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TickerTalks›$ACRE
ACACRE

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation

$ACRE·$257M·REIT - Mortgage·Real Estate
$4.71+0.2%YTD-2.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-30: 0 posts2026-07-31: 0 posts2026-08-01: 0 posts2026-08-02: 0 posts2026-08-03: 0 posts2026-08-04: 5 posts2026-08-05: 1 posts6
Price updated 1m ago·X counts updated 21h ago
ACACRE
$ACREAres Commercial Real Estate Corporation
$4.71+0.21%6 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ACRE, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-05

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

The Ares Commercial Real Estate mREIT — Q2 EPS beat 224%, up 8.9% today, revenue-cycle stabilization narrative.

Ares Commercial Real Estate is a small-cap ($257M mcap) commercial real estate debt mortgage REIT investing in CRE debt across the US — a business up 8.9% today and down 2.5% YTD as multi-quarter earnings-recovery combined with the Aug 4 Q2 beat set the accelerating trajectory to 32% of range.

  • The Q2 print was decisive: EPS of $0.12 vs $0.037 estimate (224% beat), revenue of $14.4M vs $11.0M estimate (31% beat), and the four-quarter cadence of -25% to +1400% EPS surprises reflects the specific volatile-but-recovering pattern as CRE-debt-cycle work-outs stabilize and net-interest-margin normalizes.
  • The specific mortgage-REIT recovery narrative is central: after multi-quarter CRE-office valuation pressure, the return to $0.12 quarterly EPS versus the multi-quarter losses reflects the specific work-out-progress + net-interest-income stabilization pattern that supports the +8.9% single-day pop.
  • The financial profile is a small-cap mREIT at recovery inflection: TTM P/E of -61.5x (negative on cumulative writedowns), P/S of 2.6x, ROIC of 62.5% (accounting on the debt book), D/E of 0 (accounting quirk), gross margin of 57.0%, FCF yield of 5.7% — the specific pattern where an mREIT emerges from a real-estate-cycle stress with earnings normalization.
  • The FY26 sell-side EPS estimate of $0.14 rising to $0.36 in FY27 reflects the specific expected NIM-stabilization + book-quality recovery.

The Nov 6 Q3 print is next — CRE-debt-book quality, work-out resolution pace, and FY26 outlook. Continued execution extends the +8.9% pop; a soft print at 32% of range invites re-rating.

What to watch: The Nov 6 Q3 print — CRE-debt-book quality, work-out resolution pace, and FY26 outlook.

On the calendar: 2026-11-06 — Q3 earnings

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Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ACRE

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Commercial real estate lender originating senior mortgage loans and subordinate debt for US property owners and operators.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where REIT - Mortgage sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ACRE.

REIT - Mortgage · Real Estate

No material change from last week — Sachem Capital's first-mortgage bridge loans earn the spread between its borrowing cost and short-duration loan yields, with dividend sustainability dependent..

Top industry ETF

$REMiShares Mortgage Real Estate ETF
-2.3%YTD
-2.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-61.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
62.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
22.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
5.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-0.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
57.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 4, 2026$0.12$0.04+224.0%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$0.06$0.08-25.0%
Q4 2025Feb 10, 2026$0.15$0.01+1400.0%
Q3 2025Nov 7, 2025$0.10$-0.09+211.1%
Next earningsFri, Nov 6·consensus EPS $0.13

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$14.4M-431.2%0.0%0.0%$0.08$64.1M
Q1 FY26$27.5M+83.8%76.5%28.3%$-0.17$-57.1M
Q4 FY25$29.3M-6078.2%69.7%32.3%$-0.07$4.3M
Q3 FY25$27.3M+150.3%53.8%17.1%$0.08$3.4M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$47.1M$45.0M – $49.2M$0.14$0.10 – $0.184
FY27$52.7M$48.4M – $57.0M$0.36$0.34 – $0.374
FY28$54.2M$53.1M – $55.2M$0.58$0.51 – $0.642

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.35%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+1.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-4.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 54.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.215-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 6 other (6 awards) in window

See when $ACRE insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 48-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation filed Q2 2026 earnings results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 via press release (Exhibit 99.1) and an investor earnings presentation (Exhibit 99.2), signed by CFO Jeffrey M. Gonzales. Specific financial results are in the attached exhibits. Routine quarterly earnings disclosure for this commercial real estate lending REIT.

8-KShareholder voteJun 18-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 78-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KMaterial agreementMar 308-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
8-KMaterial agreementMar 168-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 108-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 9 other (3 proxys · 2 10-Qs · 2 13Gs · 1 ARS) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Ares Commercial Real Estate Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·2d agoAres Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·2d agoAres Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) Tops Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimateszacks.com·3d agoARES COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE CORPORATION REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2026 RESULTSprnewswire.com·3d agoAres Commercial Real Estate Corporation Schedules Earnings Release and Conference Call for the Second Quarter Ended June 30, 2026prnewswire.com·16d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ACRE on X in the last 7 days.

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