TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$NTDOY
NTNTDOY

Nintendo Co., Ltd.

$NTDOY·$59B·Electronic Gaming & Multimedia·Technology
$13.16-0.1%1Y-45.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-06: 27 posts2026-08-07: 8 posts2026-08-08: 2 posts2026-08-09: 4 posts2026-08-10: 6 posts2026-08-11: 7 posts2026-08-12: 5 posts59+4%
Price updated 13h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
NTNTDOY
$NTDOYNintendo Co., Ltd.
$13.16-0.13%59 posts+4%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NTDOY, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-13

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Nintendo down 45% t12m but Q1 blowout — Switch 2 3.82M units, digital +90%, US tariff refund, ecosystem +31%.

Nintendo Co., Ltd. is the Japanese consumer-entertainment franchise (video game consoles/software — Switch/Switch 2, plus playing cards, IP franchise licensing). The stock is down 45% over 12 months at 20% of the 52-week range — testing multi-year lows despite a specific Q1 blowout.

  • The Q1 FY27 print is a specific blowout: revenue crushed estimates by 26%, EBIT and EPS by roughly 100%, EPS $0.20 vs $0.10 estimate (+100% beat), and the last four EPS surprises are +100%, +11%, +10%, +47%. Analysts model FY27 EPS ¥83.42 rising to ¥94.75 FY28, ¥109 FY29 — a specific multi-year growth trajectory tied to the Switch 2 cycle.
  • The strategic layer is genuinely fresh: total ecosystem software sell-in up 31% to 43.27M units, Switch 2 hardware at 3.82M units, digital sales up 90%, plus a one-time US tariff refund reducing costs (a specific windfall). Full-year forecast and dividend unchanged is being read as sandbagging. Nintendo launching Switch consoles in Indonesia in December adds emerging-markets distribution.
  • The counterweights are honest: 21x TTM P/E is not-cheap for a hardware-cycle company, D/E 0 (debt-free, exceptionally clean), gross margin 39%, operating margin 16% (structural for consumer electronics), 20% of 52w range reflects the -45% t12m tape reaction to the Switch 2 launch cycle — plus beta 0.14 (very low structurally) and the OTC ADR nature adds trading-frictioncomplexity.

The November 3 Q2 FY27 print is the next gate — a specific EPS beat above the $0.11 estimate, continued Switch 2 hardware unit-growth commentary, and a raised full-year hardware/software guide is what extends the accelerating tape above $16. A specific Switch 2 hardware unit-growth deceleration, a fresh currency (yen) headwind, or a fresh gaming-competitive-share loss to Sony/Microsoft is what would take a name at 20% of 52w range back below $11.

Agrees with X sentimentThe enthusiastic 'Nintendo Q1 crushing revenue estimates by 26% and EBIT slash EPS by roughly 100%, total ecosystem software sell-in up 31% to 43.27M units, Switch 2 hardware at 3.82M units, digital sales up 90%, one-time US tariff refund reducing costs, analysts frame the print as demonstrating Nintendo is more than a console company, full-year forecast and dividend unchanged viewed as sandbagging' framing on X aligns with the setup.

What to watch: November 3 Q2 FY27 print — a specific EPS beat above $0.11, continued Switch 2 hardware unit-growth commentary, and a raised full-year hardware/software guide extends the accelerating tape above $16; a Switch 2 hardware unit-growth deceleration, a currency (yen) headwind, or a gaming-competitive-share loss takes it back below $11.

On the calendar: 2026-11-03 — Q2 FY27 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment21 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-13

Nintendo delivers a massive Q1 double-beat with revenue ¥517.8B ($3.3B) beating ¥449B estimates and EPS $0.20 vs $0.10 (100% beat), operating profit up ~150% YoY to ¥142.5B approaching 40% margins. Digital marches on, Switch 1 software +38.6% YoY (Switch 2 lineup deliberately weak per bulls), a new $660M R&D center, and a well-telegraphed price hike setting up holiday sales. Bears cite JPM missing EPS by 3x and calling it 'somewhat positive.'

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NTDOY

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Japanese video game company making consoles (Switch), first-party games (Mario, Zelda, Pokemon), and entertainment IP worldwide.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Electronic Gaming & Multimedia sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NTDOY.

Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · Technology

No material change from last week — Roblox's user safety restrictions are suppressing engagement and bookings while TTWO's weak GTA VI monetization timeline guidance depresses sector sentiment.

Top industry ETF

$HEROGlobal X Video Games & Esports ETF
-9.1%YTD
-18.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
21.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
15.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
14.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
39.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$0.20$0.10+100.0%
Q1 2026May 8, 2026$0.10$0.09+11.1%
Q4 2025Feb 3, 2026$0.22$0.20+10.0%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$0.15$0.10+46.8%
Next earningsTue, Nov 3·consensus EPS $0.11

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$414.6B+98.7%48.3%14.7%$14.33$0
Q3 FY26$820.9B+89.6%38.9%19.2%$34.96$0
Q2 FY26$536.4B+93.9%40.5%16.7%$22.50$0
Q1 FY26$572.4B+132.1%32.3%9.9%$20.62$0

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 14 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$2.31T$2.11T – $2.52T$83.42$76.88 – $88.3314
FY28$2.57T$2.41T – $2.73T$94.75$66.49 – $118.0213
FY29$2.68T$2.20T – $3.76T$109.01$83.39 – $166.129
FY30$2.68T$2.19T – $3.75T$115.92$88.67 – $176.6512
FY31$2.37T$1.94T – $3.33T$103.45$79.14 – $157.655

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.20%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+16.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-10.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 4.5B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.145-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Nintendo to launch Switch consoles in Indonesia in Decemberreuters.com·2d agoHead to Head Analysis: Frontdoor (NASDAQ:FTDR) versus Nintendo (OTCMKTS:NTDOY)defenseworld.net·3d agoNintendo: Console Transition Year, But Software Coming To Assert Itself In Mixseekingalpha.com·4d agoNintendo: Q1 Earnings Reinforce The Switch 2 Bull Caseseekingalpha.com·6d agoNintendo just got a nice boost from tariff refundsbusinessinsider.com·7d ago

More in Electronic Gaming & Multimedia

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$TTWO$RBLX$EA$NTES$GCL$MYPS$BRAG$CCOEY
Voices on X · top 6 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport