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ASASND

Ascendis Pharma A/S

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 148% YoYRecent insider buyingQuiet on X (59 mentions/wk)
$ASND·$16B·Biotechnology·Healthcare
$267.22+1.3%YTD+23.9%1Y+52.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-06-23: 1 posts2026-06-24: 1 posts2026-06-25: 21 posts2026-06-26: 17 posts2026-06-27: 6 posts2026-06-28: 2 posts2026-06-29: 11 posts59
Price updated 10m ago·X counts updated 21h ago
ASASND
$ASNDAscendis Pharma A/S
$267.22+1.33%59 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ASND, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-06-29

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Ascendis is the Danish biotech with TransCon PTH for hypoparathyroidism — Phase 3 week-182 data positive, 148% revenue growth, Russell index inclusion.

Ascendis Pharma is a Danish biopharmaceutical company commercializing TransCon technology — long-acting endocrine therapies including the now-approved TransCon PTH for adult hypoparathyroidism. The Russell U.S. Indexes inclusion and the +148% revenue growth reflect the commercial inflection.

Where the run sits:

  • Q1 revenue grew 148% YoY to $251M with a 91% gross margin and a 10% operating margin — that growth rate is dramatic, helped by the TransCon PTH commercial launch and the achondroplasia pipeline.
  • Trailing P/E is 28x and the FCF yield is 0.3% — fair multiples for a commercial-stage biotech finally inflecting; ROE -56% reflects accounting noise from prior R&D spending.
  • Phase 3 data showed TransCon PTH replicated systemic actions of endogenous PTH through Week 182 in adults with hypoparathyroidism — that's long-duration confirmation of a drug that competes against established standard-of-care alternatives.
  • Ascendis joined multiple Russell U.S. Indexes (Russell 3000, 1000, 2500, Midcap) — that's a meaningful flow catalyst for what was a Danish-listed foreign issuer with limited U.S. institutional accumulation.

The acceleration runs through the August 6 print. Continued 100%+ revenue growth, operating margin expanding toward 12%, and explicit TransCon PTH and achondroplasia pipeline commentary extends the move; growth slipping toward 60% combined with any pipeline setback invites a 15% pullback at the 90th-percentile chart.

What to watch: August 6 Q2 earnings — revenue growth holding above 100%, operating margin expanding toward 12%, and explicit TransCon PTH and achondroplasia pipeline commentary extends the move; growth slipping toward 60% combined with pipeline setback invites a 15% pullback.

On the calendar: 2026-08-06 — Q2 earnings

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Ascendis Pharma A/S is a biopharmaceutical enterprise dedicated to advancing therapeutic solutions for critical medical conditions that currently lack effective treatments. Its commercialized offering is SKYTROFA, a therapy prescribed for individuals suffering from growth hormone deficiency (GHD). The company boasts a robust development pipeline, featuring several TransCon-branded candidates. These include TransCon Growth Hormone (hGH), which is being progressed for pediatric GHD patients in Japan and for adults with GHD. Also under development are TransCon parathyroid hormone for adults with hypoparathyroidism, and TransCon CNP, aimed at treating pediatric achondroplasia. Further expanding its innovative portfolio, Ascendis is also developing a TransCon toll-like receptor (TLR) 7/8 agonist for intratumoral administration, alongside TransCon IL-2 ß/g, designed for systemic delivery. Founded in 2006, this enterprise maintains its corporate headquarters in Hellerup, Denmark.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Biotechnology sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ASND.

Biotechnology · Healthcare

GLP-1 pipeline competition is the dominant structural driver — the ADA conference crystallized oral formulations, dual agonists, and differentiated mechanisms competing for a potential $150B obesity market by 2030. QURE's FDA accelerated approval for AMT-130 (Huntington's disease) this week confirms gene therapy regulatory momentum is still flowing capital to non-GLP-1 precision medicine.

Top industry ETF

$IBBiShares Biotechnology ETF
+11.9%YTD
+50.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
28.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
1.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-0.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
16.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-56.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
88.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$0.32$0.19+70.6%
Q4 2025Feb 11, 2026$-0.64$-0.06-966.7%
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$-1.17$-0.41-185.4%
Q2 2025Aug 7, 2025$-0.93$-1.42+34.5%
Next earningsThu, Aug 6·consensus EPS $1.29

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$250.7M+148.3%91.4%10.1%$10.37$-15.7M
Q4 FY25$245.2M+41.0%88.9%4.0%$-0.54$67.4M
Q3 FY25$213.6M+269.4%89.5%5.1%$-1.00$2.1M
Q2 FY25$158.0M+339.0%80.1%-33.5%$-0.64$-11.7M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 12 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.3B$1.3B – $1.4B$13.37$12.32 – $15.3912
FY27$1.9B$1.8B – $2.1B$9.43$5.68 – $12.0512
FY28$2.4B$2.3B – $2.7B$14.42$7.32 – $19.6712
FY29$3.0B$2.8B – $3.4B$17.88$16.32 – $20.6111
FY30$3.4B$3.1B – $3.8B$20.43$18.65 – $23.566

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.93%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+13.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+20.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 61.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.395-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJun 2Smith Scott ThomasCFO100 sh$22KBuyMay 29Bienaime Jean JacquesDirector500 sh$112KBuyMay 29Smith Scott ThomasCFO250 sh$56KBuyMay 26Bienaime Jean JacquesDirector400 sh$95KSellMay 11Jensen Flemming SteenSee Remarks19.5K sh$4.6M

See when $ASND insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsJun 13/A
3New insider — initial holdingsApr 13
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
+ 46 other (27 6-Ks · 8 3s · 7 13Gs · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Ascendis Joins Multiple Russell U.S. Indexes, Including the Russell 3000®, Russell 1000®, Russell 2500® and Russell Midcap®globenewswire.com·4d agoAscendis Pharma (ASND) Moves 9.9% Higher: Will This Strength Last?zacks.com·4d agoAscendis to Showcase Advances in Treatment of Achondroplasia at ICCBH 2026globenewswire.com·5d agoPhase 3 Data Show TransCon® PTH Replicated Systemic Actions of Endogenous PTH Through Week 182 in Adults with Hypoparathyroidismglobenewswire.com·17d agoTouchstone Mid Cap Growth Fund Q1 2026 Portfolio Reviewseekingalpha.com·18d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

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