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TickerTalks›$TTD
TTTTD

The Trade Desk, Inc.

Rising onTrending downwardX chatter spiked vs its recent normBacked by solid revenue growthPrice and volume picking up
$TTD·$5.6B·Advertising Agencies·Communication Services
$12.23-6.9%YTD-67.7%1Y-75.5%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
TTTTD
$TTDThe Trade Desk, Inc.
$12.23-6.85%646 posts2.2×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $TTD on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

646X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
2.2×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $TTD's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's running louder than usual, louder than 97% of tracked names.

Bearish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-15

The Trade Desk is being dropped from the S&P 500 (replaced by BE) as posters frame the swap as market re-pricing AI power/infrastructure over ad tech. Evercore ISI holds In-Line at a $14 PT and traders scalp $13.5 lows — tone is defeated, bounce-hopeful.

Read what X is saying about $TTD

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $TTD — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

The programmatic ad-tech champion got dropped from the S&P 500 — the forced-selling and the thesis crack are the same event.

The Trade Desk is the independent demand-side platform in programmatic advertising. The 2026 implosion isn't about losing to a specific competitor — it's about the market deciding ad-tech is where the growth premium leaves and AI infrastructure is where it goes.

  • The fundamentals have genuinely softened: last quarter revenue grew just 12% YoY at a 10% operating margin, and the trailing two prints missed Street estimates by 21% and 8% — a growth company that misses twice in a row isn't a growth company anymore, it's a slowing one at a growth multiple.
  • The S&P 500 removal is a cash-and-liquidity event, not a mechanical one: passive outflows plus the signaling effect ('replaced by Bloom Energy, the AI-power story') is what the chart is showing — a stock at 0.4% of its 52-week range, down 68% YTD, 47% below the 200-day.

What breaks the trajectory is specific: a return to 20%+ revenue growth and a clean guide, which the Nov 5 print has to deliver without the index-fund tailwind to buffer any disappointment. Another sub-15% growth number or a soft Q4 guide confirms the de-rating.

Agrees with X sentimentThe defeated/bounce-hopeful tone on X is honest about the situation — this is a stock looking for a bottom, not a thesis. Evercore's $14 Hold reads as fair middle-ground given the fundamentals; chasing a bounce without a positive growth print is just technical scalping.

What to watch: Nov 5 Q3 earnings — revenue growth rate (needs 20%+), CTV revenue acceleration, and Q4 guide. A clean beat with growth back to 20%+ is the only credible reset; another miss confirms broken-story.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05 — Q3 earnings

event ahead 30dindex removal

Read the AI verdict on $TTD

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Self-service programmatic advertising platform for data-driven campaigns across display, video, CTV, and audio.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Advertising Agencies sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TTD.

Advertising Agencies · Communication Services

No material change from last week — programmatic and AI-enabled ad platforms continue taking structural share from legacy agency fee models.

What this means for $TTD

Partial — Self-service programmatic advertising platform for data-driven campaigns across display, video, CTV, and audio.

Industry benchmark

7-name peer basket
+164.0%YTD
+59.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
21.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
13.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
20.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
8.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
16.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
77.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$0.34$0.18+91.4%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$0.08$0.09-8.4%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$0.39$0.34+15.1%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$0.23$0.20+14.4%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $0.05

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$688.9M+11.8%73.6%9.7%$0.08$279.1M
Q4 FY25$846.8M+14.3%80.7%30.3%$0.39$276.9M
Q3 FY25$739.4M+17.7%78.1%21.8%$0.24$164.1M
Q2 FY25$694.0M+18.7%78.2%16.8%$0.18$116.7M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 26 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.7B$2.6B – $3.0B$0.39$0.35 – $0.4226
FY27$2.6B$2.3B – $3.2B$0.25$0.12 – $0.3126
FY28$2.8B$2.4B – $3.4B$0.45-$0.16 – $1.5120
FY29$2.9B$2.7B – $3.3B$0.54$0.49 – $0.6610
FY30$3.0B$2.8B – $3.5B$0.68$0.62 – $0.8210

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.1%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-9.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-43.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 418.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today4.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 28Samantha JacobsonDirector53.7K sh$1.1M
+ 23 other (12 awards · 7 inkinds · 2 gifts · 1 return · 1 expireshort) in window

See when $TTD insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeSep 158-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) Board approved a performance-based stock option grant of up to 7,000,000 shares of Class A Common Stock to CEO Jeff Green on September 14, 2026 with an exercise price of $14.97 (closing price on grant date). The option vests in seven tranches over 10 years only if the company's 20-consecutive-trading-day average stock price reaches targets ranging from $18.00 to $105.00 per share; no vesting unless specific price milestones are achieved. This is a highly shareholder-aligned incentive structure with zero dilution unless the stock appreciates meaningfully — the top tranche ($105) implies a ~7x return from grant price.

8-KRestructuring / exit costsSep 48-K — Item 2.05: Restructuring / exit costs
AI summary

Trade Desk (TTD) filed an 8-K (Item 2.05) disclosing a workforce reduction of approximately 15% of its global employee base, expected to be substantially complete by end of Q3 2026. The company estimates a one-time charge of $39 million to $51 million in Q3 2026 for severance and related costs. This represents a significant restructuring.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationAug 24S-3ASR
AI summary

The Trade Desk filed an automatically effective shelf registration statement (S-3ASR), available to well-known seasoned issuers (WKSIs) under Rule 462(e), which becomes effective upon filing without SEC review. The specific securities, amounts, and use of proceeds are not detailed in the excerpt. Standard shelf registration providing TTD with flexibility for future capital markets activity at its discretion.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 133
AI summary

The Trade Desk (TTD) — Form 3 initial ownership for Penry W. Price, appointed as a Director. Price reports zero securities owned as of the filing date. Administrative — routine initial-ownership disclosure for a newly appointed board member; no shares or options held.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 133
AI summary

The Trade Desk (TTD) — Form 3 initial ownership for Nathan Olmstead (CFO). Olmstead reports zero securities owned as of the filing date. Administrative — routine initial-ownership disclosure for the incoming CFO; no shares or options held at the time of filing.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 138-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

The Trade Desk (TTD) — 8-K (Item 5.02) reporting officer and director changes effective July 7, 2026, related to the appointment of a new CFO (Nathan Olmstead) and a new director (Penry W. Price). Material — CFO transition and board appointment are significant governance changes at a high-profile ad-tech company.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 153
AI summary

The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) filed a Form 3 on June 15, 2026 reporting initial beneficial ownership for a newly designated director, officer, or 10%+ holder. Body unavailable — excerpt contains only SEC cover-page header without the reporting person's identity or share count.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 98-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

The Trade Desk, Inc. appointed David Haddad to its Board as a Class III director and Audit Committee member, effective June 11, 2026, expanding the board from five to six members. Haddad will receive $50,000 annual cash, $12,500 for Audit Committee service, an initial $290,000 equity grant (3-year vesting), and an annual $290,000 prorated grant. Routine board expansion — adds a new independent director as TTD scales its governance post-IPO.

+ 18 other (6 13Gs · 5 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 2 10-Qs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

The Trade Desk (TTD) Dips More Than Broader Market: What You Should Knowzacks.com·9h agoTrade Desk Is Now Down 67% This Year: Is TTD Stock Dead Money or Due for a Bounce?247wallst.com·12h agoUnity Software Sinks 10% Despite Wedbush Target Hike on Vector Ad Platform; AppLovin Falls 3%, Trade Desk Slips247wallst.com·3d agoReddit vs. Trade Desk: Which Media Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?fool.com·3d agoThe Trade Desk Stock Moves Higher: What's Going On?benzinga.com·4d ago

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Voices on X · top 2 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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