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LILION

Lionsgate Studios Corp.

$LION·$4.0B·Media & Entertainment·Technology
$13.28-0.7%YTD+46.7%1Y+124.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-25: 10 posts2026-07-26: 10 posts2026-07-27: 19 posts2026-07-28: 28 posts2026-07-29: 30 posts2026-07-30: 23 posts2026-07-31: 31 posts152-8%
Price updated 3d ago·X counts updated 3d ago
LILION
$LIONLionsgate Studios Corp.
$13.28-0.75%152 posts-8%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $LION, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Hinges on a big eventEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-31

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Lionsgate reports Wednesday with Rachesky rebalancing and Banijay walking away — the film studio is unusually catalyst-rich.

Lionsgate Studios Corp. is the recently-separated film and television studio (post-2024 Starz spinoff), with a valuable content library and an active franchise slate (John Wick, Twilight, Naruto). Wednesday's Q1 print is the immediate catalyst into an M&A-rich setup.

  • The Rachesky signal is complex: MHR Fund III reduced ownership to 0% while MHR Advisors III kept a meaningful stake — a structural rebalancing that reflects either MHR's fund lifecycle or a strategic positioning move, and indicates continued involvement.
  • The M&A optionality is real but bounded: Banijay publicly ruled out a Lionsgate takeover (focusing on debt reduction) — a negative for a merger-arb bull case, but not eliminating the broader strategic-buyer optionality in the fragmented film-studio landscape.
  • The fundamentals are inflecting: Q1 revenue of $907M with 42% gross margins and 14% operating margins, EPS of $0.24 (vs prior Q4 -$0.16 and Q3 -$0.39) — a real bottom-line inflection now that Starz separation is complete and the franchise slate ramps.

The stock is at the 70th percentile of its 52-week range with Wednesday's fiscal Q1 print landing as the next catalyst. What extends the move is a Q1 beat plus a specific franchise-slate revenue disclosure or a fresh strategic-buyer disclosure beyond Banijay; what breaks the setup is a soft print or any additional major shareholder selling that echoes the MHR restructuring.

Agrees with X sentimentX's mixed take — Michael movie updates plus the Cronos memecoin '$LION' noise — is thin, and the actual equity story is the Wednesday Q1 print, the Rachesky/MHR structural rebalancing, and the Banijay-not-buying disclosure; my read leans on those directly rather than the memecoin chatter.

What to watch: The Aug 6 Q1 fiscal 2027 print — specifically franchise-slate revenue trajectory (Naruto Movie, John Wick), any strategic-buyer disclosure beyond Banijay's exit, and any additional major shareholder selling. A beat plus a fresh strategic-buyer signal extends the move; a soft print or a major MHR-type selling event breaks the setup.

On the calendar: 2026-08-06 — Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-01

LION chatter is dominated by the Cronos-chain LoadedLions memecoin community and secondarily by Lionsgate. On the crypto side, LION is regularly a top-trending Cronos memecoin, with LP additions to VVS_Finance and framing tied to Crypto.com card cashback. Lionsgate posts include a #Michael-movie tracker update and a note that the earnings call is a week out with likely-rehearsed Q&A.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $LION

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Independent entertainment studio producing and distributing film and TV content while operating the Starz premium streaming network.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Media & Entertainment sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $LION.

Media & Entertainment · Technology

No material change from last week — TGE's film release and Macau L'Officiel Coffee venue are niche entertainment execution stories while PUSA operates Florida golf country clubs.

What this means for $LION

Partial — Independent entertainment studio producing and distributing film and TV content while operating the Starz premium streaming network; partial earnings exposure to media & entertainment demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Top industry ETF

$XLKTechnology Select Sector SPDR
+20.8%YTD
+33.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-23.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
4.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
16.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
39.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-3.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 21, 2026$0.37$0.24+53.6%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$0.01$0.02-50.0%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$-0.20$-0.17-15.0%
Q2 2025Aug 7, 2025$-0.32$-0.12-166.7%
Next earningsThu, Aug 6·consensus EPS $0.01

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$906.5M-15.3%42.4%14.0%$0.24$265.0M
Q4 FY25$724.3M+1.5%41.0%6.3%$-0.16$-111.9M
Q3 FY25$475.1M-42.3%36.8%-9.7%$-0.39$-107.2M
Q2 FY25$525.9M+8.0%35.5%-2.0%$-0.40$-34.5M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.4B$3.3B – $3.4B$0.35$0.29 – $0.408
FY27$3.4B$3.2B – $3.5B$0.40$0.37 – $0.437
FY28$3.5B$3.5B – $3.5B$0.42-$0.18 – $0.765
FY29$3.6B$3.5B – $3.8B$0.70$0.66 – $0.752

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.69%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-5.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+28.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 35.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.145-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJul 8Mark H RacheskyDirector42.6M sh—SellJul 8Mark H RacheskyDirector37.4M sh—
+ 40 other (23 awards · 17 inkinds) in window

See when $LION insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 238-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Lionsgate Studios Corp (LION) disclosed an executive/director departure (Item 5.02, filed 2026-07-23). ure of Directors departed from Directors or Certain Officers. Compensation and transition details are in the exhibits. Leadership changes can signal strategic shifts; investors should assess continuity and the appointee's background.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJul 9SC 13D/A
AI summary

MHR Fund Management, affiliated with Mark Rachesky, filed an amended Schedule 13D on Lionsgate Studios Corp. MHR Fund III has reduced its ownership position to 0%, while MHR Advisors III holds approximately 3.8% and MHR Sun GP holds approximately 5.7% of Lionsgate Studios shares. The aggregate reduction from prior levels suggests MHR has been trimming its Lionsgate Studios position following the company's spinoff from Lionsgate Entertainment in 2023. The filing updates the market on MHR's current residual exposure and control-related intentions.

S-3Shelf registrationMay 27S-3
AI summary

LION filed an S-3 shelf registration statement on May 27, 2026 registering securities for potential future issuance. Body unavailable — excerpt cuts off before the total registered dollar amount or security types are disclosed.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 158-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
8-KShareholder voteMar 188-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
+ 15 other (4 13Gs · 2 proxys · 2 EFFECTs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Banijay rules out Lionsgate takeover, focuses on debt reductionreuters.com·5d agoBUSCH GARDENS TAMPA BAY OPENS WORLD-CLASS LION & HYENA RIDGE AS PART OF $200 MILLION PARK TRANSFORMATIONprnewswire.com·7d agoLIONSGATE TO RELEASE FIRST QUARTER EARNINGS FOR FISCAL 2027 AND HOLD ANALYST AND INVESTOR CONFERENCE CALL AFTER MARKET CLOSE ON THURSDAY, AUGUST 6prnewswire.com·12d agoLionsgate Studios Corp. (LION) Moves 5.0% Higher: Will This Strength Last?zacks.com·18d agoLionsgate Could Be Officially In Playseekingalpha.com·18d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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