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TTTTD

The Trade Desk, Inc.

$TTD·$9.2B·Advertising Agencies·Communication Services
$18.64-2.5%YTD-49.3%1Y-76.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 214 posts2026-07-10: 309 posts2026-07-11: 146 posts2026-07-12: 163 posts2026-07-13: 479 posts2026-07-14: 234 posts2026-07-15: 439 posts1,995+0%
Price updated 8m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
TTTTD
$TTDThe Trade Desk, Inc.
$18.65-2.48%2.0k posts+0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TTD, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

The worst S&P 500 name over the last twelve months — August 6 has to name the specific recovery, not just talk about it.

The Trade Desk is the independent programmatic ad-buying platform running the largest non-walled-garden ad exchange. The stock is down 76% over twelve months on execution missteps and competitive pressure, and is basing at 3% of its 52-week range going into Aug 6 earnings.

What has actually happened and what could reverse it:

  • Fundamentals held up despite the drawdown: 78% gross margin, 20% operating margin, and 9% free cash flow yield — meaning the platform still earns real cash, this is a de-rating on growth and share concerns, not a broken business.
  • The competitive pressure is specific and honest: HSBC flagged Walmart expanding beyond the exclusive TTD partnership, and ZETA's Palantir-powered martech push is a category-adjacent threat — TTD has to name a specific counter or the multiple stays compressed.
  • The CEO buy signal is worth naming: Founder Jeff Green has been buying, which stands against the corpus of executive dispositions — that's the specific insider tell bulls are leaning on.
  • The tape has completely reset: down 49% year-to-date, sitting at 3% of the 52-week range, and 39% below the 200-day — mean-reversion pressure is real if the print delivers.

Aug 6 earnings is the trigger. A specific number showing spend-share stabilization plus AI-buying commentary restarts the leg; another quarter of soft revenue-per-advertiser reads as the competitive thesis continuing and the drawdown extending.

What to watch: The Aug 6 print — total ad spend on TTD versus prior quarter, retail-media revenue commentary, and any AI-buying platform disclosure. A specific spend-share stabilization restarts the leg; a soft revenue-per-advertiser read confirms the competitive concern.

On the calendar: 2026-08-06 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment⚠12 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15 · top-engagement diverged

The Trade Desk chatter is split. TTD is the worst performing S&P 500 stock over the last year - $10,000 from a year ago is now $2,600. HSBC flags growing retail-media pressure as Walmart expands beyond its exclusive TTD partnership. Bears cite ZETA as competitive threat and 'idiot leadership over-promising and under-delivering.' Bulls counter that TTD at $19 (down 75% YTD) is a solid buy: CEO buying, technicals show a large trendline breakout, and buy zone is $10.99-20.82 with preferred $13.97. Genuinely two-sided.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $TTD

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Self-service programmatic advertising platform for data-driven campaigns across display, video, CTV, and audio.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Advertising Agencies sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TTD.

Advertising Agencies · Communication Services

No material change from last week — The Trade Desk's independent DSP positioning faces structural pressure from Amazon's ad tech expansion while AI-powered buying tools commoditize parts of the..

What this means for $TTD

Direct beneficiary — Self-service programmatic advertising platform for data-driven campaigns across display, video, CTV, and audio; core operations sit in the path of the Amazon DSP structural threat to independent DSP positioning.

Industry benchmark

4-name peer basket
+8.2%YTD
-1.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
21.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
13.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
20.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
8.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
16.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
77.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$0.08$0.09-8.4%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$0.39$0.34+15.1%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$0.45$0.20+123.9%
Q2 2025Aug 7, 2025$0.18$0.18+1.4%
Next earningsThu, Aug 6·consensus EPS $0.18

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$688.9M+11.8%73.6%9.7%$0.08$279.1M
Q4 FY25$846.8M+14.3%80.7%30.3%$0.39$276.9M
Q3 FY25$739.4M+17.7%78.1%21.8%$0.24$164.1M
Q2 FY25$694.0M+18.7%78.2%16.8%$0.18$116.7M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 26 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.2B$3.2B – $3.2B$0.99$0.84 – $1.0826
FY27$3.5B$3.3B – $3.6B$1.19$1.12 – $1.2426
FY28$3.7B$3.7B – $3.7B$1.38$0.88 – $1.8419
FY29$4.1B$3.7B – $4.3B$1.77$1.57 – $1.8610
FY30$4.6B$4.2B – $4.8B$2.04$1.81 – $2.1516

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.3%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-5.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-38.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 418.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.045-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 28Samantha JacobsonDirector53.7K sh$1.1MSellMar 5Kathryn E FalbergDirector152.8K sh$4.7MBuyMar 4Green Jeffrey TerryCEO2.3M sh$58.0MBuyMar 3Green Jeffrey TerryCEO1.7M sh$42.1MBuyMar 2Green Jeffrey TerryCEO2.0M sh$48.0M
+ 27 other (15 awards · 7 inkinds · 3 returns · 1 gift · 1 expireshort) in window

See when $TTD insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 133
AI summary

The Trade Desk (TTD) — Form 3 initial ownership for Penry W. Price, appointed as a Director. Price reports zero securities owned as of the filing date. Administrative — routine initial-ownership disclosure for a newly appointed board member; no shares or options held.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 133
AI summary

The Trade Desk (TTD) — Form 3 initial ownership for Nathan Olmstead (CFO). Olmstead reports zero securities owned as of the filing date. Administrative — routine initial-ownership disclosure for the incoming CFO; no shares or options held at the time of filing.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 138-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

The Trade Desk (TTD) — 8-K (Item 5.02) reporting officer and director changes effective July 7, 2026, related to the appointment of a new CFO (Nathan Olmstead) and a new director (Penry W. Price). Material — CFO transition and board appointment are significant governance changes at a high-profile ad-tech company.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 153
AI summary

The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) filed a Form 3 on June 15, 2026 reporting initial beneficial ownership for a newly designated director, officer, or 10%+ holder. Body unavailable — excerpt contains only SEC cover-page header without the reporting person's identity or share count.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 98-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

The Trade Desk, Inc. appointed David Haddad to its Board as a Class III director and Audit Committee member, effective June 11, 2026, expanding the board from five to six members. Haddad will receive $50,000 annual cash, $12,500 for Audit Committee service, an initial $290,000 equity grant (3-year vesting), and an annual $290,000 prorated grant. Routine board expansion — adds a new independent director as TTD scales its governance post-IPO.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 18-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

The Trade Desk appointed Nate Olmstead (54) as CFO effective July 9, 2026, recruited from Penguin Solutions where he served as SVP/CFO since June 2024; interim CFO Tahnil Davis will remain as Chief Accounting Officer. Meaningful CFO hire from an AI infrastructure company; fills a gap left by the interim appointment.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 298-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

The Trade Desk's board approved Samantha Jacobson's eligibility to participate in the non-employee director compensation program, effective May 18, 2026, the date she resigned as an officer and employee of the company. Under the program she will receive $50,000 annual cash and a prorated equity grant of $290,000 (from May 18, 2026 through the next annual meeting), vesting in full at that meeting; she may elect stock, RSUs, options, or a mix. Routine transition from insider officer to independent director with standard compensation arrangements.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 88-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

TTD disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-05-08). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

+ 22 other (8 13Gs · 7 8-Ks · 2 3s · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

The Trade Desk Appoints Kristi Argyilan as Chief Commercial Officer, Executive Vice Presidentbusinesswire.com·2d agoThe Trade Desk (TTD) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: What You Should Knowzacks.com·3d agoThe Trade Desk: The Growth Question Is Still Unansweredseekingalpha.com·3d agoCan CTV Momentum Strengthen Trade Desk's Growth Outlook?zacks.com·3d agoThe Trade Desk: I Don't Think The Growth Story Is Overseekingalpha.com·4d ago

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