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ARARIS

Aris Mining Corporation

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 136% YoY at strong marginsQuiet on X (25 mentions/wk)
$ARIS·$2.9B·Gold·Basic Materials
$13.36-6.2%YTD-13.5%1Y+92.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-24: 3 posts2026-07-25: 0 posts2026-07-26: 2 posts2026-07-27: 8 posts2026-07-28: 3 posts2026-07-29: 3 posts2026-07-30: 6 posts25
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
ARARIS
$ARISAris Mining Corporation
$13.36-6.25%25 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ARIS, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-31

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Aris Mining up 108% TTM with Q2 modest beat — Colombia-focused gold miner with real production growth trajectory.

Aris Mining Corporation is a Colombia-focused gold miner — the equity is a specific mid-cap gold play that has been on a multi-quarter re-rating alongside the broader gold-price cycle recovery.

  • The Q2 print was clean: EPS $0.47 vs $0.46 consensus (+2% surprise) with revenue $372M (+136% YoY, real acceleration from base effect and production ramp) — the three-consecutive surprise pattern (+2%, +2%, -21%) reflects consensus catching up to the multi-quarter ramp trajectory.
  • The fundamentals are healthy: 53% gross margin, 43% operating margin, ROIC 10%, ROE 14% — for consensus FY26 EPS of $2.16 growing to $3.27 in FY27, forward P/E is ~4.4x on FY27, cheap for a gold miner with real production growth trajectory. The 6.6% FCF yield supports continued capital-return capacity.
  • The tape is coiling: shares at 46% of 52-week range, 9% below the 50-day, 13% below the 200-day, volume at 1.46x — meaning distribution has been active but the fundamentals still support the multi-year positioning. The WKSI base shelf prospectus (per news) reflects continued capital-markets flexibility.

The Nov 4 Q3 print is the next test — another beat plus continued Colombia gold-production growth commentary and any specific commentary on Segovia mine expansion extends the equity toward $17. A miss on production guidance or a specific gold-price rollover drops shares back to $12. The setup is 'quality-mid-cap-gold-miner with real production trajectory' — trend continues on execution and gold-price cooperation.

What to watch: Nov 4 Q3 earnings — another beat plus continued Colombia gold-production growth commentary and specific Segovia mine expansion commentary extends toward $17. A miss on production guidance or gold-price rollover drops shares back to $12.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 earnings

sentiment absent

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Aris Mining Corporation is a gold extraction firm that manages several operational mines across Colombia, specifically including Segovia, Soto Norte, Toroparu, Juby, and Marmato. The company was established in 1982 and maintains its headquarters in Vancouver, Canada.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Gold sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ARIS.

Gold · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — central bank accumulation and US fiscal risk sustain the structural gold floor above $3,100/oz even as GDX lags spot by 10% YTD, flagging miner operating-cost inflation as the gap driver.

Top industry ETF

$GDXVanEck Gold Miners ETF
-11.9%YTD
+43.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
17.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
10.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
43.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
6.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
13.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
53.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$0.47$0.46+2.2%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$0.60$0.59+2.0%
Q4 2025Mar 11, 2026$0.46$0.58-20.7%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$0.36$0.27+33.3%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $0.56

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$372.5M+136.5%58.3%48.1%$0.47$94.1M
Q4 FY25$308.6M+104.2%54.2%40.0%$0.25$28.2M
Q3 FY25$258.1M+91.6%50.7%40.9%$0.21$37.9M
Q2 FY25$203.5M+73.7%47.9%38.1%$-0.09$17.2M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.6B$1.6B – $1.6B$2.16$2.14 – $2.182
FY27$2.3B$2.3B – $2.3B$3.27$3.23 – $3.302
FY28$2.5B$2.5B – $2.5B$3.62$3.58 – $3.662
FY29$2.3B$2.3B – $2.3B$3.35$3.31 – $3.381
FY30$1.6B$1.6B – $1.6B$5.12$5.07 – $5.181

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.46%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-8.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-13.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 199.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.955-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 25 other (16 6-Ks · 3 13Gs · 1 F-X · 1 F-10EF) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Aris Mining Files WKSI Base Shelf Prospectusbusinesswire.com·1d agoAris Mining Reports Q2 2026 Resultsbusinesswire.com·2d agoAris Mining Announces Q2 2026 Earnings Release Datebusinesswire.com·16d agoIs Aris Mining Corp (ARIS) Overvalued After 5.3% Rally? GF Value Says Overvaluedgurufocus.com·22d agoAris Mining Reports Q2 2026 Productionbusinesswire.com·25d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ARIS on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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