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BVBVNKF

Bavarian Nordic A/S

$BVNKF·$2.5B·Biotechnology·Healthcare
$32.570.0%1Y-12.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-26: 0 posts2026-08-27: 0 posts2026-08-28: 0 posts2026-08-29: 0 posts2026-08-30: 0 posts2026-08-31: 0 posts2026-09-01: 0 posts0
Price updated 2h ago·X counts updated 3h ago
BVBVNKF
$BVNKFBavarian Nordic A/S
$32.570.00%0 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $BVNKF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Danish biopharm with Q2 EPS +198% beat + infectious-disease vaccine expansion (mpox/TBE/chikungunya); FY27 modest fade is Street counter.

Bavarian Nordic A/S is a $2.51B Danish biopharm (cancer immunotherapies + infectious disease vaccines — MVA-BN Filo, JYNNEOS mpox vaccine, chikungunya, TBE) at $32.57 — sitting at 51% of 52w range and +15% vs 50d.

  • Q2 EPS $1.43 vs $0.48 (+197.8% beat!), Q1 $0.03 (no est), Q4 2025 -$0.20 vs -$0.23 (+9.7% beat — smaller loss) — Q2 was massive.
  • Q2 revenue $2.02B (+22.5% YoY), Q1 $1.06B (-21.3%) — Q2 revenue acceleration is real.
  • Cash economics: PE 10.6 (attractive), PS 2.52, ROIC 10.6%, ROE 11.9%, gross margin 50%, op-margin 30%, D/E 0.01 (essentially unlevered), EV/EBITDA 5.80 (very attractive), FCF yield 7.8%.
  • Analyst path FY26 EPS $10.58 → FY27 $10.22 (-3.4% modest decline) — Street models modest FY27 fade.
  • Recent: "Global warming widens spread of TBE, chikungunya, Bavarian Nordic boss says" — infectious-disease vaccine market expansion narrative.
  • Sentiment feed is empty.

Read as a Danish biopharm with Q2 EPS +198% beat + $2B revenue + infectious-disease vaccine expansion (mpox + TBE + chikungunya) + 10.6x PE + 7.8% FCF yield; the debated question is whether Q3 confirms the vaccine-cycle demand or whether the FY27 -3.4% Street fade materializes.

What to watch: Q3 vaccine sales cadence, global warming vaccine-demand narrative, and any partnership expansion on the Nov 13 print.

On the calendar: 2026-11-13 next earnings

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $BVNKF

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Bavarian Nordic makes the world's only licensed smallpox vaccine and oncology immunotherapy (prostate cancer), plus mpox and Ebola vaccines.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Biotechnology sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $BVNKF.

Biotechnology · Healthcare

GLP-1 oral formulation competition — emerging clinical data from pipeline challengers — is the central bifurcation: platform holders (LLY, NVO) defend on efficacy breadth while precision oncology names decouple entirely. FDA catalyst cadence over the next 60 days sets the near-term tone.

What this means for $BVNKF

Partial — fee-based midstream revenue has limited direct commodity price exposure but volume ties to upstream production activity.

Top industry ETF

$IBBiShares Biotechnology ETF
+12.1%YTD
+50.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
10.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
10.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
29.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
7.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
11.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
49.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 21, 2026$1.43$0.48+197.9%
Q1 2026May 13, 2026$0.03——
Q4 2025Mar 12, 2026$-0.20$-0.23+9.7%
Q3 2025Nov 14, 2025$2.15——
Next earningsFri, Nov 13·consensus EPS $0.82

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$2.0B+22.5%60.4%36.7%$9.61$328.4M
Q1 FY26$1.1B-21.3%44.9%-0.6%$0.22$-784.7M
Q4 FY25$1.4B-32.7%37.0%-1.3%$-3.82$444.9M
Q3 FY25$1.8B+31.7%49.8%64.3%$13.70$1.2B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.7B$5.6B – $5.9B$10.58$10.14 – $10.934
FY27$5.7B$5.4B – $5.8B$10.22$9.80 – $10.564
FY28$6.0B$5.8B – $6.2B$12.80$12.27 – $13.231
FY29$6.1B$5.9B – $6.3B$14.47$13.87 – $14.952
FY30$6.4B$6.2B – $6.5B$13.96$13.38 – $14.432

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.51%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+14.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+10.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 65.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.945-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Global warming widens spread of TBE, chikungunya, Bavarian Nordic boss saysreuters.com·13d ago

More in Biotechnology

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $BVNKF on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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