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NCNCLH

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

$NCLH·$7.1B·Travel Services·Consumer Cyclical
$15.05-2.2%YTD-32.0%1Y-34.1%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
NCNCLH
$NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.
$15.05-2.21%218 posts1.1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $NCLH on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

218X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1.1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $NCLH's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 87% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-17

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings chatter is bullish - traders praise the Norwegian Veterans Welcome package and celebrate the Great Stirrup Cay upgrade (dedicated pier eliminating tendering to the island, plus a Great Tides water park). Seth Klarman's Q2 13F included NCLH among his new purchases (with GPC, AMZN, GOOG, FERG, CME, AXTA, PS). Bulls describe NCLH as a diversified quality operator worth owning at the right price via consistent cash-secured put selling. NCLH is grouped with CCL and RCL in the cruise recovery basket.

Read what X is saying about $NCLH

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $NCLH — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersSelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Norwegian Cruise down 33% YTD on booking-pace concerns — Klarman still owns it and the mechanics support the thesis the market is skipping.

Norwegian Cruise Line is the third-largest US cruise operator — Norwegian, Oceania, and Regent Seven Seas brands. The stock has lost 33% YTD on booking-pace concerns, now sitting near 52-week lows with Seth Klarman still owning it.

  • The business is still growing: Q1 2026 revenue of $2.33B at +9.6% YoY and the last four EPS prints beating by +17%, +53%, +6%, and +3.4% — these are not the mechanics of a company in distress.
  • 15x trailing earnings is cheap for a cruise operator at scale: 2026 consensus EPS of $1.63 against a $15 stock gives a ~9x forward P/E, which is where market-skeptics of the cruise cycle have historically backed in.
  • The booking-pace strategy pivot (announced Oct 2) — "targets earlier bookings to ease yield pressure" — is the kind of operational tweak that can work when the macro cooperates, but it tells you yields are the live concern.

A Nov 4 Q3 print with booking-pace commentary firming plus 2027 occupancy guide stable restarts the thesis; another yield-pressure quarter or a fuel-cost shock and the breakdown extends toward the low $14s.

Agrees with X sentimentX cites Klarman's Q2 13F purchase and the "diversified quality operator worth owning at the right price" framing — real and consistent with the mechanics (15x P/E, 10% YoY growth). The crowd is directionally bullish and the booking-pace strategy is the operational response the longs are watching.

What to watch: Nov 4 Q3 earnings — booking-pace update, 2027 occupancy guide, yield-growth trajectory, and any fuel-cost commentary. A yield-growth beat with booking-pace strategy working extends the thesis; another yield-pressure quarter or a fuel-cost shock continues the breakdown.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 2026 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $NCLH

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania, and Regent Seven Seas brands spanning mid-market to ultra-luxury cruise segments.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Travel Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NCLH.

Travel Services · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — resilient leisure travel demand sustains booking volumes across OTAs and cruise operators.

What this means for $NCLH

Partial — Operates Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania, and Regent Seven Seas brands spanning mid-market to ultra-luxury cruise segments.

Industry benchmark

7-name peer basket
-10.8%YTD
+1.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
15.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
15.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-11.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
27.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
43.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
6.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 30, 2026$0.48$0.41+16.6%
Q1 2026May 4, 2026$0.23$0.15+53.3%
Q4 2025Mar 2, 2026$0.28$0.26+5.8%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$1.20$1.16+3.4%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $0.93

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$2.3B+9.6%40.9%10.0%$0.23$-625.2M
Q4 FY25$2.2B+6.4%41.0%8.3%$0.03$21.5M
Q3 FY25$2.9B+4.7%47.1%25.5%$0.93$-726.5M
Q2 FY25$2.5B+6.1%42.1%16.8%$0.07$381.2M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 18 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$10.0B$9.9B – $10.2B$1.54$1.47 – $1.6817
FY27$10.5B$10.1B – $11.0B$1.67$1.39 – $2.1318
FY28$11.2B$10.8B – $11.7B$2.03$1.84 – $2.1614
FY29$11.9B$11.7B – $12.5B$2.91$2.83 – $3.098
FY30$12.5B$12.3B – $13.1B$2.80$2.72 – $2.9712

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.12%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-5.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-21.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyMay 22John ChidseyCEO153.0K sh$2.5MBuyMay 20Jonathan Z CohenDirector30.0K sh$475KBuyMay 19Jose E. CilDirector10.0K sh$149KBuyMay 18Jose E. CilDirector5.0K sh$76KBuyMay 11Brian P MacdonaldDirector15.0K sh$248KBuyMay 7Lansberry Kevin AllenDirector11.4K sh$197KBuyMay 7Zillah Byng-thorneDirector29.5K sh$521K

See when $NCLH insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KAgreement terminatedOct 158-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 1.02: Agreement terminated · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 308-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-K/AShareholder vote (amended)Aug 128-K/A — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) filed an 8-K/A amendment on August 12, 2026, to a prior 8-K originally dated June 11, 2026, which covered the results of a shareholder vote at the company's annual or special meeting (Item 5.07 — Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders). The amendment was filed to provide or correct voting detail information related to that meeting. NCLH is a Bermuda-incorporated, Miami-based cruise company listed on the NYSE. The specific matters voted upon and the vote tallies are disclosed in the amended filing rather than the excerpt available here. Amendments to shareholder vote disclosures are generally procedural corrections and carry limited market significance unless they reveal a failed vote on a material matter such as executive compensation or a significant governance proposal.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 168-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) reported shareholder approval at its June 11, 2026 Annual Meeting of the amended and restated 2013 Performance Incentive Plan, which increases the authorized share pool by 8,807,000 shares (to 56,816,006 total) and extends the plan expiration to February 8, 2036. Full Annual Meeting vote results were also reported under Item 5.07. The 8.8M-share pool increase represents modest additional dilution potential; routine equity compensation plan renewal for a large-cap cruise operator.

+ 14 other (3 13Gs · 3 proxys · 2 S-8s · 2 10-Qs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings to Hold Conference Call on Third Quarter 2026 Financial Resultsglobenewswire.com·1d agoNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on Itzacks.com·2d agoNorwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Suffers a Larger Drop Than the General Market: Key Insightszacks.com·4d agoNorwegian Is Now Down 32% This Year: Is NCLH Stock Dead in the Water or Due for a Bounce?247wallst.com·10d agoNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd (NCLH) Stock Up 4.3% and Still Undervalued -- GF Score: 74/100gurufocus.com·10d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $NCLH on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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