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Ampco-Pittsburgh Corp.

$AP·$160M·Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication·Industrials
$7.98+3.8%YTD+48.1%1Y+135.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-08: 22 posts2026-07-09: 194 posts2026-07-10: 136 posts2026-07-11: 52 posts2026-07-12: 56 posts2026-07-13: 47 posts2026-07-14: 30 posts539+9%
Price updated 3h ago·X counts updated 3h ago
APAP
$APAmpco-Pittsburgh Corp.
$7.98+3.77%539 posts+9%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $AP, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-14

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Ampco-Pittsburgh just spiked on the nuclear-coil thesis — the AP1000 electrical-winding pivot is real, but the correction narrows the story.

Ampco-Pittsburgh is the specialty-industrial manufacturer whose forged and cast rolls plus air-and-liquid processing equipment have found a new demand pocket in nuclear-reactor components. The stock spiked 23% on renewed nuclear thesis interest before being corrected on the specific product interpretation.

  • The order-book direction is genuinely constructive: new orders were $144M for the quarter versus $124M in Q1 (per the July 9 8-K Reg FD disclosure), and Q1 revenue grew 3.9% YoY to $108M at a 3.3% operating margin — meaning the direction is right even if the margin isn't yet a re-rating catalyst.
  • The nuclear thesis was corrected but not invalidated: initial retail excitement framed AP as supplying AP1000 reactor-coolant pump coils, but subsequent clarification confirmed those are electrical motor windings rather than HVAC coils — meaning the company does play in the nuclear supply chain, but the specific product mix is different from the original bull-case framing.
  • The insider and structural tape is muted: officer Samuel Lyon sold $93K and $6K on June 22-26 (small), no next-earnings-date disclosed in the bundle, and the stock sits at 54% of the 52-week range with a 4.4x debt-to-equity ratio (reflecting the small-cap capital structure).

The forward path is narrow — need Q2 orders growth continuing above 15% YoY plus a specific nuclear-supply-chain contract disclosure to restart the accelerating leg; a soft order print or a Virginia/Columbia-class ALP order gap resets the tape. Ampco is small enough that a single strategic-tender award materially reshapes the story, and the ongoing nuclear-renaissance narrative supports occasional short-term rallies even without near-term margin improvement.

Agrees with X sentimentAgree with the constructive orders framing — $144M Q new orders versus $124M Q1 is a real acceleration, and the nuclear-supply-chain overlay is a genuine strategic angle even after the coil clarification. Where I add nuance the crowd needs: motor-winding versus HVAC-coil is a material distinction for market-sizing, so the $8.84 spike being 'corrected' was rational.

What to watch: Q2 orders growth continuing above 15% YoY plus a specific nuclear-supply-chain contract disclosure to restart the accelerating leg. A soft order print or a Virginia/Columbia-class ALP order gap resets the tape.

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-14

Ampco-Pittsburgh chatter highlights the shares gapping +23.22% at the open, an after-hours press release that likely puts a floor in price, and $144M in new orders during the quarter versus $124M in Q1. A nuclear-coil thesis is gaining traction with references to $60-$120M of 'monopoly' Aerofin orders from the AP1000 build, alongside Virginia and Columbia Class program orders that boosted a strong January.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $AP

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Specialty metal products (forged rolls and castings) and industrial air/liquid processing equipment for global manufacturers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AP.

Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication · Industrials

No material change from last week — ATI's specialty titanium alloys and nickel superalloys for jet engines benefit from commercial aviation production ramp and military hypersonics procurement.

What this means for $AP

Neutral — Specialty metal products (forged rolls and castings) and industrial air/liquid processing equipment for global manufacturers; the aerospace titanium and nickel superalloy jet engine demand does not materially affect this business's near-term earnings.

Top industry ETF

$XLIIndustrial Select Sector SPDR
+16.0%YTD
+19.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-2.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
0.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
0.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-1.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-146%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
14.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
4.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 12, 2026$-0.04$0.08-150.0%
Q4 2025Mar 16, 2026$-0.17$0.08-312.5%
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$0.04——
Q2 2025Aug 13, 2025$-0.06——

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$108.3M+3.9%16.1%3.3%$-0.04$-1.7M
Q4 FY25$108.8M+7.8%10.3%-0.9%$-2.85$-64K
Q3 FY25$108.0M+12.3%13.0%1.2%$-0.11$3.3M
Q2 FY25$113.1M+1.9%18.7%-2.7%$-0.36$-3.8M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 1 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$427.0M$427.0M – $427.0M-$0.62-$0.62 – -$0.621
FY27$462.0M$462.0M – $462.0M-$1.13-$1.13 – -$1.131
FY28$403.6M$403.6M – $403.6M$0.03$0.03 – $0.031
FY29$327.6M$327.6M – $327.6M$0.20$0.20 – $0.201
FY30$344.7M$344.7M – $344.7M$0.26$0.26 – $0.261

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.54%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-24.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+17.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 14.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.315-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 25Samuel LyonPresident9.5K sh$93KSellJun 18Samuel LyonPresident547 sh$6KBuyMay 19Brett McbrayerCEO3.3K sh$30KBuyMar 19Brett McbrayerCEO7.5K sh$50K
+ 15 other (12 awards · 3 inkinds) in window

See when $AP insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteMay 128-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation held its annual meeting of shareholders on May 8, 2026, at which two directors were elected to three-year terms ending in 2029: J. Brett McBrayer (10,903,236 votes for) and Darrell L. McNair (9,614,803 votes for) out of approximately 16.9 million shares eligible. The auditor ratification and other routine matters were also voted upon. Annual meeting governance filing; director elections passed with reasonable support.

+ 12 other (3 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 SD · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation Announces Significant Increase in Customer Order Activitybusinesswire.com·6d agoAP vs. PKOH: Which Industrial Stock Is the Better Buy Today?zacks.com·7d agoAmpco-Pittsburgh Corporation Joins US small-cap Russell 2000® Indexbusinesswire.com·15d agoThe Hackett Group® Announces Winners of the 2026 Hackett Innovation Awardsgurufocus.com·21d agoAP Collective Named Best Crypto Marketing Agency of 2026 as Leading Web3 Projects Move to Full-Stack Growth Partnersglobenewswire.com·27d ago

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