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CACAHPF

Evolution Mining Limited

$CAHPF·$23B·Gold·Basic Materials
$11.00-3.9%1Y+99.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 0 posts2026-08-22: 0 posts2026-08-23: 0 posts2026-08-24: 0 posts0
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 6d ago
CACAHPF
$CAHPFEvolution Mining Limited
$11.00-3.93%0 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CAHPF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-21

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Evolution Mining fiscal Q4 revenue up 47% with gold prices high and free cash flow at record levels — Australian gold major compounding into the cycle.

Evolution Mining is an Australian mid-cap gold and gold-copper producer with operations in New South Wales, Queensland, Western Australia, and Ontario (Red Lake). The setup is a gold-cycle beneficiary combining rising realized prices with steady production and disciplined M&A (the recent Arizona Gold & Silver investment).

  • Fiscal Q4 revenue was $2.76B AUD, up 47% year-on-year, with 42% operating margin and 45% gross margin — the specific combination that a mid-cap gold operator posts when both realized prices and grade-mix cooperate.
  • Closed a C$12M strategic investment in Arizona Gold & Silver on Aug 20 — a small dollar figure but the specific tell that Evolution is using the cycle cash generation to secure exploration optionality in tier-1 jurisdictions.
  • Trades at 20.6x trailing earnings, 5.5x sales, and 9.8x EV/EBITDA with a 17% return on invested capital and 26% return on equity — the multiples reflect the operational discipline plus cycle tailwind, and the 4.7% free-cash-flow yield supports further capital returns.
  • Sits at the 80th percentile of the 52-week range, on volume 356% above the 30-day average — the equity has caught significant flow, and the short-interest spike (Aug 15 defenseworld coverage) adds squeeze optionality to the fundamental story.

What extends the move is the next quarterly update confirming continued strong realized gold prices alongside a specific new deposit exploration success. What breaks it is a gold-price mean reversion below $2,200/oz, a specific mine-operational issue at Red Lake or Cowal, or an Australian resource-rent-tax headline; the cycle is intact, and Evolution is a well-run way to play it.

What to watch: Feb 17 2027 fiscal-H1 2027 results — consensus $0.2888 EPS. Watch realized gold price, all-in sustaining costs, production versus guidance, and any specific Red Lake exploration or grade-mix commentary.

On the calendar: 2027-02-17 — H1 fiscal 2027 results

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $CAHPF

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Evolution Mining is Australia's second-largest gold producer, operating six mines and growing reserves through acquisition.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Gold sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CAHPF.

Gold · Basic Materials

Gold ETF outflows reflect tactical profit-taking after a run to multi-year highs; the structural bid — central bank accumulation and dollar diversification — persists beneath the surface. Miners' operating leverage amplifies metal-price moves in both directions.

What this means for $CAHPF

Partial — upstream oil & gas exposure ties to commodity price cycle; Evolution Mining Limited, based in Sydney, Australia, specia.

Top industry ETF

$GDXVanEck Gold Miners ETF
-10.6%YTD
+62.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
20.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
16.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
42.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
5.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
25.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
44.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 18, 2026$0.25$0.27-8.7%
Q4 2025Feb 10, 2026$0.25$0.26-3.2%
Q2 2025Aug 12, 2025$0.18$0.18+1.8%
Q4 2024Feb 12, 2025$0.11$0.09+19.7%
Next earningsWed, Feb 17·consensus EPS $0.29

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$2.8B+47.2%45.0%42.4%$0.35$532.0M
Q2 FY26$2.8B+108.4%44.6%42.5%$0.37$899.0M
Q4 FY25$2.3B+111.9%39.7%37.1%$0.28$519.6M
Q2 FY25$2.0B+79.4%31.5%29.5%$0.18$270.6M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$5.9B$5.8B – $6.1B$0.91$0.78 – $1.042
FY28$6.6B$5.3B – $7.8B$1.07$0.91 – $1.2215
FY29$6.8B$6.0B – $7.5B$1.07$0.92 – $1.229
FY30$7.3B$6.5B – $8.0B$1.07$0.91 – $1.227
FY31$6.7B$6.0B – $7.5B$0.92$0.78 – $1.0413

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.77%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+24.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+21.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 2.0B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.605-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 1 other (1 F-6EF) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Arizona Gold & Silver closes C$12M strategic investment from Evolution Miningproactiveinvestors.com·11d agoEvolution Mining Limited (CAHPF) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·12d agoEvolution Mining Limited (OTCMKTS:CAHPF) Sees Large Increase in Short Interestdefenseworld.net·16d agoArizona Gold & Silver lands C$12 million investment from Evolution Miningproactiveinvestors.com·27d agoEvolution Mining Limited (CAHPF) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·47d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $CAHPF on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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