TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$TTD
TTTTD

The Trade Desk, Inc.

$TTD·$6.5B·Software - Services·Technology
$13.72+1.1%YTD-49.4%1Y-75.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 93 posts2026-08-22: 24 posts586+4%
Price updated 55m ago·X counts updated 9d ago
TTTTD
$TTDThe Trade Desk, Inc.
$13.72+1.11%586 posts+4%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TTD, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

The ad-tech leader has been cut in three — and the tape is finally showing signs of accumulation.

The Trade Desk is the largest independent programmatic ad-tech platform, and its stock has become one of the most punished software names of the last twelve months — down 49% YTD and 75% over twelve months. The underlying business is still growing, so what's on trial here is the multiple and the platform position, not the P&L.

  • Revenue is still growing at a healthy scale: quarterly revenue ran $694M / $739M / $847M (holiday) / $689M across the last four quarters at a 78% gross margin, quarterly EPS ran $0.18 / $0.24 / $0.39 / $0.08 — analysts model $3.18B and $1.00 EPS for the full year, so at $13.57 the equity is trading at roughly 13x forward with $1.5B of net cash on the balance sheet.
  • The product story is now agentic: the Kokai Zuma release adds agentic AI capabilities into the DSP flow and the Gracenote integration extends CTV coverage — those are real product wins in categories where Amazon's DSP has been eating market conversation, so the platform is defending share where it needed to.
  • The technical setup finally looks constructive: the monthly RSI is turning bullish for the first time in years, an S-3ASR shelf was filed but hasn't been drawn, and management is fresh (new CFO Nathan Olmstead) — those are the ingredients that turn a broken name into a coiled one, ahead of the Nov 5 print.

A Q3 print that carries mid-teens revenue growth and shows Kokai-agentic adoption uncoils the setup toward the higher-end recovery levels the crowd is drawing; a soft international CTV number, an Amazon-DSP customer poach, or a shelf drawdown is what invalidates the coil and puts the equity back into free-fall.

Agrees with X sentimentX's contrarian-bullish framing tracks the mechanics — $1.5B net cash, a rare monthly-RSI bullish turn, and Kokai product wins are real signals; the 'wave-3 1299% target' is chart theater, and the Amazon-DSP structural worry is a legitimate counter.

What to watch: The Nov 5 Q3 print — revenue growth, international CTV, Kokai-agentic adoption metrics. Amazon-DSP customer wins or an S-3ASR shelf drawdown is what invalidates the coil.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment29 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

The Trade Desk is a battleground name — down roughly 75% over the year and freshly filing a shelf offering while a leaked H2 roadmap describes agentic AI tools and a Kokai platform Zuma update. Contrarians frame the recent $150M CEO insider buy as a sentiment inflection and cite $1.5B net cash and a compressed valuation; bears say to 'delete this name' and treat the tape as a failing company signature.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $TTD

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Self-service programmatic advertising platform for data-driven campaigns across display, video, CTV, and audio.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TTD.

Software - Services · Technology

AI-enabled workflow automation is lifting ARR in vertically focused SaaS; pricing power is holding where switching costs are high. The bull case is execution on AI integration, not multiple expansion.

What this means for $TTD

Partial — software subscription economics provide some insulation from macro cycles; AI integration is the growth catalyst for this segment; The Trade Desk, Inc.

Industry benchmark

4-name peer basket
+13.8%YTD
-23.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
21.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
13.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
20.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
8.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
16.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
77.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$0.14$0.18-21.2%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$0.08$0.09-8.4%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$0.39$0.34+15.1%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$0.23$0.20+14.4%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $0.06

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$688.9M+11.8%73.6%9.7%$0.08$279.1M
Q4 FY25$846.8M+14.3%80.7%30.3%$0.39$276.9M
Q3 FY25$739.4M+17.7%78.1%21.8%$0.24$164.1M
Q2 FY25$694.0M+18.7%78.2%16.8%$0.18$116.7M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 26 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.2B$3.2B – $3.2B$1.00$0.84 – $1.0825
FY27$3.5B$3.3B – $3.6B$1.20$1.13 – $1.2526
FY28$3.7B$2.4B – $4.1B$1.42$0.47 – $1.9719
FY29$4.1B$3.5B – $4.3B$1.77$1.44 – $1.8910
FY30$4.6B$4.0B – $4.9B$2.04$1.65 – $2.1816

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.2%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-19.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-47.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 418.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.045-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 28Samantha JacobsonDirector53.7K sh$1.1MSellMar 5Kathryn E FalbergDirector152.8K sh$4.7MBuyMar 4Green Jeffrey TerryCEO2.3M sh$58.0M
+ 23 other (10 awards · 7 inkinds · 3 returns · 2 gifts · 1 expireshort) in window

See when $TTD insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationAug 24S-3ASR
AI summary

The Trade Desk filed an automatically effective shelf registration statement (S-3ASR), available to well-known seasoned issuers (WKSIs) under Rule 462(e), which becomes effective upon filing without SEC review. The specific securities, amounts, and use of proceeds are not detailed in the excerpt. Standard shelf registration providing TTD with flexibility for future capital markets activity at its discretion.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 133
AI summary

The Trade Desk (TTD) — Form 3 initial ownership for Penry W. Price, appointed as a Director. Price reports zero securities owned as of the filing date. Administrative — routine initial-ownership disclosure for a newly appointed board member; no shares or options held.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 133
AI summary

The Trade Desk (TTD) — Form 3 initial ownership for Nathan Olmstead (CFO). Olmstead reports zero securities owned as of the filing date. Administrative — routine initial-ownership disclosure for the incoming CFO; no shares or options held at the time of filing.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 138-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

The Trade Desk (TTD) — 8-K (Item 5.02) reporting officer and director changes effective July 7, 2026, related to the appointment of a new CFO (Nathan Olmstead) and a new director (Penry W. Price). Material — CFO transition and board appointment are significant governance changes at a high-profile ad-tech company.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 153
AI summary

The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) filed a Form 3 on June 15, 2026 reporting initial beneficial ownership for a newly designated director, officer, or 10%+ holder. Body unavailable — excerpt contains only SEC cover-page header without the reporting person's identity or share count.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 98-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

The Trade Desk, Inc. appointed David Haddad to its Board as a Class III director and Audit Committee member, effective June 11, 2026, expanding the board from five to six members. Haddad will receive $50,000 annual cash, $12,500 for Audit Committee service, an initial $290,000 equity grant (3-year vesting), and an annual $290,000 prorated grant. Routine board expansion — adds a new independent director as TTD scales its governance post-IPO.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 18-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

The Trade Desk appointed Nate Olmstead (54) as CFO effective July 9, 2026, recruited from Penguin Solutions where he served as SVP/CFO since June 2024; interim CFO Tahnil Davis will remain as Chief Accounting Officer. Meaningful CFO hire from an AI infrastructure company; fills a gap left by the interim appointment.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 298-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

The Trade Desk's board approved Samantha Jacobson's eligibility to participate in the non-employee director compensation program, effective May 18, 2026, the date she resigned as an officer and employee of the company. Under the program she will receive $50,000 annual cash and a prorated equity grant of $290,000 (from May 18, 2026 through the next annual meeting), vesting in full at that meeting; she may elect stock, RSUs, options, or a mix. Routine transition from insider officer to independent director with standard compensation arrangements.

+ 19 other (7 13Gs · 6 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Trade Desk Unveils Kokai Zuma With New Agentic AI Capabilitieszacks.com·3d agoCan Gracenote's Integration Give TTD an Edge in CTV Advertising?zacks.com·3d agoThe Trade Desk Introduces Kokai Zuma, the Latest Release of Kokaibusinesswire.com·5d agoTrade Desk Just Dropped 24% in a Month. Is It Time to Sell?247wallst.com·5d agoThe Trade Desk Stock Slides After the Close: Here's Whybenzinga.com·7d ago

More in Software - Services

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$FNGR$CART$QCLS$VRSK$AIB$LFTO$ZSQR$ZGM
Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport