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TMTMC

TMC the metals company inc.

$TMC·$1.7B·Other Precious Metals·Basic Materials
$3.74-3.1%YTD-39.0%1Y-42.2%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 2d ago
TMTMC
$TMCTMC the metals company inc.
$3.74-3.11%246 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $TMC on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

246X posts · last 7 days
Sep 12Sep 27
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $TMC's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 76% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-29

The Metals Company chatter is faith-mode bullish about deep-sea mining being the next frontier for critical metals, framing TMC's polymetallic-nodule mix of copper, cobalt, nickel and manganese as the answer to a 127% projected data-center copper demand growth by 2040. Community posts are almost entirely long-term structural cheerleading; no bear voice.

Read what X is saying about $TMC

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $TMC — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Comeback attemptStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-09-29

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

TMC's deep-sea mining thesis just moved forward with NOAA publishing the exploration application — pre-revenue, but the regulatory catalyst is real.

TMC the metals company is the deep-sea polymetallic-nodule miner targeting copper, cobalt, nickel and manganese from the Pacific seabed. The stock is stalled at 5.8% of the 52-week range but has just had a real regulatory move.

  • The NOAA regulatory advancement is the specific catalyst: NOAA published TMC USA LLC's consolidated exploration-license and commercial-recovery-permit application, plus a Notice of Intent to prepare an EIS — this is the substantive move that flips the trade from 'permitting years' to 'permitting months' if it advances.
  • The fundamentals are pre-commercial: zero revenue last quarter with only $650K cash burn — the company has managed operational discipline while permitting, which is what a real turnaround requires.
  • The CEO's expanded 13D beneficial ownership disclosure (Barron at 6.9% of the class after Amendment 13) plus a 2027 offshore commissioning target give a defined execution timeline.

The 11-12 print and any further NOAA permitting milestones are the direct catalysts. A signed commercial-recovery permit or a strategic customer offtake agreement closes the trapdoor fast; another permitting-only quarter keeps this stuck.

Agrees with X sentimentX's read (copper/cobalt/nickel/manganese demand growing, data center copper +127% by 2040, TMC polymetallic nodules as strategic answer, patience-plus-accumulation frame) matches the fundamental setup. The critical-minerals-independence pitch is a real macro tailwind; the tape is skeptical because commercial revenue is still permitting-gated.

What to watch: 11-12 earnings and any NOAA permitting milestone. A commercial-recovery-permit advancement or a strategic offtake agreement is where this reverses; another permitting-only quarter keeps this stuck at the lows.

On the calendar: 2026-11-12 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $TMC

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Deep-sea mining developer targeting polymetallic nodules on the Pacific Ocean floor for nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Other Precious Metals sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TMC.

Other Precious Metals · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — silver's dual role in solar cells/electronics and safe-haven demand anchors the industrial base.

What this means for $TMC

Neutral — Deep-sea mining developer targeting polymetallic nodules on the Pacific Ocean floor for nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese.

Industry benchmark

4-name peer basket
-10.7%YTD
+28.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-5.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-122%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
0.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-1.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
65.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
0.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-5.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 13, 2026$-0.14$-0.06-121.1%
Q1 2026May 14, 2026$-0.05$-0.06+16.7%
Q4 2025Mar 27, 2026$-0.08$-0.06-33.3%
Q3 2025Nov 13, 2025$-0.46$-0.06-736.4%
Next earningsThu, Nov 12·consensus EPS $-0.06

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$0———$-0.05$-650K
Q4 FY25$0———$-0.10$-11.5M
Q3 FY25$0———$-0.57$-11.5M
Q2 FY25$0———$-0.20$-10.7M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$341.3M$176.5M – $661.0M-$0.36-$0.46 – -$0.257
FY27$65.6M$33.9M – $127.1M-$0.23-$0.31 – -$0.154
FY28$180.5M$68.3M – $398.4M-$0.19-$1.22 – $0.843
FY29$573.6M$296.7M – $1.1B-$0.08-$0.18 – -$0.031
FY30$1.1B$564.3M – $2.1B$0.14$0.05 – $0.312

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.4%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-9.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-30.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 152.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.105-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJul 1Allseas Group S.a.10% owner7.3M sh$34.0MSellJun 2Brendan MayDirector20.8K sh$133K
+ 10 other (10 awards) in window

See when $TMC insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentSep 11SC 13D/A
AI summary

Gerard Barron, CEO of TMC the metals Co Inc., filed Amendment No. 13 to his Schedule 13D, reporting beneficial ownership of 30,809,638 shares (6.9% of TMC) based on 441,135,482 shares outstanding as of August 11, 2026. The position includes 26,162,760 direct shares and 4,646,878 shares underlying options exercisable within 60 days. Barron holds additional unvested RSUs and unexercisable options not counted here. As CEO and founder-level insider with a 6.9% stake, this is a routine disclosure update; the modest position size (given the large outstanding share count) reflects prior dilution.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 198-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

TMC the metals company announced that NOAA published TMC USA LLC's consolidated application for an exploration license and commercial recovery permit for polymetallic nodules in the TMC USA-A area of the Clarion-Clipperton Zone in the Federal Register, under the Deep Seabed Hard Mineral Resources Act. Application covers both exploration and commercial recovery permits. Significant regulatory milestone: Federal Register publication formally opens the public comment and regulatory review process for commercial deep-sea mining, an important step toward permit approval.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 178-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

TMC the metals company disclosed that NOAA published a Notice of Intent to prepare an Environmental Impact Statement in the Federal Register for TMC USA LLC's exploration license application under the Deep Seabed Hard Mineral Resources Act. This NOAA action precedes and is related to the consolidated application publication disclosed in job 92 (August 19 filing). Positive regulatory step: NOAA's EIS process is a prerequisite for permit approval, confirming the federal government is actively advancing TMC's deep-sea mining application.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJul 7SC 13D/A
AI summary

Allseas Group S.A. filed an SC 13D/A for TMC the metals company (TMC), disclosing holdings including 1,750,000 Class A Warrants acquired August 16, 2023 and 2,333,333 Class C Warrants acquired May 22, 2025, both exercisable into TMC common shares. Ownership percentage is calculated on 433,221,138 TMC shares outstanding. Allseas is a strategic partner and major investor in TMC's deep-sea mining operations.

8-KShareholder voteMay 298-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 288-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 18-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 12 other (3 13Gs · 3 proxys · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Exxon veteran Liam Mallon joins TMC board ahead of seabed mining pushreuters.com·15h agoTMC Announces Appointment of Liam Mallon, Former President of ExxonMobil Upstream, to its Board of Directorsglobenewswire.com·19h agoTMC the metals Targets 2027 Offshore Commissioning as NOAA Permit Review Advancesmarketbeat.com·6d agoTMC the metals company: A Speculative Bet On U.S. Seabed Mineral Independenceseekingalpha.com·6d agoThe Metals Company vs. USA Rare Earth: Which Speculative Materials Bet Actually Pays Off First?fool.com·16d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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