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ATATI

ATI Inc.

$ATI·$31B·Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication·Industrials
$210.76-1.8%YTD+73.5%1Y+168.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-19: 2 posts2026-08-20: 3 posts2026-08-21: 4 posts2026-08-22: 0 posts2026-08-23: 4 posts2026-08-24: 5 posts21-11%
Price updated 11h ago·X counts updated 4d ago
ATATI
$ATIATI Inc.
$210.76-1.75%21 posts-11%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ATI, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-20

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Specialty-metals maker running full tilt on the aerospace-and-defense capex cycle — expensive, but the beats keep validating the pivot.

ATI makes specialty metals — titanium ingots and mill products, nickel superalloys, precision forgings — for aerospace, defense, medical devices, and industrial customers. The stock is up 200% over the last year because the multi-year pivot to aerospace and defense finally locked in during a demand cycle where Boeing/Airbus deliveries are accelerating and the defense-titanium supply chain is scrambling for capacity.

  • Growth is quietly compounding above expectations: revenue growth of 0.6-7% quarterly looks modest, but Q2 EPS beat 19% and Q1 beat 14% — the operating leverage of the aerospace mix shift, since every extra pound of titanium into a jet engine flows through at much higher margins than industrial alloy work.
  • The Q2 print was the guide-raise moment: management raised FY26 guidance on the Q2 beat and the stock hit fresh all-time highs — that's when analysts pull FY27 estimates higher, which supports the compounder tape.
  • The valuation is fully priced for the cycle: 57x trailing earnings and 30x EV-to-EBITDA is a growth-stock multiple on a specialty-metals business — the FY27 consensus of $5.42 puts the forward multiple near 40x, which needs the aerospace ramp to keep beating expectations.

Trajectory is accelerating at 90% of the 52-week range with the tape running with the metals-materials cohort (RS, NEU); the Oct 27 Q3 print needs another beat plus reaffirmed FY26 raise to justify the multiple — a Boeing production hiccup or a soft defense-titanium quarter puts the multiple back toward peer levels fast.

Agrees with X sentimentX's 'exceptional beat-and-raise' framing is the correct read on the tape — Q2 revenue +18%, EPS well above estimates, and the multi-year aerospace pivot is validated. The 3D printing framing is directionally right too (ATI's titanium additive-manufacturing feedstock is a growing niche). The unmentioned check: officer Kimberly Fields sold $6M on July 28, which is small in context but worth tracking as a leading tell.

What to watch: Oct 27 Q3 earnings — another beat with a reaffirmed FY26 raise plus commentary on defense-titanium capacity extends the multiple; a Boeing production hiccup or a soft defense-titanium quarter compresses the multiple back toward the industrial-metals peer group.

On the calendar: 2026-10-27 — Q3 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-28

ATI Inc. chatter is scant but positive. Traders highlight it as +91% YTD with a 21.5% jump over the past week after a strong Q2 print and raised guidance, flag it as a 'weekend watchlist' setup, and note it passes a strict liquidity-and-speed filter alongside other materials names (MP, HL, MOS, CLF, ALM). No bearish voice; the read is quiet momentum on a clean fundamental setup.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ATI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes specialty titanium alloys, nickel superalloys, and precision components for commercial and military jet engines.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ATI.

Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication · Industrials

No material change from last week — ATI's specialty titanium alloys and nickel superalloys for jet engines benefit from commercial aviation production ramp and military hypersonics procurement.

What this means for $ATI

Direct beneficiary — Makes specialty titanium alloys, nickel superalloys, and precision components for commercial and military jet engines; core revenue tied directly to the primary demand driver in manufacturing - metal fabrication.

Top industry ETF

$XLIIndustrial Select Sector SPDR
+19.8%YTD
+15.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
56.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
12.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
14.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
5.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
24.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
22.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$1.23$1.03+19.4%
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$1.00$0.88+14.0%
Q4 2025Feb 3, 2026$0.93$0.89+4.5%
Q3 2025Oct 28, 2025$0.85$0.73+16.0%
Next earningsTue, Oct 27·consensus EPS $1.28

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.2B+0.6%22.8%14.8%$0.87$73.0M
Q4 FY25$1.2B+0.4%23.2%14.5%$0.71$223.1M
Q3 FY25$1.1B+7.1%22.7%14.4%$0.80$167.0M
Q2 FY25$1.1B+4.1%21.4%14.1%$0.72$89.4M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.0B$4.9B – $5.0B$4.45$4.31 – $4.626
FY27$5.5B$5.4B – $5.6B$5.42$5.07 – $5.666
FY28$5.8B$5.8B – $5.9B$6.37$5.84 – $6.604
FY29$6.2B$6.1B – $6.3B$7.32$7.18 – $7.462
FY30$6.4B$6.3B – $6.5B$7.05$6.92 – $7.192

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.81%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+4.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+35.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 135.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.015-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 24Timothy J HarrisSenior VP and CDIO16.5K sh$3.4MSellAug 17Kimberly A FieldsCEO24.8K sh$5.7MSellJul 28Kimberly A FieldsCEO31.8K sh$6.1MSellJul 7Kimberly A FieldsCEO40.0K sh$7.3MSellJun 24Kimberly A FieldsCEO3.8K sh$746KSellJun 23Kimberly A FieldsCEO3.6K sh$719KSellJun 22Kimberly A FieldsCEO13.3K sh$2.7MSellJun 2Kimberly A FieldsCEO59.7K sh$10.7MSellMay 11Kimberly A FieldsCEO40.0K sh$6.4MSellMar 9David J MorehouseDirector6.6K sh$1.0M
+ 12 other (9 awards · 2 inkinds · 1 exempt) in window

See when $ATI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementJun 88-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

ATI Inc. (ATI) disclosed a material definitive agreement under Item 1.01, reporting a merger or acquisition transaction involving growth company as defined in Rule. The deal is valued at approximately $450 million. Details of the transaction terms, consideration structure, and closing conditions are set forth in the full 8-K filing. Definitive merger agreements are among the most material events a public company can disclose, triggering regulatory review and shareholder vote requirements.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 4424B5
AI summary

ATI (ATI) filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement for an offering of senior notes. The offering size is $450,000,000 at 5.875%, due 2033. Proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes, which may include debt repayment, capital expenditures, or working capital. The 424B5 is a prospectus supplement filed under an existing shelf registration, allowing the company to offer securities on an accelerated timeline without a standalone registration statement.

8-KShareholder voteMay 198-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

ATI Inc. (ATI) filed an 8-K on May 14, 2026 disclosing annual shareholder meeting vote results (Item 5.07). ATI is a Dallas, Texas-based aerospace and defense materials company listed on the NYSE. Annual meeting results are routine governance disclosures.

+ 15 other (4 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 11-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Looking for a Growth Stock? 3 Reasons Why ATI (ATI) is a Solid Choicezacks.com·18h agoThis Top Aerospace Stock is a #1 (Strong Buy): Why It Should Be on Your Radarzacks.com·2d agoHere's Why Momentum in ATI (ATI) Should Keep goingzacks.com·3d agoCallan Family Office LLC Purchases Shares of 3,926 ATI Inc. $ATIdefenseworld.net·4d agoATI Shares Rally 28% in 3 Months: What's Driving the Upside?zacks.com·5d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Defense & Drones

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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