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MM

Macy's, Inc.

$M·$6.7B·Department Stores·Consumer Cyclical
$23.41-1.8%YTD+17.9%1Y+80.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-07: 38 posts2026-08-08: 14 posts2026-08-09: 28 posts2026-08-10: 52 posts2026-08-11: 35 posts2026-08-12: 31 posts2026-08-13: 25 posts229-2%
Price updated 1d ago·X counts updated 2d ago
MM
$MMacy's, Inc.
$23.41-1.80%229 posts-2%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $M, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-15

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Macy's is a legacy department-store deep-value play at 10.5x earnings with 22% FCF yield — Q2 earnings September 2 is the specific catalyst.

Macy's is the flagship US department-store operator plus Bloomingdale's and Bluemercury — a legacy retailer that has been quietly executing a store-fleet rationalization while the equity has re-rated 80% over 12 months on value-driven interest.

  • Fundamentals are unusually cheap: 10.5x trailing earnings, 22% FCF yield, and 5.5x EV/EBITDA — that's the deep-value setup a legacy retailer trades at when the market fears secular decline but the cash flow keeps printing.
  • Earnings surprises are large and consistent: last four EPS prints beat by 9-324%, with Q1 $0.13 vs $0.03 estimate (+324%) and Q4 $1.67 vs $1.53 (+9%) — the store-consolidation savings are outrunning modeler expectations.
  • The 20-store closing program is working: rev roughly flat but margin holding up, so the store closures are lifting net productivity of remaining locations — the specific execution the value case requires.
  • Position at 77% of 52w with stock -3% below the 50d MA — coiled after a run, with the September 2 Q2 print as the next specific catalyst.

September 2 is the next earnings — a fifth consecutive beat with continued FCF at the current pace extends the re-rating; any comp-sales miss or margin compression on tariff pass-through is the invalidator. The real risk is a consumer-discretionary slowdown — that's what re-rates department-store multiples down fast.

What to watch: September 2 Q2 earnings — beat with continued FCF supports the value re-rating; comp-sales miss or margin compression on tariff pass-through is the invalidator.

On the calendar: 2026-09-02 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Neutral sentiment7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-14

$M chatter is diffuse — a mix of a Macy's chart-bounce mention (nice bounce off 21EMA), political commentary about traders paying for early Trump-post access, and unrelated crypto/staking references (Memecore). No coherent Macy's-equity signal.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $M

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Department store retailer operating an omnichannel business selling apparel, cosmetics, home goods, and accessories under Macy s and Bloomingdale s.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Department Stores sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $M.

Department Stores · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Kohl's value and proprietary brands turnaround is the sole narrative here; consumer trade-down from premium department stores provides a modest structural tailwind, but the execution risk of the turnaround dominates over sector-level catalysts.

What this means for $M

Partial — Department store retailer operating an omnichannel business selling apparel, cosmetics, home goods, and accessories under Macy s and Bloomingdale s; partial earnings exposure to department stores demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
+7.7%YTD
+6.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
10.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
4.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
22.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
14.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
36.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 3, 2026$0.13$0.03+324.3%
Q4 2025Mar 18, 2026$1.67$1.53+9.2%
Q3 2025Dec 3, 2025$0.09$-0.13+168.8%
Q2 2025Sep 3, 2025$0.41$0.19+115.8%
Next earningsWed, Sep 2·consensus EPS $0.35

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$4.9B+2.1%41.5%1.6%$0.24$204.0M
Q4 FY25$7.9B-1.1%26.7%9.3%$1.87$1.2B
Q3 FY25$4.9B+0.2%41.9%0.9%$0.04$-101.0M
Q2 FY25$5.0B-1.9%42.0%3.1%$0.32$240.0M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$21.6B$21.5B – $21.7B$2.19$2.14 – $2.285
FY27$21.7B$21.6B – $21.7B$2.20$2.13 – $2.327
FY28$21.4B$21.2B – $21.5B$2.28$2.15 – $2.486
FY29$18.7B$16.9B – $20.6B$2.38$2.26 – $2.512

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.77%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-2.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+9.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 258.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.455-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 25Paul GriscomSVP and Controller10.1K sh$258KSellJun 24Edwards Thomas Jr.CFO16.4K sh$409KSellApr 6Olivier BronCEO7.2K sh$130KSellApr 6Danielle L. KirganEVP, Chief HR Officer10.0K sh$179KSellApr 6Paul GriscomSVP and Controller745 sh$13KSellApr 6Antony SpringCEO50.0K sh$897KSellApr 6Tracy M PrestonEVP, CLO & Corporate Secretary5.3K sh$94KSellApr 1Antony SpringCEO14.6K sh$264KSellApr 1Paul GriscomSVP and Controller490 sh$9KSellApr 1Danielle L. KirganEVP, Chief HR Officer6.6K sh$119K
1–10 of 13
+ 26 other (13 awards · 13 exempts) in window

See when $M insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 188-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Macy's 2026 Annual Meeting on May 15, 2026 approved the Amended and Restated 2024 Equity and Incentive Compensation Plan (effective May 15, 2026), which had been approved by the Board on March 26, 2026 subject to shareholder approval. Equity plan expansion at Macy's; plan details in the definitive proxy.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 268-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 188-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 17 other (6 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 11-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Digi Power X Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Provides Operational Update and 2027 Outlookaccessnewswire.com·2d agoShould Value Investors Buy Macy's (M) Stock?zacks.com·3d agoThere's No Denying Macy's Is a Great Buy Now, but This Stock Could Be an Even Better Buy Over the Next 10 Yearsfool.com·3d agoHere's Why Macy's (M) Fell More Than Broader Marketzacks.com·5d agoNioCorp Project to Expand Production to 8 Made-in-USA Critical Minerals Over a 40-Year Mine Life with an Estimated $4.1 Billion Pre-Tax NPV8%accessnewswire.com·5d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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