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MUMUSA

Murphy USA Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 36% YoYStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (24 mentions/wk)
$MUSA·$9.7B·Specialty Retail·Consumer Cyclical
$526.09+0.6%YTD+29.8%1Y+37.8%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 7d ago
MUMUSA
$MUSAMurphy USA Inc.
$526.09+0.62%24 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $MUSA on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

24X posts · last 7 days
Sep 2Sep 13

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $MUSA — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-19

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Fuel-retail incumbent at 18x PE with a 13% Q2 EPS beat and consistent capital-return discipline

Murphy USA is executing the boring-cash-machine playbook that has driven the stock up 30% YTD.

  • Q2 EPS $11.27 vs $9.95 est (+13%), Q1 EPS $7.28 vs $5.37 (+36%); revenue up 36% Q2 YoY tracks fuel-price plus store-count growth.
  • PE 17.5, ROIC 17.9%, 2.2% FCF yield — reasonable multiple for a durable specialty-retail cash generator with $3.5B D/E (typical fuel-retail structure).
  • New VP & Controller Anish Shah (PWC background) hired Sep 1; multiple institutional buys (Concurrent, HSBC PBs 6,968 shares) captures continued institutional accumulation.

At 57% of the 52-week range with 1.14x volume, the setup is patient owner-only — beat cadence is priced but continues to compound.

What to watch: The Oct 28 Q3 print for merchandise-margin trajectory and store-count growth; any fuel-price macro shift that would compress the per-gallon margin dynamic.

On the calendar: 2026-10-28 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $MUSA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

High-volume fuel and convenience retailer operating ~1,700 Murphy USA and QuickChek stores, primarily adjacent to Walmart parking lots.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Specialty Retail sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $MUSA.

Specialty Retail · Consumer Cyclical

Consumer spending is bifurcating as back-to-school seasonality fades: value-oriented and pet-staples retailers are outperforming while discretionary home furnishings lag. AMZN's logistics density and AI-personalised inventory continue to widen the share gap versus legacy specialty chains; XRT is flat YTD.

What this means for $MUSA

Neutral — convenience fuel and snack traffic at Murphy USA is volume-driven by Walmart adjacency; resistant to consumer discretionary cuts given necessity of fuel purchases.

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
-3.4%YTD
-7.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
17.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
17.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
4.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
94.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
2.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
3.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$11.27$9.95+13.3%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$7.28$5.37+35.6%
Q4 2025Feb 4, 2026$7.53$6.67+12.9%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$7.25$6.60+9.8%
Next earningsWed, Oct 28·consensus EPS $8.49

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$6.8B+36.0%-3.8%4.5%$11.33$-177.3M
Q1 FY26$4.8B+6.5%5.4%4.3%$7.36$221.7M
Q4 FY25$4.7B+0.7%6.0%4.6%$7.61$128.8M
Q3 FY25$5.1B-2.5%5.3%4.2%$6.83$67.7M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$23.2B$21.4B – $24.9B$34.91$33.79 – $36.809
FY27$21.7B$21.0B – $22.7B$30.92$29.41 – $34.189
FY28$21.6B$20.7B – $23.1B$33.14$29.81 – $36.116
FY29$22.4B$20.8B – $25.0B$32.27$29.29 – $37.234
FY30$23.0B$21.4B – $25.7B$34.58$31.39 – $39.893

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.57%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-9.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+3.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 16.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.255-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 3Eric J. BartkoSVP & Chief Customer Officer100 sh$52KSellAug 20Rosemary TurnerDirector966 sh$552KSellJun 5Diane N LandenDirector3.0K sh$1.6MSellMay 27Renee M BaconSVP, Chief Retail Officer1.1K sh$556KSellMay 15Keith A. EmerySVP, Chief Fuels Officer517 sh$297KSellMay 5Scott G. WoodwardSVP, Chief Merchandising Off.158 sh$95KSellMay 4Murphy Robert MadisonDirector41.5K sh$24.8M
+ 18 other (9 awards · 4 exempts · 3 inkinds · 2 gifts) in window

See when $MUSA insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsSep 33
AI summary

Anish K. Shah, newly appointed VP & Controller of Murphy USA Inc. (effective September 1, 2026), filed an initial Form 3 disclosing zero directly owned shares. No derivative securities were reported. Routine new principal accounting officer Form 3 filing; no market transactions.

8-KOfficer or director changeSep 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Murphy USA Inc. appointed Anish K. Shah (age 53, former PricewaterhouseCoopers Assurance Partner with 30+ years of energy/utilities experience) as Vice President & Controller and principal accounting officer effective September 1, 2026. His compensation includes $360,000 base salary, 50% bonus target, 80% LTI target, $25,000 cash sign-on bonus, and relocation benefit. Outgoing principal accounting officer Donald R. Smith, Jr. retains his CFO and Treasurer roles. This is an accretive leadership appointment adding deep energy sector accounting expertise; the transition of PAO duties is administrative.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 138-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Murphy USA Inc. disclosed on August 13, 2026 that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend that includes a rate increase from the prior quarter; the specific new per-share amount is in the attached Exhibit 99.1. The disclosure is furnished under Item 7.01 (Reg FD), not filed. A dividend rate increase from a profitable fuel retailer and convenience store operator signals continued confidence in cash generation and shareholder returns.

8-KCharter amendmentMay 118-K — Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 78-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KOfficer or director changeApr 68-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 13 other (3 routine 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Murphy USA Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Results Conference Callbusinesswire.com·3d agoWhy Murphy USA (MUSA) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Termzacks.com·4d agoConcurrent Investment Advisors LLC Takes Position in Murphy USA Inc. $MUSAdefenseworld.net·5d agoHsbc Holdings PLC Buys Shares of 6,968 Murphy USA Inc. $MUSAdefenseworld.net·9d agoMacy's Beats Earnings Estimates and Boosts Guidance as Spending Remains Steadybarrons.com·10d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $MUSA on X in the last 7 days.

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