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BABAK

Braskem S.A.

$BAK·$1.0B·Chemicals·Basic Materials
$2.48+3.5%YTD-17.5%1Y-27.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 7 posts2026-07-10: 12 posts2026-07-11: 2 posts2026-07-12: 4 posts2026-07-13: 5 posts2026-07-14: 0 posts2026-07-15: 4 posts34-12%
Price updated 12m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
BABAK
$BAKBraskem S.A.
$2.49+3.54%34 posts-12%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $BAK, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Braskem is down 26% over twelve months as a Brazilian petrochemical operator in bond-restructuring negotiations.

Braskem SA is a Brazilian thermoplastic-resins producer serving global chemicals markets, $1.04B market cap, with Q2 2026 earnings due 2026-08-12.

  • Q1 revenue was BRL 15.5B (~$3.0B USD), down 20.4% year-over-year and 3.8% sequentially — the fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit revenue declines as thermoplastic-resin prices remain compressed.
  • Q1 EPS $0.69 topped $0.21 consensus by 234% (large loss-narrowing surprise) — pattern very wide (234%, 51%, 96%, 80%) reflecting one-time items.
  • Gross margin 2.0% trailing, operating margin -7.6%, FCF yield -132% — operating economics deeply broken.
  • Consensus models 2026 revenue BRL 78.9B declining to BRL 76.8B in 2027 and BRL 79.6B in 2028, EPS $2.25 easing to -$2.00 in 2027 and -$0.57 in 2028.
  • On June 18, three new insiders each filed Form 3 — new governance additions.
  • A July 6 Zacks piece framed 'Down 29.6% in 4 Weeks, Ripe for a Turnaround.'
  • On June 25, Braskem received six Texas Chemistry Council safety awards — brand credential.
  • The stock is down 26% over twelve months and 13% year-to-date, at 9% of the 52-week range and 29% below the 50-day.

The setup is a Brazilian petrochemical operator in bond-restructuring dynamics — August 12 tests whether Q2 execution starts a re-rating.

Agrees with X sentimentX posters describe Braskem chatter as thin and centered on bond dynamics — the '28 BAK bonds trading near a 55-62 NPV range implying an exit YTM of 11-13% under the IG4/PBR amendment framework, with holders wondering whether the Hormuz situation shifts negotiation power. A weekly SELIC 25bps cut is mentioned. That aligns with the compressed multiples and restructuring dynamics — the community is anchored on bond-workout economics rather than the operating equity thesis.

What to watch: August 12 Q2 earnings — revenue trajectory versus the -20% Q1 pace, gross-margin trajectory versus the 2% trailing base, operating-loss narrowing, and any commentary on bond-restructuring negotiations or IG4/PBR amendment progress. Thermoplastic-resin pricing dynamics and Brazilian macro backdrop are separate exogenous signals.

On the calendar: 2026-08-12 Q2 2026 earnings; bond-restructuring negotiations and margin trajectory drive the print.

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-09

Braskem chatter is thin and centered on bond dynamics. The '28 BAK bonds are trading near a 55–62 NPV range implying an exit YTM of 11–13% under the IG4/PBR amendment framework, with holders wondering whether the Hormuz situation shifts negotiation power. A weekly SELIC 25bps cut probability of 70% is described as constructive for Brazilian names including PBR and PAGS. One poster flags BAK bonds trading at a slight discount to a 5-year delay-without-coupon scenario. Overall the tone is a debt-restructuring-uncertainty read.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $BAK

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Brazil's largest petrochemical company producing polyethylene, polypropylene, and PVC resins from naphtha and ethanol feedstocks.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Chemicals sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $BAK.

Chemicals · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — US government nuclear reactor financing activates demand for enriched isotopes unavailable from conventional supply chains.

What this means for $BAK

Partial — Brazil's largest petrochemical company producing polyethylene, polypropylene, and PVC resins from naphtha and ethanol feedstocks; exposure exists but is diluted by diverse end markets and revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$XLBMaterials Select Sector SPDR
+11.8%YTD
+13.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-0.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-8.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-7.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-132%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
93.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
2.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-4.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 14, 2026$0.69$0.21+234.5%
Q4 2025Mar 27, 2026$-0.48$-0.98+51.0%
Q3 2025Nov 11, 2025$-0.02$-0.48+95.8%
Q2 2025Aug 7, 2025$-0.14$-0.70+80.0%
Next earningsWed, Aug 12·consensus EPS $1.27

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$15.5B-20.4%7.1%-1.4%$3.56$-4.8B
Q4 FY25$16.1B-15.9%-3.4%0.7%$-26.18$-1.5B
Q3 FY25$17.3B-18.7%2.5%-5.4%$-0.07$-2.0B
Q2 FY25$17.9B-6.4%2.0%-5.4%$-0.66$-933.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$78.9B$71.0B – $86.4B$2.25$1.41 – $3.094
FY27$76.8B$69.1B – $84.2B-$2.00-$7.26 – $3.264
FY28$79.6B$71.7B – $87.3B-$0.57-$0.64 – -$0.492
FY29$63.9B$57.5B – $70.0B-$2.64-$2.97 – -$2.303
FY30$68.7B$61.9B – $75.3B$0.52$0.45 – $0.583

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.5%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-32.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-28.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 202.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.725-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 163
AI summary

Alessandro de Castro Melo filed an initial Form 3 as Engineering, Technology & Innovation Officer of Braskem SA (BAK), effective July 10, 2026. No securities are beneficially owned at the time of filing. Routine officer appointment disclosure with no financial impact.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 183
AI summary

Marcelo Weick Pogliese filed an initial Form 3 as a new insider at Braskem SA (BAK) on June 8, 2026. This is a routine new-insider ownership disclosure with no open-market transactions reported.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 183
AI summary

Maria Leticia de Freitas Costa filed an initial Form 3 as a new insider at Braskem SA (BAK) on June 8, 2026. This is a routine new-insider ownership disclosure with no open-market transactions reported.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 183
AI summary

Isabella Saboya de Albuquerque filed an initial Form 3 as a new insider at Braskem SA (BAK) on June 8, 2026. This is a routine new-insider ownership disclosure with no open-market transactions reported.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 183
AI summary

Carlos A. M. P. de A. Brandao filed an initial Form 3 as a new insider at Braskem SA (BAK) on June 8, 2026. This is a routine new-insider ownership disclosure with no open-market transactions reported.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 163
AI summary

Braskem S.A. (BAK) filed a Form 3 reporting initial beneficial ownership for a newly designated director or officer. Body unavailable — excerpt contains only SEC cover-page header without the reporting person's identity or share count.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 163
AI summary

Braskem S.A. (BAK) filed a Form 3 reporting initial beneficial ownership for a newly designated director or officer. Body unavailable — excerpt contains only SEC cover-page header without the reporting person's identity or share count.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 163
AI summary

Braskem S.A. (BAK) filed a Form 3 reporting initial beneficial ownership for a newly designated director or officer. Body unavailable — excerpt contains only SEC cover-page header without the reporting person's identity or share count.

+ 145 other (100 6-Ks · 40 3s · 4 6-K/As · 1 20-F) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Down 29.6% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why Braskem (BAK) Looks Ripe for a Turnaroundzacks.com·11d agoBraskem's Commitment to Safety Recognized with Six Texas Chemistry Council (TCC) Awardsbusinesswire.com·22d agoBraskem (BAK) Loses 38.6% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why a Trend Reversal May be Around the Cornerzacks.com·28d agoBlooming Future Launches Operations as Part of Braskem's Expanding Sustainable Fleetbusinesswire.com·30d agoBlooming Future Launches Operations as Part of Braskem's Expanding Sustainable Fleetbusinesswire.com·30d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $BAK on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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