Acquisition completed · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

CareDx (CDNA) completed two back-to-back portfolio transactions: (1) sold CareDx AB (Swedish subsidiary, kitted lab products business) to Eurobio Scientific for $171.7M cash on June 30, 2026; (2) acquired Naveris Inc. via merger for $161.8M cash on July 1, 2026. The net cash effect is roughly neutral (~$10M outflow pre-adjustments), but the deal pair reshapes CareDx — divesting kitted diagnostics while acquiring Naveris's capabilities. Transformative back-to-back portfolio realignment executed within two days.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 158-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

At CareDx's (CDNA) June 11, 2026 Annual Meeting (93% quorum, ~48.1M shares), shareholders approved a 1,600,000 share increase (~3.1% dilution) to the 2024 Equity Incentive Plan, effective upon stockholder approval. The plan amendment was previously adopted by the board April 21, 2026. Routine annual meeting vote with modest dilutive impact from the equity plan expansion.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationApr 28S-3ASR
8-KMaterial agreementApr 288-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
8-K/AOfficer or director change (amended)Apr 238-K/A — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
8-KMaterial agreementApr 168-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-K/AOfficer or director change (amended)Feb 258-K/A — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 10 other (3 proxys · 3 13Gs · 1 10-Q · 1 ARS) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

CareDx to Report Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results on July 30, 2026businesswire.com·1d agoCareDx Announces Finalization of Solid Organ Transplant Molecular Testing Local Coverage Determinationbusinesswire.com·1d agoCareDx Completes Naveris Acquisition and Expands Oncology Reachzacks.com·10d agoCareDx: The Transplant Platform Is Becoming A Specialty Diagnostics Compounderseekingalpha.com·10d agoCareDx Completes Acquisition of Naveris, Extending Leadership into High-Growth Specialty Oncologybusinesswire.com·16d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI Precision Medicine

More in Medical - Diagnostics & Research

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$TMO$DHR$IQV$A$ILMN$NTRA$STIM$TWST
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $CDNA on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport