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ORORLY

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 8% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (173/wk), no spike
$ORLY·$77B·Specialty Retail·Consumer Cyclical
$93.37-0.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-30: 33 posts2026-07-31: 30 posts2026-08-01: 14 posts2026-08-02: 21 posts2026-08-03: 35 posts2026-08-04: 23 posts2026-08-05: 12 posts173
Price updated 14m ago·X counts updated 22h ago
ORORLY
$ORLYO'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
$93.37-0.07%173 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ORLY, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-06

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

O'Reilly Automotive is the auto-parts compounder trading close to fair value — Q2 was in-line but the DIY-auto-repair thesis continues to work through the cycle.

O'Reilly Automotive is the largest US aftermarket-auto-parts retailer — a network of ~6,000+ stores serving DIY customers and professional installers. The stock is a compounder that trades at a fair-value multiple; the operational trajectory continues to grind.

The mechanics of the setup:

  • The recent quarters show steady execution: Q2 revenue of $4.89B grew 8% year-over-year with 51% gross margin and 20% operating margin, Q1 grew 10% — that's the profile of a mature auto-parts leader executing through the cycle.
  • Q2 EPS was essentially in-line ($0.86 vs $0.862 consensus) — no beat, no miss, and the pattern is consistent with the past four quarters where beats have been modest (0-4% range) — that's the profile of a business that's already priced its execution.
  • The valuation is reasonable-but-not-cheap: 29x trailing earnings, 4.2x sales for a business earning 34% ROIC — that's a Rule-of-30 compounder priced at fair value, with limited multiple-expansion room but genuine multi-year FCF compounding.
  • The tape reflects the coiled setup: position at 42% of 52-week range, above both moving averages (marginally), no material insider activity — this is a compounder digesting rather than either accelerating or breaking.

The path from here is Q3 confirming that comps growth extends and that same-store-sales continue at the 5%+ pace. A positive comp beat plus any capital-return acceleration extends the run; a comps miss combined with any macro-consumer-softening signal keeps this range-bound. The Oct 28 print is the next test.

What to watch: The Oct 28 Q3 print — same-store-sales trajectory, comps growth continuation, and any capital-return acceleration. A positive comp beat plus buyback acceleration extends the run; a comps miss combined with consumer-softening signals keeps it range-bound.

On the calendar: 2026-10-28 — Q3 2026 earnings

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ORLY

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., along with its subsidiary companies, functions as a leading retail and wholesale provider of automotive aftermarket products, specialized tools, supplies, and accessories across the United States. The company's comprehensive inventory includes both new and reconditioned vehicle hard parts and essential maintenance items. This expansive selection covers critical components such as alternators, batteries, brake system parts, belts, chassis and driveline components, engine parts, fuel pumps, hoses, starters, temperature control systems, and water pumps. Additionally, they supply consumables like antifreeze, appearance products, engine additives, filters, various fluids, lighting solutions, oil, and wiper blades. Their accessory range features items like floor mats, seat covers, and specific truck enhancements. Beyond just parts, O'Reilly's outlets also stock auto body paint and related materials, a wide array of automotive tools, and specialized equipment catering to professional service providers. Customers can also benefit from a suite of value-added services and programs offered in-store. These include recycling initiatives for used oil, oil filters, and batteries; complimentary installation services for batteries, wiper blades, and light bulbs; comprehensive diagnostic testing for batteries, electrical systems, and vehicle modules; retrieval of check engine light codes; a convenient loaner tool program; resurfacing services for brake drums and rotors; custom hydraulic hose fabrication; and professional-grade paint shop mixing with associated materials. O'Reilly's stores serve a diverse clientele, providing an extensive product assortment for both individual do-it-yourself (DIY) mechanics and professional auto repair facilities, covering domestic and imported automobiles, vans, and trucks. As of December 31, 2021, the company maintained a significant retail presence, operating 5,759 stores throughout the United States and an additional 25 locations in Mexico. Established in 1957, O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. is headquartered in Springfield, Missouri.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Specialty Retail sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ORLY.

Specialty Retail · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Amazon's $200B AI infrastructure commitment and AI shopping agent deployment shifts purchase decisions from browsing to autonomous fulfillment, bypassing..

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
+7.7%YTD
+14.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
29.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
34.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
19.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
4.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-232%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
51.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-5.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$0.86$0.86-0.2%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$0.72$0.69+3.6%
Q4 2025Feb 4, 2026$0.71$0.73-2.2%
Q3 2025Oct 22, 2025$0.85$0.83+2.0%
Next earningsWed, Oct 28·consensus EPS $0.92

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$4.9B+8.1%51.4%20.2%$0.87$698.9M
Q1 FY26$4.6B+10.2%51.5%18.5%$0.72$788.5M
Q4 FY25$4.4B+7.8%51.8%18.8%$0.72$364.5M
Q3 FY25$4.7B+7.8%51.9%20.7%$0.86$304.4M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 19 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$19.1B$19.0B – $19.2B$3.28$3.21 – $3.3119
FY27$20.3B$19.9B – $20.4B$3.65$3.56 – $3.7419
FY28$21.5B$20.9B – $22.0B$4.04$3.87 – $4.2211
FY29$22.3B$21.9B – $22.6B$4.27$4.18 – $4.345
FY30$23.3B$22.9B – $23.5B$4.67$4.57 – $4.745

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.42%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+5.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+0.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

β0.515-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 29Thomas HendricksonDirector1.2K sh$106KSellMay 20Dumas Robert AllenSVP OF EASTERN STORE OPS/SALES84.6K sh$7.8MSellMay 18Murphy John RaymondDirector2.6K sh$230KSellMay 8Brad W BeckhamCEO13.6K sh$1.3MSellMay 7Philip M HopperSVP OF REAL ESTATE & EXPANSION3.7K sh$350KSellFeb 27Maria SastreDirector1.0K sh$93K
+ 13 other (10 awards · 3 exempts) in window

See when $ORLY insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 153
8-KOfficer or director changeJul 108-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 18-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KOfficer or director changeMay 188-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 18-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KMaterial agreementMar 128-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
8-KMaterial agreementMar 68-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Mar 5424B5
+ 11 other (2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs · 2 proxys · 1 11-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Here's Why O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) is a Strong Growth Stockzacks.com·3d agoThese 2 Retail and Wholesale Stocks Could Beat Earnings: Why They Should Be on Your Radarzacks.com·3d agoFirst National Bank of Mount Dora Trust Investment Services Boosts Holdings in O’Reilly Automotive, Inc. $ORLYdefenseworld.net·4d agoBank of America Corp DE Lowers Holdings in O’Reilly Automotive, Inc. $ORLYdefenseworld.net·6d agoAllen Capital Group LLC Invests $2.32 Million in O’Reilly Automotive, Inc. $ORLYdefenseworld.net·6d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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