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BABAK

Braskem S.A.

$BAK·$725M·Chemicals·Basic Materials
$1.66-8.3%YTD-37.8%1Y-30.5%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
BABAK
$BAKBraskem S.A.
$1.66-8.29%26 posts0.9×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $BAK on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

26X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
0.9×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $BAK's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-15

Braskem posters describe institutional slow accumulation, a Brazil 95% conviction rate-cut trade backdrop, and a 'non-zero chance the bottom is in' framing with $6+ upside possible. Tone is patient long-term accumulation rather than momentum excitement.

Read what X is saying about $BAK

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $BAK — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Broken storyStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

Brazilian petrochemical maker with four straight quarters of 15-20% revenue declines, debt restructuring in motion and shares at $1.55.

Braskem produces thermoplastic resins across Brazil, the US, Europe and Mexico, so earnings cycle with global polyethylene/polypropylene spreads and realized Brazil power/naphtha costs — all three vectors have pressured margins.

  • Q1 FY26 revenue R$15.49B, -20.4% YoY with -1.4% operating margin; prior four quarters: -16%, -19%, -6%, -14% — persistent revenue decline
  • TTM: -0.77x earnings, 0.10x sales, 93% ROE (distorted by negative book value), 2.0% gross margin, -7.6% operating margin, debt-to-equity -4.30
  • 2026 estimate: R$72.98B revenue, R$4.59 EPS; 2027 R$69.66B, -R$6.65 EPS — sell-side modeling EPS flipping back to a loss in 2027
  • Petrobras exposure facing test as debt talks continue — the equity is tied to the ownership resolution
  • YTD -46%, trailing-12m -39% at $1.55 — the market has already priced significant impairment

The fundamental case rests on three things resolving: a Brazil rate-cut cycle lifting demand, a polyethylene spread recovery, and the Petrobras/Novonor ownership-and-debt restructuring landing on terms that don't wipe equity — that's three distinct dependencies against a structurally compressed cash line.

Agrees with X sentimentX posters describe institutional slow accumulation, a Brazil 95% conviction rate-cut trade backdrop, and a 'non-zero chance the bottom is in' framing with $6+ upside possible. The patient-accumulation tone matches the stalled-with-asymmetry setup — rate-cut optionality is real but the debt-resolution dependency is also real.

What to watch: Nov 12 Q3 earnings and the Petrobras/Novonor debt talks — whether revenue stabilizes above the Q1 floor and whether the controlling-shareholder situation resolves on equity-neutral terms.

On the calendar: 2026-11-12 Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $BAK

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Brazil's largest petrochemical company producing polyethylene, polypropylene, and PVC resins from naphtha and ethanol feedstocks.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Chemicals sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $BAK.

Chemicals · Basic Materials

Ethylene and propylene spreads are at cycle lows as US Gulf Coast capacity additions (Shell Petrochemicals, ExxonMobil Baytown complex) overlap with soft global demand. Specialty chemical segments serving semiconductors and batteries outperform commodity petchem; Chinese overcapacity in commodity chemicals is the primary global pricing depressant.

What this means for $BAK

Partial — Brazil's largest petrochemical company producing polyethylene, polypropylene, and PVC resins from naphtha and ethanol feedstocks.

Top industry ETF

$XLBMaterials Select Sector SPDR
+10.5%YTD
+15.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-0.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-8.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-7.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-132%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
93.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
2.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-4.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 13, 2026$1.65$1.68-1.8%
Q1 2026May 11, 2026$0.71$0.21+244.6%
Q4 2025Mar 27, 2026$-0.48$-0.98+51.0%
Q3 2025Nov 11, 2025$-0.02$-0.48+95.8%
Next earningsThu, Nov 12·consensus EPS $0.06

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$15.5B-20.4%7.1%-1.4%$3.56$-4.8B
Q4 FY25$16.1B-15.9%-3.4%0.7%$-26.18$-1.5B
Q3 FY25$17.3B-18.7%2.5%-5.4%$-0.07$-2.0B
Q2 FY25$17.9B-6.4%2.0%-5.4%$-0.66$-933.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$75.2B$71.5B – $80.2B$4.96$4.02 – $5.874
FY27$72.1B$68.5B – $76.8B-$5.59-$8.75 – -$2.434
FY28$75.7B$72.0B – $80.8B-$4.28-$4.64 – -$4.001
FY29$63.1B$60.0B – $67.3B-$4.90-$5.32 – -$4.592
FY30$67.9B$64.5B – $72.4B-$1.98-$2.15 – -$1.852

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.7%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-8.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-46.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 202.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.735-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 163
AI summary

Alessandro de Castro Melo filed an initial Form 3 as Engineering, Technology & Innovation Officer of Braskem SA (BAK), effective July 10, 2026. No securities are beneficially owned at the time of filing. Routine officer appointment disclosure with no financial impact.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 183
AI summary

Marcelo Weick Pogliese filed an initial Form 3 as a new insider at Braskem SA (BAK) on June 8, 2026. This is a routine new-insider ownership disclosure with no open-market transactions reported.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 183
AI summary

Maria Leticia de Freitas Costa filed an initial Form 3 as a new insider at Braskem SA (BAK) on June 8, 2026. This is a routine new-insider ownership disclosure with no open-market transactions reported.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 183
AI summary

Isabella Saboya de Albuquerque filed an initial Form 3 as a new insider at Braskem SA (BAK) on June 8, 2026. This is a routine new-insider ownership disclosure with no open-market transactions reported.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 183
AI summary

Carlos A. M. P. de A. Brandao filed an initial Form 3 as a new insider at Braskem SA (BAK) on June 8, 2026. This is a routine new-insider ownership disclosure with no open-market transactions reported.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 163
AI summary

Braskem S.A. (BAK) filed a Form 3 reporting initial beneficial ownership for a newly designated director or officer. Body unavailable — excerpt contains only SEC cover-page header without the reporting person's identity or share count.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 163
AI summary

Braskem S.A. (BAK) filed a Form 3 reporting initial beneficial ownership for a newly designated director or officer. Body unavailable — excerpt contains only SEC cover-page header without the reporting person's identity or share count.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 163
AI summary

Braskem S.A. (BAK) filed a Form 3 reporting initial beneficial ownership for a newly designated director or officer. Body unavailable — excerpt contains only SEC cover-page header without the reporting person's identity or share count.

+ 106 other (87 6-Ks · 13 3s · 5 6-K/As · 1 20-F) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

China BAK Battery Targets India Growth, AI Data Centers With Major Capacity Expansionmarketbeat.com·12d agoBraskem (NYSE:BAK) Shares Gap Up – Still a Buy?defenseworld.net·14d agoOwners of Brazil's Braskem finalizing counter proposal to $3 billion capital demandreuters.com·15d agoPetrobras' Braskem Exposure Faces Test as Debt Talks Continuezacks.com·19d agoChina BAK Battery Highlights India Order, AI Data Center Backup-Power Pushmarketbeat.com·51d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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