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SVSVTRF

Severn Trent Plc

$SVTRF·$12B·Regulated Water·Utilities
$40.030.0%YTD+7.9%1Y+12.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
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Price updated 11d ago·X counts updated 12d ago
SVSVTRF
$SVTRFSevern Trent Plc
$40.030.00%0 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SVTRF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-13

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Severn Trent, UK regulated water, compounding modestly on the AMP8 investment cycle.

Severn Trent is one of the three main UK regulated water utilities (Severn Trent Water + Hafren Dyfrdwy), operating under the RIIO / AMP8 regulatory framework whose investment cycle drives the RAB (regulated asset base) growth.

  • Q4 FY26 revenue GBP 1.40B (+19% YoY); Q2 FY26 revenue GBP 1.44B (+23% YoY); EPS surprises have been -36%, -19%, -34%, -16% (four straight misses vs consensus that has been too optimistic on tariff pass-through).
  • Stock +13% t12m, +8% YTD, at 61% of 52-week range — modest tape performance consistent with the sector's rate-sensitivity de-rating.
  • FCF yield -10.9% is capex-cycle-driven (the AMP8 investment period is the biggest RAB grower in a decade); D/E 5.97 is normal for regulated water utilities (rate-of-return regulation supports the leverage).
  • PE 24.1, EV/EBITDA 13.8 — cycle-fair for a regulated utility in an investment-heavy phase.

Risk is Ofwat regulatory friction on the AMP8 cost-of-capital or capital-programme sizing; the print pattern is stable if not exciting. Multi-quarter trajectory is a regulated-utility compound, not accelerating.

What to watch: Next Severn Trent interim/full-year print (RAB growth vs AMP8 plan, cost-of-capital commentary, dividend policy); Ofwat AMP8 determination status.

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Regulated water and wastewater utility serving 4.6M customers in the UK Midlands; earns inflation-linked returns under Ofwat regulation.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Regulated Water sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SVTRF.

Regulated Water · Utilities

No material change from last week — Severn Trent's England and Wales regulated operations earn Ofwat-set inflation-linked returns on capital investment while AWR's California utility and..

What this means for $SVTRF

Direct beneficiary — Regulated water and wastewater utility serving 4.6M customers in the UK Midlands; earns inflation-linked returns under Ofwat regulation; core revenue tied directly to the primary demand driver in regulated water.

Top industry ETF

$XLUUtilities Select Sector SPDR
+2.8%YTD
+1.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
24.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
30.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-10.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
20.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
30.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
6.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 20, 2026$0.63$0.99-36.1%
Q3 2025Nov 18, 2025$1.02$1.26-19.0%
Q1 2025May 20, 2025$0.38$0.57-33.8%
Q3 2024Nov 20, 2024$0.62$0.73-15.9%

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$1.4B+19.2%28.3%28.3%$0.48$-691.5M
Q2 FY26$1.4B+23.2%32.5%32.5%$0.76$-282.0M
Q4 FY25$1.2B+9.5%25.7%23.8%$0.29$-532.1M
Q2 FY25$1.2B+14.7%25.8%24.0%$0.47$-108.6M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 12 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.8B$2.8B – $2.9B$1.77$1.71 – $1.8312
FY27$3.2B$3.1B – $3.2B$2.10$2.03 – $2.1712
FY28$3.5B$3.4B – $3.7B$2.58$2.49 – $2.6612
FY29$3.8B$3.7B – $3.9B$2.76$2.66 – $2.8511
FY30$4.0B$3.9B – $4.1B$2.85$2.75 – $2.946

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.61%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+3.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+1.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 264.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.555-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Severn Trent PLC (STRNY) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Prepared Remarks Transcriptseekingalpha.com·93d agoSevern Trent PLC (STRNY) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Prepared Remarks Transcriptseekingalpha.com·98d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $SVTRF on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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