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BABAK

Braskem S.A.

$BAK·$913M·Chemicals·Basic Materials
$1.70+1.2%YTD-21.6%1Y-51.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 6 posts2026-08-22: 0 posts2026-08-23: 3 posts2026-08-24: 14 posts530%
Price updated 1m ago·X counts updated 7d ago
BABAK
$BAKBraskem S.A.
$1.70+1.19%53 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $BAK, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-25

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Brazilian petrochemical giant racing an out-of-court restructuring deadline of today — the Braskem-Idesa JV already filed Chapter 11.

Braskem is the Brazilian petrochemical company that produces polyethylene, polypropylene, and other resins across Brazil, the US, Europe, and Mexico. The stock is down 43% over the trailing year and 22% year-to-date, sitting at just 0.3% of its 52-week range at $1.84 — the equity is priced for a workout situation.

  • On August 12 Reuters reported Braskem is eyeing an out-of-court restructuring as early as this month; the JV Braskem-Idesa filed Chapter 11 to reduce debt by more than $920M with plans to emerge in 60-90 days
  • Braskem itself is committed to inject $476M with bondholders receiving 33.3% of the new entity in Braskem-Idesa — bondholder equity conversion is a real dilution mechanism if extended to the parent
  • Q1 2026 revenue was R$15.5B, down 20% year-over-year on 7% gross margin — the operating leverage is challenging at low utilization and thin margins
  • The Q2 2026 EPS beat was +245% but the print was on distressed comparisons — Q1 26 was +51% surprise on losses, Q4 25 was +96% — the surprise pattern reflects consensus being wildly wrong on distressed numbers, not operational strength
  • Debt-to-equity of -4.3 is a distressed accounting number — negative equity likely, which is the balance-sheet condition driving the restructuring
  • Analyst 2026 EPS estimate is $1.71, dropping to -$3.30 in 2027 and -$2.63 in 2029 — the consensus expects the restructuring to hit near-term earnings hard
  • Beta 0.73 seems low for a distressed name but reflects the trading pattern — this trades on Brazil macro and restructuring headlines, not equity beta

The stock at $1.84 with mcap $913M is priced for uncertainty about whether the parent's restructuring is complete, catastrophic, or dilutive.

Agrees with X sentimentX is mixed with bulls comparing to prior turnarounds and bears noting failure to hold $4.25. Fair — the restructuring path is the whole story, and the outcome is genuinely uncertain until terms are disclosed.

What to watch: The August 24 (today) restructuring deadline — either an announced deal (potentially dilutive but survivable) or court protection (more severe outcomes); the specific terms drive whether equity survives at material value.

On the calendar: 2026-08-24 — restructuring deadline

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment46 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

Braskem's tape is a distressed-value casino after the company filed extrajudicial recovery on roughly $10.9B of debt, triggering an automatic exit from 18 B3 indices and index-fund selling that piled onto a 40-plus percent monthly drawdown. Contrarians frame $1.15-$1.20 as a generational bottom and are averaging in on a possible 400% recovery, while others expect debt-for-equity conversion, dilution, or an ADR delisting to wipe today's shareholders out.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $BAK

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Brazil's largest petrochemical company producing polyethylene, polypropylene, and PVC resins from naphtha and ethanol feedstocks.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Chemicals sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $BAK.

Chemicals · Basic Materials

Basic chemical volumes follow industrial production PMI; inventory restocking cycles are the near-term swing factor. Energy feedstock costs (natural gas / naphtha) drive margin direction more than demand at this stage of the cycle.

What this means for $BAK

Direct beneficiary — upstream production economics move directly with oil price; Braskem S.

Top industry ETF

$XLBMaterials Select Sector SPDR
+14.2%YTD
+15.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-0.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-8.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-7.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-132%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
93.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
2.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-4.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 13, 2026$1.65$1.68-1.8%
Q1 2026May 11, 2026$0.71$0.21+244.6%
Q4 2025Mar 27, 2026$-0.48$-0.98+51.0%
Q3 2025Nov 11, 2025$-0.02$-0.48+95.8%
Next earningsThu, Nov 12·consensus EPS $0.16

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$15.5B-20.4%7.1%-1.4%$3.56$-4.8B
Q4 FY25$16.1B-15.9%-3.4%0.7%$-26.18$-1.5B
Q3 FY25$17.3B-18.7%2.5%-5.4%$-0.07$-2.0B
Q2 FY25$17.9B-6.4%2.0%-5.4%$-0.66$-933.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$77.7B$69.6B – $85.5B$1.71$1.60 – $1.834
FY27$76.6B$68.7B – $84.4B-$3.30-$7.86 – $1.294
FY28$79.4B$71.2B – $87.5B-$0.57-$0.64 – -$0.492
FY29$63.7B$57.0B – $70.1B-$2.64-$2.98 – -$2.283
FY30$68.5B$61.4B – $75.4B$0.52$0.45 – $0.583

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.7%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-27.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-49.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 202.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.735-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 163
AI summary

Alessandro de Castro Melo filed an initial Form 3 as Engineering, Technology & Innovation Officer of Braskem SA (BAK), effective July 10, 2026. No securities are beneficially owned at the time of filing. Routine officer appointment disclosure with no financial impact.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 183
AI summary

Marcelo Weick Pogliese filed an initial Form 3 as a new insider at Braskem SA (BAK) on June 8, 2026. This is a routine new-insider ownership disclosure with no open-market transactions reported.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 183
AI summary

Maria Leticia de Freitas Costa filed an initial Form 3 as a new insider at Braskem SA (BAK) on June 8, 2026. This is a routine new-insider ownership disclosure with no open-market transactions reported.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 183
AI summary

Isabella Saboya de Albuquerque filed an initial Form 3 as a new insider at Braskem SA (BAK) on June 8, 2026. This is a routine new-insider ownership disclosure with no open-market transactions reported.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 183
AI summary

Carlos A. M. P. de A. Brandao filed an initial Form 3 as a new insider at Braskem SA (BAK) on June 8, 2026. This is a routine new-insider ownership disclosure with no open-market transactions reported.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 163
AI summary

Braskem S.A. (BAK) filed a Form 3 reporting initial beneficial ownership for a newly designated director or officer. Body unavailable — excerpt contains only SEC cover-page header without the reporting person's identity or share count.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 163
AI summary

Braskem S.A. (BAK) filed a Form 3 reporting initial beneficial ownership for a newly designated director or officer. Body unavailable — excerpt contains only SEC cover-page header without the reporting person's identity or share count.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 163
AI summary

Braskem S.A. (BAK) filed a Form 3 reporting initial beneficial ownership for a newly designated director or officer. Body unavailable — excerpt contains only SEC cover-page header without the reporting person's identity or share count.

+ 159 other (112 6-Ks · 40 3s · 6 6-K/As · 1 20-F) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

China BAK Battery Highlights India Order, AI Data Center Backup-Power Pushmarketbeat.com·4d agoBraskem S.A. (BAK) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·17d agoBraskem Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·17d agoBraskem eyes out-of-court restructuring as early as this month, sources sayreuters.com·19d agoLallemand Biofuels & Distilled Spirits and Braskem Announce Bio-Acetone as a Coproduction Opportunity in Ethanol Facilitiesbusinesswire.com·34d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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