TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$ASO
ASASO

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.

$ASO·$2.8B·Specialty Retail·Consumer Cyclical
$45.01+0.1%YTD-11.3%1Y-11.0%
Price updated 8m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
ASASO
$ASOAcademy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.
$45.01+0.14%74 posts1.3×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $ASO on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

74X posts · last 7 days
Aug 30Sep 6
Chatter Meter
1.3×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $ASO's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 91% of tracked names.

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $ASO — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-09-07

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Academy Sports reports September 9 into a 17% of range setup — cheap on FCF but Q2 print is a real binary.

Academy Sports and Outdoors is the mid-tier US sporting-goods and outdoor-recreation retailer — a smaller Dick's competitor with a Texas-and-Southeast operational footprint. The equity is at just 17% of the 52-week range and the Q2 print on September 9 is the immediate binary.

  • The financials are stable — Q1 revenue up 6.7% YoY to $1.44B with a 33% gross margin, operating margin 5%, and free cash flow yield 8.5%; analyst estimates model FY26 EPS at $5.88 rising to $6.43 next year — a 9% growth ramp at ~7.7x forward, unusually cheap for a specialty retailer.
  • Two operational signals matter — a quarterly cash dividend declaration and a Sept 3 executive appointment; both are constructive framing signals ahead of the print, and Zacks' Q2 earnings preview coverage suggests the market is watching more than usual.
  • The tape's problem is comparable-store sales — the specialty-retail category has been under pressure and Academy's sub-Dick's execution has priced accordingly; a same-store sales beat is what the Q2 print needs to deliver.

September 9 fiscal Q2 earnings is the near-term binary — comparable-store sales positive plus FY26 EPS guide reaffirmed is what breaks the coil upward; a comp miss or a downward FY guide is what confirms the discount is deserved.

What to watch: September 9 fiscal Q2 earnings — comparable-store sales, FY26 EPS vs the $5.88 consensus, and any updated guide; a comp beat plus reaffirmed guide breaks the coil, a comp miss confirms the fade.

On the calendar: 2026-09-09 — fiscal Q2 earnings

7 7x forward pecomp sales debatenear 52w lowearnings event binary

Read the AI verdict on $ASO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc., through its various subsidiaries, operates as a significant retailer of sporting goods and outdoor recreational products throughout the United States. The company offers a vast and diverse inventory, encompassing everything from essential camping and marine equipment—like coolers, fishing rods, and bait—to specialized gear for hunting and shooting, including firearms, ammunition, archery supplies, and optics. For athletes and fitness enthusiasts, Academy provides equipment for popular team sports such as baseball, football, basketball, soccer, and golf, alongside fitness machinery, accessories, and nutritional supplements. Their product lines also extend to home and leisure items, featuring patio furniture, outdoor cooking appliances, trampolines, and watersports equipment, as well as various electronics and everyday consumables. Furthermore, the retailer stocks a comprehensive range of apparel, from outdoor and workwear to seasonal clothing, graphic t-shirts, and licensed merchandise from professional and collegiate teams. An extensive footwear selection is also available, covering casual and work boots, youth shoes, and specialized athletic footwear for running, training, and team sports. Academy Sports and Outdoors markets many items under its own private labels, which include Academy Sports + Outdoors, Magellan Outdoors, BCG, O'rageous, Outdoor Gourmet, and Freely. As of June 14, 2022, the company maintained a robust physical footprint with 260 retail stores located across 16 contiguous U.S. states, supplemented by its online sales platform, academy.com. The enterprise, established in 1938, is headquartered in Katy, Texas.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Specialty Retail sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ASO.

Specialty Retail · Consumer Cyclical

Consumer discretionary spending is the underlying cycle — back-to-school traffic is the near-term seasonality anchor, and omnichannel retailers with AI-driven inventory personalization (AMZN, BABA) are widening their share gap versus pure physical players. Value and pet categories are outperforming as consumers trade down in higher-inflation sub-segments.

What this means for $ASO

Partial — Academy Sports captures back-to-school sporting goods demand and benefits from regional discretionary spending in its Southern US markets; hunting and outdoors categories provide some spending resilience.

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
+7.7%YTD
+0.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
7.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
9.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
8.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
8.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
18.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
34.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.9Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 9, 2026$0.93$0.91+2.0%
Q4 2025Mar 17, 2026$1.97$2.03-3.0%
Q3 2025Dec 9, 2025$1.14$1.06+7.5%
Q2 2025Sep 2, 2025$1.94$2.12-8.5%
Next earningsWed, Sep 9·consensus EPS $2.07

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.4B+6.7%33.2%5.2%$0.82$121.7M
Q4 FY25$1.7B+2.5%33.6%9.9%$2.02$107.0M
Q3 FY25$1.4B+3.0%35.7%7.3%$1.07$-13.8M
Q2 FY25$1.6B+3.3%36.0%10.8%$1.89$21.8M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$6.1B$6.1B – $6.1B$5.88$5.74 – $6.0110
FY27$6.3B$6.3B – $6.4B$6.43$6.18 – $6.5511
FY28$6.6B$6.6B – $6.7B$6.92$6.67 – $7.1811
FY29$6.9B$6.8B – $7.0B$7.35$7.26 – $7.457
FY30$7.8B$7.7B – $7.9B$9.45$9.28 – $9.604

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.17%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-4.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-14.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 61.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.025-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 16Jeffrey C. TweedyDirector1.2K sh$58KSellApr 16Jeffrey C. TweedyDirector4.0K sh$240K
+ 37 other (13 awards · 12 exempts · 12 inkinds) in window

See when $ASO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Academy Sports + Outdoors Announces Quarterly Cash Dividendprnewswire.com·4d agoAhead of Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) Q2 Earnings: Get Ready With Wall Street Estimates for Key Metricszacks.com·5d agoAcademy Sports + Outdoors Announces Executive Appointmentprnewswire.com·5d agoAcademy Sports + Outdoors is the Ultimate Tailgating Fan Shopgurufocus.com·8d agoAcademy Sports + Outdoors is the Ultimate Tailgating Fan Shopprnewswire.com·8d ago

More in Specialty Retail

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$GME$AMZN$BABA$CHPT$WOOF$MELI$FIVE$W
Voices on X · top 1 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport