TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$SWVL
SWSWVL

Swvl Holdings Corp.

$SWVL·$38M·General Transportation·Industrials
$3.77-2.3%YTD+132.6%1Y+14.2%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 7d ago
SWSWVL
$SWVLSwvl Holdings Corp.
$3.77-2.33%21 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

On X

The complete picture of $SWVL on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

21X posts · last 7 days
Sep 30Oct 11

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $SWVL — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Driven by hypeWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Egyptian mass-transit platform at $3.93, +133% YTD and +27% trailing-12m with new UAE and Saudi expansion plus a Coefficient 13D filing.

Swvl operates mass-transit minibus and ride-sharing services across Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the UAE, so revenue depends on route-density scale and operating cost control versus traditional taxi.

  • Q2 FY25 revenue $5.28M, -10.0% YoY with -2.4% operating margin; Q1 FY25 revenue $4.91M, -16.3% with -14.7% operating margin — operating losses persistent, revenue below $6M quarterly
  • TTM: 106x earnings, 5.0x sales, 9.0% ROE (distorted), 21% gross margin, -8.3% operating margin, FCF yield -0.5%, debt-to-equity 0.33
  • No forward estimates in the bundle; next earnings Q1 FY27 scheduled 2027-05-04 (per the ADR filing cadence)
  • YTD +133%, trailing-12m +27% at $3.93 against a $42.5M market cap
  • Sep 9: Coefficient LP, Coefficient SWVL Holdings LLC, and managing members Abdalla Ali and Youssef Moawad filed Schedule 13D — concentrated activist/strategic ownership
  • Expansion into Madinah with 24/7 shuttle service across seven hotels; HSBC working capital expanded 110% to $1.4M; first UAE facility with Zelo

The operating line is tiny and loss-making, but the activist 13D plus three recent expansion/financing moves in Saudi and UAE suggest an inflection setup rather than a steady-state operating thesis — a classic microcap coiling pattern.

What to watch: Any disclosed major-contract announcement from Saudi pilgrimage transport or further Coefficient disclosures — whether the activist position translates into transformation events or the microcap drifts.

On the calendar: 2027-05-04 Q1 FY27 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $SWVL

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Mass transit ride-hailing platform connecting commuters to buses and vans in the Middle East, Africa, and other emerging markets.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where General Transportation sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SWVL.

General Transportation · Industrials

Industry quiet this week — general transportation is a heterogeneous category; airline yields are normalizing from post-COVID highs while rail benefits from precision railroading efficiency gains and intermodal volume recovery.

What this means for $SWVL

Neutral — Mass transit ride-hailing platform connecting commuters to buses and vans in the Middle East, Africa, and other emerging markets.

Top industry ETF

$XLIIndustrial Select Sector SPDR
+9.3%YTD
+10.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
105.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-15.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-8.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-0.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
5.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
9.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
21.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 31, 2026$-0.03——
Q2 2025Sep 8, 2025$-0.03——
Q4 2024Mar 31, 2025$0.08——
Q2 2024Aug 14, 2024$-0.33——
Next earningsTue, May 4

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY25$5.3M-10.0%22.9%-2.4%$-0.03$-127K
Q1 FY25$4.9M-16.3%19.9%-14.7%$0.08$-127K
Q2 FY24$4.0M-27.4%21.6%-50.5%$-0.33$-256K
Q1 FY24$4.0M-27.4%21.6%-50.5%$-0.33$-256K

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.34%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+4.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+77.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatTiny float · 5.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.135-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsSep 93
AI summary

Form 3 initial beneficial ownership filing for Abdalla Ali, a managing member of Coefficient GP LLC (which controls Coefficient LP and Coefficient SWVL Holdings, LLC), the major shareholder group of Swvl Inc. Ali is deemed a beneficial owner of SWVL securities held by the Coefficient entities (~38.9% of SWVL) but disclaims beneficial ownership except to the extent of his pecuniary interest. This filing reflects the complex multi-entity ownership structure of Swvl's largest outside shareholder.

SC 13DActivist position (5%+)Sep 9SC 13D
AI summary

Coefficient LP, Coefficient SWVL Holdings LLC, Coefficient GP LLC, and managing members Abdalla Ali and Youssef Moawad filed a Schedule 13D on Swvl Inc. (SWVL) disclosing combined beneficial ownership of approximately 6,918,145 shares (38.9% of Swvl). The Coefficient group is Swvl's single largest shareholder with significant influence over the ride-pooling company's strategic direction. The filing formally establishes the group's 5%+ reporting status under a new consolidated Schedule 13D.

+ 9 other (9 6-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Swvl Announces H1 2026 Results; Revenue Up 59% to $16.2 Million; GCC Revenue Up 107%; Dollar-Pegged Revenue Up to 44% of Revenue; Net Dollar Retention of 123%globenewswire.com·10d agoSWIVEL® Taps Kinective as Core Connectivity Partner for Real-Time Payments Hubbusinesswire.com·18d agoSwvl Establishes Presence in Madinah, Launching 24/7 Shuttle Service Across Seven Hotels in the Pilgrimage Transport Segmentglobenewswire.com·26d agoSwvl Expands HSBC Working Capital Facility by 110% to an aggregate of $1.4 million and Deepens Relationship Through HSBC Global Payment Solutionsglobenewswire.com·40d agoSwvl Secures Its First Working Capital Facility in the UAE with Zelo to Accelerate Growth in Its Fastest-Growing Marketglobenewswire.com·47d ago

More in General Transportation

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$PTLE
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $SWVL on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport