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BLBLDP

Ballard Power Systems Inc.

$BLDP·$790M·Electrical Equipment & Parts·Industrials
$2.31+2.7%YTD+6.6%1Y+24.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 2 posts2026-08-22: 0 posts2026-08-23: 0 posts2026-08-24: 4 posts220%
Price updated 2h ago·X counts updated 7d ago
BLBLDP
$BLDPBallard Power Systems Inc.
$2.31+2.67%22 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $BLDP, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Too early to tellSelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-22

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Hydrogen story running on order announcements while unit economics and cash burn haven't turned

Ballard Power keeps announcing fuel-cell orders but the P&L has yet to show the operating leverage that would justify treating this as a real business rather than a policy-and-orders bet.

  • Q1 revenue $19.4M with a -67% operating margin; the last four quarters compound to roughly $103M of revenue against sell-side FY26 revenue of $124M, so the second half needs a meaningful step-up
  • Analyst EPS estimates stay negative through 2029 (-$0.20 for FY29 in the current model) — nobody in the sell-side stack is forecasting profitability inside the visible horizon
  • At $2.40 the stock is at just 12% of its 52-week range, -24% below the 50-day MA and -22% below the 200-day MA; beta 1.9 makes it a leveraged bet on hydrogen policy sentiment
  • Q2 EPS missed by 75% on revenue $20.3M vs $25.2M estimate — the recent beat streak reversed hard, and 30-day volume is only 40% of normal (buyers have stepped away)
  • Analyst report on August 3 explicitly framed "progress hasn't mitigated uncertainties" — the polite way of saying orders don't equal cash flow

A credible bet only if you have a specific view on hydrogen policy tailwinds or a customer-order acceleration; today's numbers don't build the case on their own.

Differs from X sentimentThe most recent X window in our corpus was two months old and read bullishly on a 15MW off-grid stationary power order and a 50-SMA retest setup. Since then the tape has broken down (12% of the 52-week range, missed Q2 revenue by 20%) and the technical setup those posts described has failed — the fresh price action is doing the arguing.

What to watch: H2 2026 revenue trajectory to hit the $124M sell-side number — needs roughly $80M in Q3+Q4 combined, more than double the current run-rate. Cash-burn commentary and any hydrogen-policy hook (US tax-credit extensions, EU RED III certification wins) would be what restarts a durable move.

On the calendar: Q3 2026 earnings — November 12, 2026

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-19

Ballard Power received a 15 MW fuel cell order for off-grid stationary power with 150 FCmove-HD+ modules, the second order of this scale from the same customer. Authors flag the 50 SMA retest of prior breakout and tight candle as the structural setup.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $BLDP

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs and sells hydrogen proton exchange membrane fuel cells for heavy-duty buses, trucks, and stationary power.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Electrical Equipment & Parts sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $BLDP.

Electrical Equipment & Parts · Industrials

Grid modernization — driven by electrification, EV charging infrastructure, and AI data center power demand — is the central capex cycle pulling electrical equipment volumes. Backlog visibility is strong; execution risk is the near-term constraint, not demand.

What this means for $BLDP

Partial — upstream oil & gas exposure ties to commodity price cycle; Ballard Power Systems Inc.

Industry benchmark

36-name peer basket
+23.5%YTD
+61.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-18.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-14.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-85.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-3.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
14.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-13.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
11.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 31, 2026$-0.07$-0.04-75.0%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$-0.04$-0.06+33.3%
Q4 2025Mar 12, 2026$-0.06$-0.07+14.3%
Q3 2025Nov 13, 2025$-0.09$-0.11+18.2%
Next earningsThu, Nov 12·consensus EPS $-0.04

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$19.4M+26.2%14.2%-67.3%$-0.04$-8.4M
Q4 FY25$33.6M+37.2%16.7%-35.1%$-0.06$7.8M
Q3 FY25$32.5M+120.3%15.3%-92.1%$-0.09$-24.3M
Q2 FY25$17.8M+11.5%-8.4%-186%$-0.08$-22.7M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$124.1M$122.0M – $126.3M-$0.15-$0.18 – -$0.116
FY27$159.4M$145.3M – $173.5M-$0.13-$0.16 – -$0.106
FY28$156.0M$110.0M – $196.8M-$0.11-$0.20 – -$0.036
FY29$166.6M$131.9M – $197.2M-$0.20-$0.25 – -$0.155
FY30$256.9M$203.4M – $304.1M-$0.10-$0.12 – -$0.073

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.9%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-23.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-26.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 266.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.925-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMay 19SC 13D/A
AI summary

Weichai Power Hong Kong International Development Co., Limited, Weichai Power Co., Ltd., and Shandong Heavy Industry Group Co., Ltd. filed Amendment No. 3 to Schedule 13D for Ballard Power Systems Inc. (BLDP), reporting unchanged aggregate beneficial ownership of 31,102,826 Common Shares (shared voting and dispositive power), representing 10.32% of 301,475,849 shares outstanding as of Q1 2026. All three entities share the position jointly. This amendment appears to reflect an updated share count calculation rather than a change in position; Weichai maintains its strategic 10%+ block in the Canadian hydrogen fuel cell company without activist intent.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMay 15SC 13D/A
AI summary

Weichai Power Hong Kong International Development Co., Limited filed an amended Schedule 13D on BLDP disclosing beneficial ownership (34,999,826.00 shares) as of 2026-05-15. The filer's stated intent is passive investment with no plan to influence control of the company.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMay 13SC 13D/A
AI summary

Weichai Power Hong Kong International Development Co., Limited filed an amended Schedule 13D on BLDP disclosing beneficial ownership (39,252,826.00 shares) as of 2026-05-13. The filer's stated intent is passive investment with no plan to influence control of the company.

+ 21 other (18 6-Ks · 1 SD · 1 ARS · 1 40-F) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Ballard finalise l'acquisition de GeoPura et devient ainsi un fournisseur intégré de solutions énergétiques à l'hydrogèneprnewswire.com·2d agoBallard closes acquisition of GeoPura, becoming an integrated hydrogen energy solutions providerprnewswire.com·4d agoBallard Power Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:BLDP) Short Interest Updatedefenseworld.net·12d agoDimensional Fund Advisors LP Has $4.43 Million Position in Ballard Power Systems, Inc. $BLDPdefenseworld.net·19d agoBallard Power Systems: Progress Hasn't Mitigated Uncertaintiesseekingalpha.com·28d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $BLDP on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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