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TDTD

The Toronto-Dominion Bank

$TD·$209B·Banks - Diversified·Financial Services
$120.53+0.0%YTD+27.7%1Y+61.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-13: 73 posts2026-07-14: 35 posts2026-07-15: 52 posts2026-07-16: 54 posts2026-07-17: 38 posts2026-07-18: 5 posts2026-07-19: 1 posts262+2%
Price updated 4m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
TDTD
$TDThe Toronto-Dominion Bank
$120.53+0.02%262 posts+2%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TD, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-20

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Toronto-Dominion at 98% of range — the Canadian bank turnaround has landed, Aug 27 earnings has to confirm.

Toronto-Dominion Bank is one of the two largest Canadian banks — retail banking, wealth management, and US commercial banking (via TD Ameritrade legacy + TD Bank US retail). The stock sits at 98% of the 52-week range with the Canadian bank group re-rating alongside the multi-quarter fundamentals recovery.

  • The business is running solidly through recovery: revenue $27B last quarter (-5.1% YoY, reflecting the multi-quarter cycle headwind), operating margin 18.6% — the top-line decline is real but the operating margin has stabilized, and the multi-year TD franchise value defends the current price.
  • The valuation is characteristic of a Canadian bank compounder: 20x TTM P/E, 2.5x sales, and 4.5% FCF yield — respectable metrics for a defensively-positioned bank, and the multi-year Canadian bank group re-rate provides continued tailwind.
  • Position at 98% of the 52-week range, +7% vs. the 50-day — the tape has confirmed trend continuation with institutional accumulation into the print, and the Canadian bank group (TD, RY, BNS) has been running together.
  • No insider transactions on file — quiet institutional ownership going into the Aug 27 print, with no cluster of concern.

Aug 27 has to show: revenue growth reacceleration (must move from -5.1% toward positive), operating margin defense at 18%+, net interest margin trajectory, and any specific US-banking commentary. A clean beat with revenue inflection unlocks the trend past current levels. A soft print with continued revenue decline sends the stock back to lower support levels. The multi-year Canadian bank rerate provides the backdrop; Aug 27 confirms whether it extends.

What to watch: Aug 27 Q3 FY26 earnings — revenue growth (must inflect toward positive), operating margin defense at 18%+, net interest margin trajectory, US-banking segment commentary, and FY26 EPS guide direction. Also watch Canadian bank peers (RY, BNS). A clean beat with revenue inflection extends the trend; a soft print retraces.

On the calendar: 2026-08-27 — Q3 FY26 earnings

canadian bank rerateat 52w highmulti year recovery

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $TD

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

The Toronto-Dominion Bank, along with its affiliated entities, delivers a comprehensive array of financial solutions and services across Canada, the United States, and various international markets. Its operations are structured into three primary divisions: Canadian Retail, U.S. Retail, and Wholesale Banking. For individual customers, the bank provides fundamental deposit products like checking, savings, and investment accounts. Businesses can access a suite of offerings including funding, investment management, cash flow solutions, international trade facilities, and everyday banking. Furthermore, TD offers point-of-sale financing options for major purchases such as automobiles and recreational vehicles. The institution also issues credit cards and facilitates payment processing. Its lending portfolio extends to real estate-backed loans, vehicle financing, and general consumer credit. Businesses, both large and small, benefit from its point-of-sale payment systems. Wealth and asset management products, coupled with financial guidance, are available to both individual and institutional clients through direct investment channels, advisory services, and dedicated asset management units. The bank also underwrites a variety of insurance products, encompassing property and casualty coverage, as well as life and health policies. In the realm of capital markets and corporate banking, TD assists corporations, government bodies, and institutional investors. This includes overseeing the issuance and distribution of new debt and equity securities, offering strategic advice on mergers and divestitures, and providing sophisticated trading, funding, and investment services. The company markets its diverse offerings under the TD Bank brand, and specifically as "America's Most Convenient Bank" in the United States. It maintains an extensive physical presence, with over 1,000 branches and more than 3,300 automated teller machines (ATMs) throughout Canada, complemented by approximately 1,100 "stores" and 2,700 ATMs in the U.S. Beyond its brick-and-mortar locations, the bank ensures accessibility through telephone, digital, and mobile banking platforms. A key strategic partnership also exists with Canada Post Corporation. Founded in 1855, The Toronto-Dominion Bank's global headquarters are situated in Toronto, Canada.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Banks - Diversified sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TD.

Banks - Diversified · Financial Services

No material change from last week — elevated NIM has padded bank earnings through 2025, but markets pricing Fed cuts through 2026 compress margins on the way down.

What this means for $TD

Partial — The Toronto-Dominion Bank, along with its affiliated entities, delivers a comprehensive array of financial solutions and services across Canada, the United States, and various international markets; partial earnings exposure to banks - diversified demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Top industry ETF

$KBESPDR S&P Bank ETF
+14.5%YTD
+19.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
20.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
1.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
16.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
11.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
53.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
5.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 28, 2026$1.74$1.63+6.7%
Q4 2025Feb 26, 2026$1.76$1.63+8.0%
Q3 2025Dec 4, 2025$1.57$1.46+7.5%
Q2 2025Aug 28, 2025$1.91$1.46+30.8%
Next earningsThu, Aug 27·consensus EPS $1.71

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$27.0B-5.1%55.2%18.6%$2.43$10.2B
Q1 FY26$28.1B-5.9%53.9%18.4%$2.35$35.1B
Q4 FY25$28.8B-5.9%51.8%14.3%$1.80$-10.1B
Q3 FY25$28.7B-5.4%50.6%14.8%$1.89$-22.3B

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$57.6B$57.5B – $57.6B$9.35$9.15 – $9.472
FY27$60.2B$60.1B – $60.2B$10.38$10.27 – $10.492
FY28$74.8B$74.8B – $74.9B$11.63$11.62 – $11.641
FY29$162.4B$162.3B – $162.5B$10.62$10.61 – $10.631

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.92%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+4.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+23.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.6B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.885-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Apr 16424B5
424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Apr 16424B5
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 93
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 93
+ 22 other (9 6-Ks · 9 13Gs · 2 13Fs · 1 11-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

TD DCF Analysis: Intrinsic Value $90 vs Price $124gurufocus.com·2d agoToronto-Dominion Bank (TD) Could Be a Great Choicezacks.com·6d agoUBS vs. TD: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?zacks.com·6d agoTD DCF Analysis: Intrinsic Value $90 vs Price $121gurufocus.com·9d agoWhat Makes a Bank Stock Worth Owning for Decadesfool.com·19d ago

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