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TickerTalks›$ACRE
ACACRE

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation

Hot onWhy it's trendingX mentions rising faster than the marketPrice and volume picking upBullish-leaning chatter
$ACRE·$243M·REIT - Mortgage·Real Estate
$4.38+0.5%YTD-7.8%1Y-9.3%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 6d ago
ACACRE
$ACREAres Commercial Real Estate Corporation
$4.38+0.46%5 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $ACRE on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

5X posts · last 7 days
Sep 2Sep 14
Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-05

Acre is 'the Aave of Robinhood' — a lending market where users deposit USDG or post tokenized stocks (NVDA, AAPL, TSLA) as collateral and borrow. Community shill flags $ACRE breaking out below $700k market cap; the same call playbook ('like BOW at 100k, now ACRE at 100k') is being repeated.

Read what X is saying about $ACRE

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $ACRE — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-20

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Ares Commercial Real Estate offers a 13% yield — the CRE credit book is being worked through with lumpy quarters.

Ares Commercial Real Estate is a commercial mortgage REIT navigating the office and CRE lending workout cycle. Recent quarters show wildly variable revenue as loan repayments, provisions, and CECL changes cycle through the P&L.

  • Revenue growth ran 150%, -61%, 84%, and -431% across four quarters — driven by non-cash provisions, not operating fundamentals.
  • The dividend yield sits at ~13% with FCF ranging $-57M to $64M per quarter — a high-yield vehicle with book-value volatility.
  • Analyst consensus of $50M revenue in 2026 rising to $57M in 2028 and EPS from $0.22 to $0.50 pencils modest normalization; multiple Seeking Alpha pieces frame the 13% yield opportunity thesis.

Watch the Nov 6 print for CECL provision changes, loan-book resolutions, and any updated commentary on book-value stability.

What to watch: CECL provision changes, individual loan resolutions or defaults, and book-value stability trend.

On the calendar: 2026-11-06 Q3 earnings

no price datano sentiment

Read the AI verdict on $ACRE

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Commercial real estate lender originating senior mortgage loans and subordinate debt for US property owners and operators.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where REIT - Mortgage sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ACRE.

REIT - Mortgage · Real Estate

Mortgage REITs face renewed headwinds as rates push back above 7%, compressing book-value NAV and raising dividend sustainability questions; multiple bearish AGNC articles this week flag coverage cracks and principal destruction, confirming the sector is rate-dependent with limited near-term catalysts.

What this means for $ACRE

Headwind — commercial real estate senior mortgage loans and CMBS face softening property valuations and elevated refinancing risk; non-agency credit exposure means no government backstop unlike Agency peers such as AGNC.

Top industry ETF

$REMiShares Mortgage Real Estate ETF
-10.9%YTD
-12.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-61.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
62.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
22.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
5.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-0.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
57.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 4, 2026$0.12$0.04+224.0%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$0.06$0.08-25.0%
Q4 2025Feb 10, 2026$0.15$0.01+1400.0%
Q3 2025Nov 7, 2025$0.10$-0.09+211.1%
Next earningsFri, Nov 6·consensus EPS $-0.00

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$14.4M-431.2%0.0%0.0%$0.08$64.1M
Q1 FY26$27.5M+83.8%76.5%28.3%$-0.17$-57.1M
Q4 FY25$29.3M-6078.2%69.7%32.3%$-0.07$4.3M
Q3 FY25$27.3M+150.3%53.8%17.1%$0.08$3.4M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 3 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$49.5M$48.9M – $50.1M$0.22$0.16 – $0.272
FY27$54.7M$53.7M – $55.7M$0.40$0.39 – $0.413
FY28$57.0M$56.0M – $58.0M$0.50$0.47 – $0.532

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.3.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.14%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-10.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 6 other (6 awards) in window

See when $ACRE insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 48-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation filed Q2 2026 earnings results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 via press release (Exhibit 99.1) and an investor earnings presentation (Exhibit 99.2), signed by CFO Jeffrey M. Gonzales. Specific financial results are in the attached exhibits. Routine quarterly earnings disclosure for this commercial real estate lending REIT.

8-KShareholder voteJun 18-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 78-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KMaterial agreementMar 308-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
+ 8 other (3 proxys · 2 10-Qs · 2 13Gs · 1 ARS) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Dirt Cheap Income Opportunity, Generational Upside Potential, Yield +13%seekingalpha.com·6d agoI'm Buying These 2 Dividend Payers In Augustseekingalpha.com·40d agoAres Commercial Real Estate (NYSE:ACRE) & Adamas Trust (NASDAQ:ADAM) Critical Contrastdefenseworld.net·44d agoAres Commercial Real Estate Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·47d agoAres Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·47d ago

More in REIT - Mortgage

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ACRE on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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