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PEPEP

PepsiCo, Inc.

$PEP·$197B·Beverages - Non-Alcoholic·Consumer Defensive
$137.40-0.3%YTD-3.7%1Y+2.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-02: 129 posts2026-07-03: 134 posts2026-07-04: 240 posts2026-07-05: 174 posts2026-07-06: 243 posts2026-07-07: 244 posts2026-07-08: 312 posts1,480+12%
Price updated 10m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
PEPEP
$PEPPepsiCo, Inc.
$137.40-0.33%1.5k posts+12%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $PEP, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-09

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Boring dividend giant flat all year — Thursday's earnings is where the rotation trade either arrives or doesn't.

PepsiCo is the diversified beverage and snacks giant behind Pepsi, Gatorade, Doritos, Lay's, and Quaker — with the snack business (Frito-Lay + Quaker) actually generating more operating profit than the drink business. After a flat year, the stock heads into the Thursday July 9 earnings print at 27% of its 52-week range, a level the market is watching as a potential rotation entry.

The setup:

  • The numbers are steady but not exciting — Q1 revenue printed $19.4B with the last four quarters bouncing between $19B and $29B (Q4 is always the seasonal peak), analysts model $99B of full-year revenue and $8.64 EPS, and a 22x trailing PE is roughly in line with the historical mean for a defensive consumer staples name.
  • The dividend and the buyback are the actual thesis — a 4.6% free-cash-flow yield covers the dividend comfortably (roughly 65% payout), the balance sheet leverage at 2.5x debt-to-equity is high for the sector but manageable given the cash generation, and management has been consistent about capital return.
  • The offsetting reality — Coca-Cola just printed a 52-week high while Pepsi trades 16% below its own, meaning the market is broadly saying 'if I want a beverage staple I want KO, not PEP'; that gap only closes if the Thursday print resets the growth story.

The July 9 print is the whole trade for now. A clean beat with reaffirmed guide plus color on Frito-Lay volume trends starts the rotation-into-defensives narrative; a Frito-Lay volume miss or another 2026 EPS walk-back and the KO/PEP relative-performance gap widens further before a bounce is available.

What to watch: July 9 Q2 earnings — Frito-Lay North America volume trend, reaffirmation of 2026 EPS guide, and any commentary on organic revenue growth; volume-hold plus reaffirmed guide starts the rotation trade; a volume miss and the KO/PEP gap widens further.

On the calendar: 2026-07-09 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment46 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-09

PepsiCo contributors focus on the July 9 Q2 earnings release with expectations for $23.95 billion revenue up 2 percent year-over-year and $2.19 EPS up 35.8 percent, plus Jim Cramer's rotation-buy recommendation alongside JNJ, SBUX, STZ, and TJX. Barclays maintained Equal Weight but cut the price target to $144 from $158, while the CELH distribution partnership and North America snacks trajectory provide near-term visibility. Options traders highlight technical breakouts and defensive-rotation setups near $140 support.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $PEP

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes and distributes Pepsi, Gatorade, Lay's, and Doritos brands globally through owned and licensed bottler networks.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Beverages - Non-Alcoholic sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $PEP.

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · Consumer Defensive

ETF up 2.0% today — structural driver intact: KO at 52-week highs and PEP's consistent pricing confirm inflation-resilient brand loyalty in core carbonated beverages.

What this means for $PEP

Direct beneficiary — PepsiCo, Inc.

Industry benchmark

4-name peer basket
+0.6%YTD
-3.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
22.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
13.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
14.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
43.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
54.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 9, 2026$2.20$2.19+0.5%
Q1 2026Apr 16, 2026$1.61$1.54+4.5%
Q4 2025Feb 3, 2026$2.26$2.24+0.9%
Q3 2025Oct 9, 2025$2.29$2.26+1.3%
Next earningsThu, Oct 8·consensus EPS $2.43

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$19.4B+8.5%55.2%16.5%$1.70$-406.0M
Q4 FY25$29.3B+5.6%53.2%12.1%$1.86$4.7B
Q3 FY25$23.9B+2.7%53.6%15.5%$1.90$3.5B
Q2 FY25$22.7B+1.0%54.7%16.1%$0.92$1.1B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 17 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$99.1B$98.0B – $99.9B$8.64$8.59 – $8.6917
FY27$102.1B$101.0B – $102.7B$9.07$8.97 – $9.1917
FY28$105.6B$105.4B – $105.7B$9.64$8.06 – $10.7915
FY29$107.9B$106.7B – $109.4B$9.85$9.71 – $10.027
FY30$112.0B$110.8B – $113.5B$10.39$10.24 – $10.577

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.13%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-5.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-8.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.4B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.375-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMar 4Eugene WillemsenCEO6.5K sh$1.1MSellMar 2Ramon LaguartaCEO27.9K sh$4.7M
+ 22 other (9 awards · 6 returns · 6 inkinds · 1 other) in window

See when $PEP insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 83
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for PEP on 2026-05-08, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

8-KShareholder voteMay 88-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

PEP held its Annual Meeting of stockholders around 2026-05-08 (8-K Item 5.07). Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

+ 22 other (4 PX14A6Gs · 3 earnings 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 routine 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Worried About Dividend Cuts? Buy These 3 Dividend Stocks and Sleep Well At Nightfool.com·1d agoPepsi Reported Higher Revenue and Earnings. So Why Is the High-Yield Dividend Stock Hovering Around a 52-Week Low?fool.com·1d agoPepsiCo CEO: This will accelerate our growth in the USyoutube.com·1d agoWhy Coke Stock Is Soaring While Pepsi Is Sinkingbarrons.com·1d agoPepsiCo Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·1d ago

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